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Next 12 Hours

Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

• Monday
• 
• High: 81 °
• Low: 54 °
• Partly Cloudy

• Tuesday
• 
• High: 81 °
• Low: 68 °
• Partly Cloudy

• Wednesday
• 
• High: 90 °
• Low: 70 °
• Partly Cloudy

• Thursday
• 
• High: 93 °
• Low: 68 °
• Clear

• Friday
• 
• High: 91 °
• Low: 70 °
• Partly Cloudy

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Wichita Kansas 
1201 PM CDT Monday may 21 2012 


Aviation...18z tafs krsl/ksln/khut/kict/kcnu 


Surface ridge axis from Iowa to eastern Kansas...will slide slowly 
eastward into Tuesday morning...while a Lee trough steepens over 
the High Plains. Easterly winds will continue to slowly veer 
during the forecast period...then becoming gusty from the south 
late Tuesday morning in central/south central Kansas. Some middle-level 
altocumulus castellanus appears possible in central/south central Kansas Tuesday morning 
given weak westerly flow at 700 mb and some moisture transport 
northeastward off of the High Plains. 


Jmc 


&& 


Previous discussion... /issued 343 am CDT Monday may 21 2012/ 


Discussion... 


Today-tonight: 
clouds and low level moisture may flirt with OK border area in 
south central Kansas this morning as flow starts to veer. Still 
anticipated decent warmup given relatively dry air and abundant 
insolation. 


Tuesday-Tuesday night: 
winds will be on the increase during the day...and will flirt 
with advisory criteria over central Kansas along/west of Highway 14. 
Temperatures will push well above normal with maxes at or above 90 
in Russell and Barton counties. The brisk winds will likely 
persist into the night...leading to mild min temperatures Tuesday night. 


Wednesday-Wednesday night: 
maximum temperatures should be even warmer Wednesday ahead of slow moving 
front and continued low level warm air advection. Maxes near or 
just above 90 at all locations anticipated. Limited moisture/cap 
should keep forecast dry. 


Thursday-Sat: 
main issue continue to be timing/location of cold front. Based on 
thickness/850mb temperatures...initialization grids are still 
running a bit cool. Also make consensus tweaks to trim back 
southern edge of precipitation with front likely just working into 
central Kansas before being shunted back to the north. -Howerton 


Aviation...06z tafs krsl/ksln/khut/kict/kcnu 


Isolated thunderstorms and rain that have festered over NC OK since ~02z will continue to 
move east/southeast ~15kts the rest of the night & will therefore remain S-southeast of 
kict. Excellent flying weather to continue over all 5 terminals through 
late Monday night with light north/NE winds becoming east/southeast Monday morning with speeds 
perhaps reaching ~15kts over krsl Monday afternoon. 


&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
Wichita-kict 80 51 84 64 / 0 10 10 10 
Hutchinson 80 52 86 65 / 0 10 10 10 
Newton 79 50 84 64 / 0 10 10 10 
Eldorado 78 50 83 63 / 0 0 10 0 
Winfield-kwld 79 51 83 64 / 0 10 10 10 
Russell 83 53 92 66 / 0 10 10 10 
Great Bend 84 53 92 66 / 0 10 10 10 
Salina 80 51 86 66 / 0 10 10 10 
McPherson 80 50 85 65 / 0 10 10 10 
Coffeyville 77 50 81 61 / 0 0 0 0 
Chanute 76 49 80 60 / 0 0 0 0 
Iola 76 50 80 59 / 0 0 0 0 
Parsons-kppf 77 48 81 61 / 0 0 0 0 


&& 


Ict watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 
&& 


$$