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Next 12 Hours

Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

• Wednesday
• 
• High: 86 °
• Low: 61 °
• Chance of T-Storms

• Thursday
• 
• High: 86 °
• Low: 64 °
• Clear

• Friday
• 
• High: 86 °
• Low: 64 °
• Clear

• Saturday
• 
• High: 90 °
• Low: 66 °
• Chance of T-Storms

• Sunday
• 
• High: 90 °
• Low: 66 °
• Partly Cloudy

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Memphis Tennessee 
641 am CDT Wednesday may 16 2012 


Discussion... 


Update for 12z aviation discussion 


&& 


Previous discussion... /issued 250 am CDT Wednesday may 16 2012/ 


Skies are mostly clear across much of the forecast area early 
this morning with temperatures ranging from the middle 50s to middle 
60s. A cold front currently extends from Northeast Indiana through 
central Missouri and into southeast Colorado. This front will move 
south today and weaken some. Some showers and thunderstorms are 
expected to develop ahead of the front with a small chance of this 
activity moving into extreme northern sections of the forecast 
area this afternoon and this evening. Otherwise most areas will be 
dry with temperatures a couple of degrees above normal. 


The front will push through the forecast tonight and continue to 
weaken. High pressure will build into the eastern Great Lakes 
Thursday. This will keep dry weather over the forecast area from 
Thursday through much of the weekend. An isolated shower or 
thunderstorm is possible during the afternoon or early evening 
hours both Friday and Saturday but chance remains small. 


By Sunday a cold front will be slowly moving across the plains 
states. Some of the showers and thunderstorms expected to develop 
ahead of the front may reach northwest sections parts of eastern 
Arkansas and the Missouri bootheel during the afternoon. The front 
will move into northwest Arkansas Sunday night with a threat of 
thunderstorms over the northwest half of the forecast area. By 
Monday the front will move into the forecast but will be weakening 
so there will only be a small chance of thunderstorms across much 
of the forecast area. 


By Monday night...what is left of the cold front will remain over 
the forecast area leaving a continued chance of isolated 
thunderstorms for both Monday night and Tuesday. 


Ars 


&& 


Aviation... 


12z taf cycle 


Aside from some patchy morning fog at kmkl and ktup expect VFR 
conds through the period. Winds will generally be light northwest 
today then light/variable or calm tonight. A weak front will move 
into northern areas early this evening. A rain showers/thunderstorms and rain is possible 
but chances are too low to include mention in kjbr or kmkl tafs. 


Sjm 


&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
mem 86 64 88 66 / 10 10 10 10 
mkl 85 56 85 59 / 10 10 10 10 
jbr 86 60 84 63 / 10 10 10 0 
tup 84 58 88 62 / 10 10 10 10 


&& 


Meg watches/warnings/advisories... 
Arkansas...none. 
MO...none. 
MS...none. 
Tennessee...none. 
&& 


$$