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Next 12 Hours

Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

• Monday
• 
• High: 81 °
• Low: 55 °
• Partly Cloudy

• Tuesday
• 
• High: 93 °
• Low: 57 °
• Clear

• Wednesday
• 
• High: 91 °
• Low: 52 °
• Chance of T-Storms

• Thursday
• 
• High: 79 °
• Low: 52 °
• Partly Cloudy

• Friday
• 
• High: 81 °
• Low: 52 °
• Partly Cloudy

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Goodland Kansas 
1140 am MDT Monday may 21 2012 


Short term...(today through tuesday) 
issued at 230 am MDT Monday may 21 2012 


South winds of 20 to 30 miles per hour with higher gusts will develop late 
this morning and continue through the day. We should lose the 
gustiness tonight before returning to breezy/windy conditions 
Tuesday ahead of an approaching cold front. Strongest winds 
expected east of the Colorado/Kansas border. 


For today and tonight may see some isolated late afternoon/evening 
thunderstorms move off the Front Range into the forecast area as a 
weather disturbance moves through. Will need to watch along the 
Colorado/Kansas border Tuesday afternoon as isolated thunderstorms again 
possible. Moisture remains less then ideal but forcing along the 
dry line may be enough to generate a few. Have kept silent probability of precipitation at 
this time. 


High temperatures today 80-85 with overnight lows in the 50s. For 
Tuesday much warmer with low to middle 90s. 


Long term...(tuesday night through sunday) 
issued at 230 am MDT Monday may 21 2012 


Tuesday night-Wednesday night...dry Tuesday night with a chance 
for thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon across the northwest portion 
of the area where better moisture and jet dynamics occur. This 
area of favorable moisture and dynamics remains generally north of 
Interstate 70 where highest probability of precipitation will remain. 


Tough call on wednesdays high temperatures. Models remain 
inconsistent in the handling of the cold front. Didnt make any 
large changes from previous forecasts at this time and will 
continue to advertise low 80s across the north...near 90 across 
the south. 


Thursday through Sunday...a number of shortwave troughs will 
approach and move over the region as a longwave trough slowly shifts 
eastward over the western Continental U.S.. the longwave trough will dig 
southward for much of the period before beginning to lift northward 
during the daytime on Saturday. The shortwave troughs will bring the 
potential for showers and thunderstorms to the area for much of the 
period. 


Feel increasingly confident about precipitation chances on Thursday morning 
as a cold front moves in from the northwest. Guidance is trending 
cooler in northeastern Colorado...which makes sense given the timing 
of the front...so decreased maximum temperatures on Thursday along with 
neighboring offices. The potential for precipitation on Friday night into 
Saturday morning is also looking better as a warm front lifts 
northward. Conditions should be windy on Saturday as a surface low 
deepens over eastern Colorado...but guidance now shows higher 
relative humidities compared to yesterday...so potential for fire 
weather conditions looks more likely on Sunday than Saturday. 


&& 


Aviation...(for the 18z tafs through 18z Tuesday afternoon) 
issued at 1132 am MDT Monday may 21 2012 


VFR conditions expected for the next 24 hours at both locations as 
developing surface trough will keep winds out of the south in the 15 
to 20 knots range through the bulk of the period although winds 
should die down a bit in the overnight hours. Potential for 
isolated thunderstorms between 22 and 2z mainly at gld as storms form 
along surface trough and drift east...but probabilities too low to 
include in tafs at this time. 


&& 


Climate... 
issued at 230 am MDT Monday may 21 2012 


Record high temperatures for Tuesday may 22 include 


Goodland.....97 (1939) 
Hill City....96 (2004) 
McCook.......97 (1964) 
Burlington...95 (1939) 
Yuma.........95 
Tribune......100 
Colby........98 


&& 


Gld watches/warnings/advisories... 
Kansas...none. 
Colorado...none. 
NE...none. 
&& 


$$ 


Short term...007 
long term...007/cjs 
aviation...jrm 
climate...007