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Next 12 Hours

Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

• Wednesday
• 
• High: 95 °
• Low: 66 °
• Clear

• Thursday
• 
• High: 93 °
• Low: 66 °
• Clear

• Friday
• 
• High: 91 °
• Low: 64 °
• Clear

• Saturday
• 
• High: 91 °
• Low: 68 °
• Clear

• Sunday
• 
• High: 90 °
• Low: 64 °
• Clear

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service El Paso Texas/Santa Teresa nm 
349 PM MDT Tuesday may 22 2012 


Synopsis... 
hot dry weather with windy to breezy conditions will continue 
through this week...as a complex upper level trough slowly 
settling into the northwestern states...generates strengthening 
winds over the region. Similar conditions will continue into this 
weekend...as a low pressure system heads south across the West Coast. 
Dry conditions with above normal temperatures should persist into 
early next week. 


&& 


Discussion... 
a change in the upper level pattern is in store across east Pacific and 
much of the u... Pacific jet energy starts to dive south off 
the California coast. This is transporting relatively cooler air 
into the northwest states...leading to development of a broad 
trough of low pressure in this area. Trough is forecast to dig 
south into the central rockies through Wednesday evening. This 
will strengthen westerly flow aloft over our area stating tonight...while 
assisting in development of a surface Lee cyclone to our northeast over 
the western High Plains Wednesday. These influences will result 
in sustained southwest winds 25 to 35 miles per hour...with gusts to 50 miles per hour 
area wide Wednesday afternoon and early Wednesday evening. Highest 
gusts over 50 miles per hour will be felt along east slopes of area mountains 
and through gaps and passes in elevated terrain. These winds could 
persist well into Wednesday evening in these favored areas. 


Wind speeds should average around 10 miles per hour slower Thursday 
afternoon...as the Lee cyclone and attendant surface pressure 
gradient weaken across our area. 


Pattern will reinforce the portion of the trough over the western 
states...will receive reinforcement towards this weekend...as 
jet energy carries an upper level low southward along the 
California coast. As a result...windy to breezy conditions are 
expected to continue for an extended period of time through the 
upcoming weekend. The deep west to southwest flow...will also 
maintain temperatures well above normal through the period. 




&& 


Aviation...valid 23/00z-24/00z. 
P6sm sky clear through period. West-southwest winds of 15-20kts through 03z before decreasing 
to around 10-15kts. Kelp may see period of 27020g30kt from 05z-10z as 
inversion sets up over area. West to SW winds will increase to 
25-35g45kts between 16z-19z and remain strong through 24/00z. 




&& 


Fire weather... 
critical fire conditions will be the norm for the next several days 
as a broad trough and then upper low move through the western Continental U.S.. 
this will keep west to southwest winds in the breezy to windy 
category through at least Saturday. Temperatures in The Lowlands 
will approach or break the century mark Wednesday before cooling 
down into the lower to middle 90s for the end of the week. In 
addition...minimum relative humidities will continue to fall into 
the single digits for many locations. Red flag warnings have already 
been issued for Wednesday and will likely be needed for Thursday and 
Friday as well. Some relief from winds possible starting Sunday but 
little to no moisture on the horizon. 


&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
El Paso 75 101 73 96 70 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Sierra Blanca 66 96 67 93 64 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Las Cruces 61 98 61 95 61 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Alamogordo 62 94 64 93 63 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Cloudcroft 43 79 41 74 47 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Truth or Consequences 63 95 63 93 61 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Silver City 56 88 52 84 59 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Deming 59 96 60 94 60 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Lordsburg 57 99 60 95 60 / 0 0 0 0 0 
west El Paso metropolitan 73 98 72 96 73 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Dell City 61 97 61 96 53 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Fort Hancock 71 102 70 99 65 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Loma Linda 62 95 60 91 64 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Fabens 72 100 70 96 65 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Santa Teresa 67 98 67 96 67 / 0 0 0 0 0 
White Sands hq 70 95 71 96 70 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Jornada range 55 95 55 94 56 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Hatch 59 94 60 94 59 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Columbus 64 97 65 96 62 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Orogrande 67 99 68 97 68 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Mayhill 50 86 50 81 55 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Mescalero 46 86 44 79 49 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Timberon 48 86 46 80 50 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Winston 49 87 49 78 51 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Hillsboro 56 89 55 88 57 / 0 0 0 0 0 
spaceport 62 92 63 91 61 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Lake Roberts 44 93 45 87 49 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Hurley 50 91 50 86 54 / 0 0 0 0 0 
cliff 48 91 50 88 50 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Mule Creek 44 91 43 88 45 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Faywood 50 91 50 90 54 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Animas 57 98 57 95 59 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Hachita 55 98 56 95 55 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Antelope Wells 60 96 60 95 60 / 0 0 0 0 0 
Cloverdale 57 93 53 89 59 / 0 0 0 0 0 


&& 


Epz watches/warnings/advisories... 
nm...red flag warning from 11 am to 10 PM MDT Wednesday for 
nmz110>113. 


Wind Advisory from 1 PM to 8 PM MDT Wednesday for nmz401>417. 


Red flag warning until 9 PM MDT this evening for nmz110-111. 


Texas...red flag warning from 11 am to 10 PM MDT Wednesday for txz055- 
056. 


Wind Advisory from 1 PM to 8 PM MDT Wednesday for txz418>424. 


&& 


$$ 


22/26 
Tripoli/grzywacz