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Nowcast

• 

• Now as of 3:58 am CST on February 13, 2012

  Look for patchy fog...patchy freezing fog...dense in spots... through 7 am CST. Visibilities will drop below a half mile in a few locations. Motorists should use extra caution driving early this morning.

Next 12 Hours

Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

• Monday
• 
• High: 63 °
• Low: 43 °
• Partly Cloudy

• Tuesday
• 
• High: 74 °
• Low: 43 °
• Partly Cloudy

• Wednesday
• 
• High: 67 °
• Low: 40 °
• Clear

• Thursday
• 
• High: 63 °
• Low: 38 °
• Clear

• Friday
• 
• High: 63 °
• Low: 41 °
• Partly Cloudy

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa Texas 
459 am CST Monday Feb 13 2012 


Discussion... 
see aviation discussion below. 


&& 


Aviation... 
generally LIFR conditions are expected at the terminals through 
middle morning due to dense fog. By late morning VFR conditions 
should begin. Light winds should become southwest and increase 
to 15 to 25 miles per hour by late morning with winds increasing to 20 
to 30 miles per hour by middle afternoon. 


12 






&& 


Previous discussion... /issued 351 am CST Monday Feb 13 2012/ 


Discussion... 
showers are ending across the Permian Basin this morning with most 
of it falling as rain...with perhaps some freezing rain or sleet 
still falling in the Snyder area. Areas of fog and freezing fog 
are developing but southwest winds will quickly dissipate the fog. 
Still anticipating the cold air to hold in a little better than 
guidance expects though with modest west winds this afternoon 
warmer may be the better solution. It would be incredible to go 
from highs in the upper 20s to highs in the 60s in 24 hours but 
the brunt of this airmass passed well to the east and we caught 
only a glancing blow from the backside of the surface high. 


A transient ridge will bring even warmer temperatures Tuesday but another 
upper trough will bring a cold front on Wednesday dropping temperatures 
once again. There may be some showers in the western Low Rolling 
Plains but most precipitation should definitely remain to the east. 
Models are getting in much better agreement with an upper low to 
quickly follow the Wednesday trough. Yesterday preferred a 
combination of the GFS/European model (ecmwf) with a progressive upper low and that 
is indeed what the models are showing moving across northern 
Mexico and into West Texas on Friday. Surprisingly the models are 
conservative on quantitative precipitation forecast amounts which may be due to a lack of deep 
moisture. Have moved up the timing by about 12 hours on probability of precipitation and 
kept them slight chance for now. The multiple troughs the end of 
the week should provide a continued source of cooler air with 
slightly below normal temperatures expected. Current forecast temperatures may 
be a bit to warm but do not anticipate any winter weather at all. 
Gradual warming over the weekend with a weak ridge moving out of 
The Rockies though temperatures will remain near normal. 


Hennig 


&& 


Maf watches/warnings/advisories... 
nm...none. 
Texas...none. 


&& 


$$