Chapel Hill, North Carolina Weather Conditions

Your Weather

To update your location please enter your ZIP code, city, state, airport code or country in the field below. Weather by E-mail: Forecast storm alerts. Weather E-Mail Alert Sign Up »

Current Conditions

  • 49°
  • Clear
  • Wind: Variable 4 mph
  • Humidity: 59%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 35°
  • Pressure: 30.22 in. -

Select a Section

Click a section below for more information.

Next 12 Hours

4  pm
7  pm
10  pm
1  am
4  am
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Rain
Rain
Rain
Rain
50°
41°
39°
41°
41°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Sunday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 50 °
  • Low: 37 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Monday
  • Rain
  • High: 43 °
  • Low: 41 °
  • Rain
  • Tuesday
  • Rain
  • High: 55 °
  • Low: 54 °
  • Rain
  • Wednesday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 68 °
  • Low: 50 °
  • Chance of Rain
  • Thursday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 54 °
  • Low: 36 °
  • Partly Cloudy

Forecast for Chapel Hill, North Carolina

Updated: 10:00 AM EST on December 21, 2014

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy. High of 50F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain in the evening, then overcast with rain. Low of 37F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 80% with rainfall amounts near 0.2 in. possible.

  • Monday

    Overcast with rain, then a chance of rain in the afternoon. High of 43F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 80% with rainfall amounts near 0.2 in. possible.

  • Monday Night

    Overcast with a chance of rain. Low of 41F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Tuesday

    Overcast with a chance of rain, then rain in the afternoon. High of 55F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Tuesday Night

    Overcast with rain, then a chance of rain after midnight. Fog overnight. Low of 54F. Winds from the ESE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 80% with rainfall amounts near 0.8 in. possible.

  • Wednesday

    Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 68F. Winds from the South at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 0.5 in. possible.

  • Wednesday Night

    Overcast with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 50F. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Thursday

    Overcast in the morning, then clear. High of 54F. Winds from the WNW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear. Low of 36F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday

    Clear. High of 55F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 39F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy. High of 57F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 39F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the NNW after midnight.

  • Sunday

    Clear. High of 46F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Low of 28F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday

    Partly cloudy. High of 45F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Low of 28F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Clear. High of 45F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 25F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Clear. High of 39F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear. Low of 25F. Winds less than 5 mph.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Tenney Circle, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 3:41 PM EST

Temperature: 48.0 °F Dew Point: 38 °F Humidity: 67% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.23 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: Cosgrove Hill, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 3:46 PM EST

Temperature: 48.6 °F Dew Point: 39 °F Humidity: 70% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.23 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 49 °F Graphs

Location: Landerwood Lane, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:41 PM EST

Temperature: 50.2 °F Dew Point: 40 °F Humidity: 67% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.32 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Burning Tree Drive, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 3:41 PM EST

Temperature: 53.4 °F Dew Point: 44 °F Humidity: 71% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.25 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: - Graphs

Location: NC Botanical Garden, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 3:46 PM EST

Temperature: 48.9 °F Dew Point: 38 °F Humidity: 67% Wind: East at 2.9 mph Pressure: 30.23 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 49 °F Graphs

Location: Carrboro Elementary, Carrboro, NC

Updated: 3:46 PM EST

Temperature: 47.9 °F Dew Point: 37 °F Humidity: 66% Wind: WNW at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.24 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: Hogan Woods Circle, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 2:30 PM EST

Temperature: 48.7 °F Dew Point: 43 °F Humidity: 79% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.36 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 49 °F Graphs

Location: Hunter's Ridge Road, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 3:45 PM EST

Temperature: 48.4 °F Dew Point: 40 °F Humidity: 71% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.24 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: Westglen, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:46 PM EST

Temperature: 48.2 °F Dew Point: 35 °F Humidity: 61% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.25 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: Duke Forest, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:45 PM EST

Temperature: 51.0 °F Dew Point: 46 °F Humidity: 82% Wind: SW at 4.0 mph Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Edwards Pond, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 3:45 PM EST

Temperature: 47.1 °F Dew Point: 39 °F Humidity: 73% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.24 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 47 °F Graphs

Location: Windy Hill Neighborhood, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 3:46 PM EST

Temperature: 47.8 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 57% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.22 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: Chancellors Ridge, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:45 PM EST

