Chuuk, Federated States of Micronesia Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 77°
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • Wind: NNE 16 mph
  • Humidity: 83%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 72°
  • Pressure: 29.96 in. -

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Next 12 Hours

5  am
8  am
11  am
2  pm
5  pm
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Thunderstorm
T-storms
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
75°
77°
80°
80°
79°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Friday
  • Thunderstorm
  • High: 80 °
  • Low: 74 °
  • T-Storms
  • Saturday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 82 °
  • Low: 75 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Sunday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 83 °
  • Low: 76 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Monday
  • Thunderstorm
  • High: 82 °
  • Low: 75 °
  • T-Storms
  • Tuesday
  • Thunderstorm
  • High: 82 °
  • Low: 75 °
  • T-Storms

Forecast for Chuuk, Federated States of Micronesia

Updated: 1:19 AM ChST on January 27, 2015

  • Thursday

    Mainly cloudy. Lows overnight in the mid 70s.

  • Thursday Night

    Considerable cloudiness. Low 74F. Winds NE at 15 to 25 mph.

  • Friday

    Windy with rain showers in the morning. Numerous thunderstorms developing in the afternoon. Winds decreasing. High around 80F. Winds NE at 20 to 30 mph. Chance of rain 80%.

  • Friday Night

    Thunderstorms. Low 74F. Winds NE at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 80%.

  • Saturday

    Scattered thunderstorms in the morning, then variable clouds during the afternoon with more showers at times. High 82F. Winds ENE at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Saturday Night

    Rain showers early with clearing later at night. Low around 75F. Winds ENE at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy skies. High 83F. Winds ENE at 15 to 25 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Windy with thunderstorms. Low 76F. Winds ENE at 20 to 30 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Monday

    Windy...scattered thunderstorms in the morning, becoming more widespread in the afternoon. High 82F. Winds E at 20 to 30 mph. Chance of rain 80%.

  • Monday Night

    Windy early...thunderstorms likely. Low around 75F. Winds E at 20 to 30 mph. Chance of rain 80%.

  • Tuesday

    Thunderstorms. High 82F. Winds E at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 80%.

  • Tuesday Night

    Thunderstorms likely. Low near 75F. Winds E at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 80%.

  • Wednesday

    Scattered thunderstorms. High 82F. Winds E at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Low 76F. Winds E at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Thursday

    Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms possible. High 82F. Winds E at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Thursday Night

    Variably cloudy with scattered thunderstorms. Low 76F. Winds E at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Friday

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms. High 82F. Winds E at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Friday Night

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Low 76F. Winds ENE at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Saturday

    Variable clouds with scattered thunderstorms. High 82F. Winds ENE at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Saturday Night

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Low around 75F. Winds ENE at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Sunday

    Thunderstorms likely. High 82F. Winds E at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 80%.

  • Sunday Night

    Scattered thunderstorms. Low near 75F. Winds E at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Monday

    Scattered thunderstorms. High 81F. Winds E at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Monday Night

    Variable clouds with scattered thunderstorms. Low near 75F. Winds E at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

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NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion...corrected 
National Weather Service tiyan GU 
257 PM chst Thursday Mar 26 2015 


Corrected typo in tropical systems section 


Synopsis... 
pgua wsr88d shows only isolated showers southwest of Guam coastal 
waters this afternoon. A large smoke plume is also evident 
extending southwestward from near Leo palace. Fresh winds are 
evident across the marianas. A tropical disturbance remains to the 
east-southeast of Guam...near Pohnpei. 


&& 


Discussion... 
no significant changes made to inherited grids. Latest model 
run...both the gfs40 and European model (ecmwf)...has pushed the onset of scattered 
showers associated with the tropical disturbance near Pohnpei to 
Monday. Chose to wait until at least Friday to see if the models 
remain consistent with this pattern before making any changes 
since considerable uncertainty concerning the development and 
movement of this disturbance exists. Regardless of the movement of 
this system...breezy conditions will continue for the next few 
days. 


