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Next 12 Hours

Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

• Wednesday
• 
• High: 84 °
• Low: 59 °
• Partly Cloudy

• Thursday
• 
• High: 86 °
• Low: 61 °
• Clear

• Friday
• 
• High: 81 °
• Low: 57 °
• Partly Cloudy

• Saturday
• 
• High: 81 °
• Low: 57 °
• Partly Cloudy

• Sunday
• 
• High: 84 °
• Low: 59 °
• Chance of T-Storms

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Birmingham Alabama 
634 am CDT Wednesday may 16 2012 


Update... 
for 12z aviation discussion. 


&& 


Short term...today through Friday. 


Upper-level trough shifts east through the period as a rather 
disorganized ridge builds into the eastern U.S. No significant upper 
level focus or inhibition is evident in the model trends...but drier 
airmass over the region and no organized lower level forcing combined 
with relatively small instability leads ME to keep the forecast dry 
through Thursday. Some low level convergence pushes west across the 
forecast area Friday as high pressure builds down the East Coast and 
spreads west into central Alabama...but with weak upper ridging 
established by then and still little instability across the region... 
the chance of precipitation remains too low to mention. I have not 
strayed significantly from MOS probability of precipitation or temperatures. 




Long term...Saturday through Wednesday. 


Weak upper ridging continues through the weekend with the ridge axis 
pushing east of the state by Sunday as the upper level pattern slowly 
progresses east through the remainder of the extended forecast 
period. Weak upper trough and increasing moisture return as the 
surface ridge weakens and retreats eastward should allow a chance for 
isolated to scattered...mainly diurnal...convection to creep back 
into the forecast as we move into the first half of the new week. 


&& 


Aviation... 
12z taf discussion. 


Vlifr fog has developed early this morning across eastern 
Alabama...and has affected kanb throughout the morning. The fog 
should remain through 13z...then dissipate quickly through the 
morning. Otherwise...VFR conditions will prevail through the period. 
A few showers and storms will be possible across far south and 
eastern portions of the state this afternoon...but coverage is not 
expected to be widespread enough to warrant inclusion in the taf at 
this time. Winds will remain light from the northwest and north 
through the period...diminishing after sunset. 


56/gdg 


&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
Gadsden 85 54 85 59 84 / 10 10 10 10 10 
Anniston 84 54 85 58 84 / 10 10 10 10 10 
Birmingham 85 57 85 59 85 / 10 10 10 10 10 
Tuscaloosa 87 58 89 61 88 / 10 10 10 10 10 
Calera 85 57 85 59 85 / 10 10 10 10 10 
Auburn 84 60 84 58 83 / 10 10 10 10 10 
Montgomery 88 60 90 63 87 / 10 10 10 10 10 
Troy 87 60 88 61 87 / 10 10 10 10 10 


&& 


Bmx watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 


&& 


$$