Temperature: 49.5 °F Dew Point: 27 °F Humidity: 41% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.19 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 50 °F Graphs

Location: Lakewood, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:43 PM EST

Temperature: 47.7 °F Dew Point: 38 °F Humidity: 70% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.24 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: Rockwood, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:42 PM EST

Temperature: 48.6 °F Dew Point: 38 °F Humidity: 67% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.11 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 49 °F Graphs

Location: Lystra Estates, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 3:45 PM EST

Temperature: 46.9 °F Dew Point: 39 °F Humidity: 75% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.20 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 47 °F Graphs

Location: 510sRus@ Pinedale Dr, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:46 PM EST

Temperature: 47.9 °F Dew Point: 38 °F Humidity: 69% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.23 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: Trinity Park, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:46 PM EST

Temperature: 47.9 °F Dew Point: 39 °F Humidity: 70% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.22 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: Cedar Grove, Pittsboro, NC

Updated: 3:45 PM EST

Temperature: 48.0 °F Dew Point: 38 °F Humidity: 67% Wind: East at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.21 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: Burdens Creek, Morrisville, NC

Updated: 3:40 PM EST

Temperature: 48.0 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: 57% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: Carolina Preserve, Cary, NC

Updated: 3:46 PM EST

Temperature: 51.8 °F Dew Point: 37 °F Humidity: 57% Wind: ENE at 1.7 mph Pressure: 29.94 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Briar Chapel, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 3:36 PM EST

Temperature: 48.4 °F Dew Point: 39 °F Humidity: 70% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.19 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: Frosty Meadow, Pittsboro, NC

Updated: 3:44 PM EST

Temperature: 48.2 °F Dew Point: 37 °F Humidity: 64% Wind: ENE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.22 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: Churton Grove, Hillsborough, NC

Updated: 3:46 PM EST

Temperature: 47.6 °F Dew Point: 38 °F Humidity: 69% Wind: East at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.25 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: Cary Park, Cary, NC

Updated: 3:44 PM EST

Temperature: 51.9 °F Dew Point: 40 °F Humidity: 63% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.73 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Cary Park, Cary, NC

Updated: 3:45 PM EST

Temperature: 48.6 °F Dew Point: 38 °F Humidity: 67% Wind: NE at 3.0 mph Pressure: 30.24 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 49 °F Graphs

Location: Heritage Heights, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:33 PM EST

Temperature: 48.7 °F Dew Point: 38 °F Humidity: 65% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.12 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 49 °F Graphs

Location: Country Lane Estates, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:46 PM EST

Temperature: 47.3 °F Dew Point: 38 °F Humidity: 71% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.52 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 47 °F Graphs

Location: Fitzford Court, Durham, NC

Updated: 3:45 PM EST

Temperature: 46.5 °F Dew Point: 36 °F Humidity: 67% Wind: North at 2.8 mph Pressure: 30.22 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 46 °F Graphs

Location: Copperleaf, Cary, NC

Updated: 3:46 PM EST

Temperature: 48.7 °F Dew Point: 36 °F Humidity: 62% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.21 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 49 °F Graphs

Location: NE Durham County, (DW), Durham, NC

Updated: 3:44 PM EST

Temperature: 48.6 °F Dew Point: 36 °F Humidity: 62% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.17 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 49 °F Graphs

Location: Wexford, Wake Forest, NC

Updated: 3:41 PM EST

Temperature: 48.7 °F Dew Point: 43 °F Humidity: 79% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.27 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 49 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Raleigh NC 
255 PM EST sun Dec 21 2014 


Synopsis...high pressure to the north will set up a cold air 
damming event with precipiation chances increasing tonight and into 
Monday as a surface low moves up the southeast coast. 


&& 


Near term /through Monday night/... 
as of 220 PM Sunday... 


High pressure over the Middle Atlantic States is slowly shifting 
eastward this afternoon and into a favorable position for a hybrid 
cold air damming event to begin. This is keeping moisture penned up 
south of the area today but a southern stream shortwave will begin 
to create some troughing along the coast overnight tonight into 
Monday which will help to sharpen up The Wedge front across central 
NC and set the stage for a wet couple of days. 