&& 


Marine... 
winds and seas look to increase slowly through tonight into 
Friday and could reach Small Craft Advisory level Friday morning 
or early afternoon. Seas remain around 6 to 7 feet this afternoon 
and are expected to increase to between 8 and 10 feet Friday 
night...while winds are expected to reach 25 knots Friday evening. 
Beyond Saturday night...weather conditions depend heavily on the 
development and movement of the disturbance near Pohnpei. 


&& 


Fire weather... 
dry and breezy conditions are expected to continue over the next 
couple of days. A few fires are evident across southern Guam this 
afternoon...with the main fire located near Leo palace. Dry and 
breezy conditions will maintain the risk of wild fires...yet 
conditions are not dry enough to warrant a Fire Weather Watch at 
this time. An approaching tropical disturbance is expected to 
bring scattered showers to the area late this weekend or early 
next week that will help mitigate the short term fire danger. 


&& 


Tropical systems... 
the exposed low-level circulation of invest area 98w is centered 
near 6n161e...with the most significant convection across the north 
semi-Circle. 98w seems slightly better organized this afternoon but 
seems nearly stationary at this time. Most models still indicate it 
will gradually move toward west-northwest and further develop in the 
coming days...and we will need to watch it closely. 


&& 


Eastern micronesia... 
invest area 98w centered between Kosrae and Pohnpei seems nearly 
stationary this afternoon. Satellite shows numerous showers spread 
around the north semi-Circle toward Pohnpei...while more showers 
were developing in convergent flow from across Kosrae state to the 
southern rmi and along the Equator. Rain could be heavy overnight 
for Pohnpei and scattered showers will linger across Kosrae and 
Majuro tonight at least. Models indicate 98w will gradually move 
toward the west-northwest and further develop in the coming days. 
Models also indicate that weather will be very slow to improve 
across eastern micronesia while a pattern of low-level convergence 
and a wet trade-wind flow persists through this weekend. 


Sea conditions...due to the small wind field of 98w...not much swell 
is anticipated near Pohnpei for the near term. The 15 to 20 knots winds 
north and northeast of the center will produce higher wind waves on 
top of the already present trade-wind swell. Therefore...expect a 
period of higher seas tonight through Friday but seas should remain 
below hazardous levels for small craft at Pohnpei and Kosrae. For 
Majuro...trade-wind waves and swell will sustain higher seas across 
the Marshall Islands and seas could reach hazardous levels for small 
craft on Monday or Tuesday. 


&& 


Western micronesia... 
Chuuk...model consensus indicates a west-northwest track of invest 
area 98w over the next several days. This forecast track takes 98w 
passing north of weno island Saturday evening. With only modest middle- 
level wind shear and enhanced divergent upper-level flows...it is 
likely for 98w to become better organized by then...and needs to be 
watched closely. Scattered showers are expected for Chuuk from 
Friday afternoon through Saturday and sea conditions could approach 
hazardous levels during the same time period. After 98w passes the 
Chuuk area then some showers and isolated thunderstorms will 
continue through the weekend as converging southeast winds train over 
the island. 


Yap and Koror...ascat analysis shows a remnant shear line across the 
Yap and Palau area with patchy clouds and a few showers persisting 
over far western micronesia. Models indicate moderate to fresh trade 
winds will continue across the area in the coming days with mainly 
just isolated shower coverage. In the longer term...models consensus 
indicates that invest area 98w over eastern micronesia will move 
toward west-northwest and develop slowly...possibly affecting Yap 
and Koror by Monday or Tuesday. Later forecasts for Koror and Yap 
will depend heavily on the development and track of invest area 
98w. 


Most of the northeast swell created by fresh to strong winds over 
the Philippine Sea are expected to remain north of Yap and Koror 
through Friday morning. The strong winds will shift eastward into 
the Mariana islands by Friday afternoon and this could help raise 
surf along north facing shores at Yap and Koror to near hazardous 
levels by Friday night. Seas and surf could build further early next 
week as invest area 98w passes just north of Yap. 


&& 


Gum watches/warnings/advisories... 
GU...none. 
Marianas waters...none. 
&& 


$$ 


Kleeschulte/Simpson 



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