Updated: 5:20 PM HST on January 26, 2015
Partly cloudy. Lows overnight in the low 70s.
Some clouds. Low 73F. Winds NNE at 10 to 20 mph.
Considerable cloudiness with occasional rain showers. High 81F. Winds WNW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60%.
Partly cloudy skies early followed by increasing clouds with showers developing later at night. Low 72F. Winds SSW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
Overcast with rain showers at times. High 82F. Winds SSW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50%.
Partly cloudy skies. Low 72F. Winds ESE at 5 to 10 mph.
Partly cloudy skies during the morning hours will give way to occasional showers in the afternoon. High 84F. Winds SW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60%.
A few clouds. Low 73F. Winds ESE at 5 to 10 mph.
Partly cloudy skies during the morning hours will give way to occasional showers in the afternoon. High 83F. Winds SW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70%.
A few clouds. Low 72F. Winds SE at 5 to 10 mph.
Partly cloudy early followed by increasing clouds with showers developing later in the day. High 81F. Winds SW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 60%.
Rain showers early with clearing later at night. Low 72F. Winds ENE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
Chance of a shower or two during the morning, followed by partly cloudy skies in the afternoon. High 83F. Winds SSW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 30%.
A few clouds. Low 71F. Winds SE at 5 to 10 mph.
Cloudy with showers. High 83F. Winds WSW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50%.
Overcast with rain showers at times. Low 72F. Winds S at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
Cloudy with showers. High 83F. Winds WSW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
Considerable clouds early. Some decrease in clouds late. Low 72F. Winds SE at 5 to 10 mph.
Cloudy with a few showers. High 84F. Winds SW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 30%.
A shower or two possible early with partly cloudy skies later at night. Low 72F. Winds SE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30%.
Partly cloudy skies. High 84F. Winds SW at 10 to 15 mph.
A few clouds from time to time. Low 72F. Winds SE at 5 to 10 mph.
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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 650 AM CHST MON APR 27 2015 .SYNOPSIS... EAST WINDS AND A FEW CLOUDS AND SHOWERS PREVAIL ACROSS THE MARIANAS THIS MORNING. && .DISCUSSION... FORECAST LEFT BASICALLY UNCHANGED. A CIRCULATION NOW SOUTH OF YAP WILL MOVE WEST. WEAK LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE NORTHEAST OF THE CIRCULATION SHOULD PROMOTE A HIGHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS THE MARIANAS TODAY. MODELS STILL DEPICT PATCHES OF SHOWERS PASSING OVER THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. SOUNDING DATA DOES SHOW A REASONABLE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION. DESPITE THESE FAVORABLE FACTORS...SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY SHOW ONLY A FEW SHOWERS OVER THE AREA THIS MORNING SO ISOLATED SHOULD BE THE PREDOMINANT COVERAGE THROUGH THE DAY. MODELS SHOW WHATEVER DEEP LAYER MOISTURE THAT IS IN PLACE OVER THE MARIANAS DRYING OUT BY TUESDAY. THIS LOWER MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE BY THE END OF THE WEEK AS MOISTURE AGAIN INCREASES. && .MARINE... AN EAST TRADE-WIND SWELL WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE FORECAST. THIS SWELL WILL NOT BECOME VERY LARGE AND A MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEK. && .EASTERN MICRONESIA... SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A COUPLE OF CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ONE NORTH OF KOSRAE AND ANOTHER NORTHEAST OF MAJURO. LATEST ASCAT DATA SHOW WEAK WINDS UNDER 5 KT ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION SOUTH OF 10N WITH STRONGER TRADES NORTH OF 10N. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE PERSISTED WITHIN THE WEAK CONVERGENCE ZONE BETWEEN 9N AND 11N. CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE NEAR MAJURO WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE CROSS THE ATOLL. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL STAY JUST TO THE NORTH. SHORT-LIVED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE POP UP THIS MORNING NEAR KOSRAE BEFORE ACTIVITY DIES DOWN SOME THIS AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE...AT POHNPEI...DRY AND QUIET CONDITIONS THIS MORNING WILL TRANSITION TO MORE CLOUDS... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS CONVECTION CLOSES IN FROM THE EAST. FOR THE LONG TERM...MODELS MAINTAIN A SOMEWHAT UNSETTLED PATTERN... MAINLY BETWEEN 8N AND 12N...AS THE CURRENT WIND PATTERN REMAINS IN PLACE WITH WEAK--AND SOMETIMES VARIABLE--WIND PERSISTING OVER MICRONESIA AND THE TRADE WINDS PERSIST TO THE NORTH. && .WESTERN MICRONESIA...A BROAD...BUT WEAK...CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MOVE WESTWARD AND IS NOW CENTERED NEAR YAP NEAR 8N139E. CONVECTION CONTINUES TO FOLLOW A DIURNAL CYCLE AND HAS BEEN FAIRLY QUIET OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...WENT AHEAD AND ADDED A TRANSITION TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AROUND MIDDAY FOR YAP WITH THE EXPECTATION THAT CONVECTION WILL REDEVELOP. ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE SHORT TERM AT KOROR...BUT AS THE CIRCULATION DRIFTS WESTWARD... SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER IN THE YAP AND KOROR AREAS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS UNTIL THE CIRCULATION EXITS TO THE WEST. CLOUD COVER IS QUICKLY ERODING OVER CHUUK STATE AS A WEAKENING SURFACE TROUGH HEADS TO THE WEST. SIMILAR TO EASTERN MICRONESIA... WINDS WILL DECREASE AND REMAIN RATHER WEAK FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK. SIMILARLY...BENIGN CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH ONLY A FEW SHOWERS EXPECTED THIS WEEK. && .GUM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... GU...NONE. MARIANAS WATERS...NONE. && $$ ZIOBRO/W. AYDLETT