For the rest of today expect less cloud cover east of Highway one 
with lingering MVFR ceilings in the west. This has been trying to 
burn off over the past several hours but some places are still under 
Grey skies. This is creating a lot of differential heating across 
the County Warning Area and any locales in the clearing have temperatures rising 
above forecasted highs and those under the cloud cover are still 
below forecasted highs. The end result will be plus or minus 50 
degrees depending on location. Winds are maintaining a northeasterly 
component and will continue to do so with speed around 5 kts. 


Tonight...moisture will begin to increase from the south aided by 
isentropic lift increasing over Top of the Wedge that will begin to 
build in this evening...and the right entrance region of an upper 
jet that is prognosticated to begin to move over central NC during the late 
night hours. High resolution models have precipitation beginning in 
the southern counties after 00z and spreading northward through the 
County Warning Area by about 4z or so. The onset of precipiation will also mark the 
beginning of MVFR ceilings. Low temperatures will range from the middle 
30s north to low 40s south. 


Monday and Monday night: rain is expected to persist through the day 
on Monday as the surface low moves northward just off the NC coast. 
Low ceilings at IFR levels are expected throughout the day. While 
rain is expected to be continuous...the quantitative precipitation forecast amounts with this system 
are fairly low. Only expect a total of a quarter to a half of an 
inch of rain. With The Wedge locked in to the west and the coastal 
trough to the east...there should be a fairy decent gradient from 
northwest to southeast in the high temperature spread on Monday. 
Highs in the northwest Piedmont will struggle to get to 40 degrees 
whereas highs closer to 50 will be common in the southeast. For the 
most part precipiation is expected to end after 00z Tuesday but 
continued moisture in the area will lend itself to continuing 
drizzle through the night on Monday. This wet and cool period will 
also lend itself to periods of patchy fog with the most likely times 
before sunrise on Tuesday. Lows in the middle 30s to lower 40s. 


&& 


Short term /Tuesday through Wednesday night/... 
as of 300 PM Sunday... 


Tuesday: 
middle-level dry air and the absence of discernible 
forcing...aside from weak southerly upglide...downstream of the 
deepening trough will keep measurable rain chances low across 
central NC during much of the day on Tuesday. Despite a lack of 
precipitation...shroud of low clouds will help to keep the lingering cold 
air wedge largely in place across central NC. Measurable rain 
chances will return by the late afternoon/evening with the 
resurgence of warm moist advection and low-level convergence along 
the northward retreating wedge front. Temperatures Tuesday during 
the day will remain the 40s throughout much of the day...the 
exception will be across the far southeast zones where nearby wedge/warm 
front could allow temperatures to warm into the lower 50s late in 
the day. 




Tuesday night through Wednesday night: 


Soggy...breezy...and possibly stormy conditions... 


Ahead of the amplifying upstream longwave trough and attendant surface 
cold front...deep Gulf moisture feed will transport anomalously high 
precipitable waters  of 1.5-1.7" into the region...which would rank in the 99th 
percentile(highest observed precipitable water during the month of Dec at kgso 
based on the radiosonde database which date backs to 1948 is 1.59"- 
12/21/1991). Strengthening right entrance jet region coupled with 
this strong moisture flux convergence will result in categorical 
probability of precipitation and a widespread soaking rain of 1-2"...heavy at times Tuesday 
night and into Christmas evening morning. Once the warm front lifts 
northward into the Virginia...there will likely be a lull in precipitation 
until the arrival of the cold front and attendant band of showers 
and possibly embedded thunder through the area between 00-06z 
Thursday...which is a bit slower than yesterdays timing. 


Severe potential: evaluating severe potential in a Low Cape-high 
shear environment is always difficult...even at closer time scales 
of 6-12 hours...much less at the current time scale of 3 to 4 days. 
The lull in precipitation during much of the daytime hours...may allow for 
some modest heating...especially from the US 1 corridor 
eastward...which could lead to better destabilization than model 
currently show(100-200j/kg mucape). Weak lapse rates aloft of 5.0- 
5.5 c/km along with the main dynamics passing over the Great 
Lakes...will limit widespread severe potential...but given 
impressive deep layer shear cannot rule out isolated severe storm at 
this time. 


Temperatures very challenging with high bust potential...dependent 
on evolution/timing/location of the retreating wedge front into the 
climatologically favored area across the far northwest Piedmont Tuesday 
night and into the day on Wednesday. Expect temperatures to steadily 
warm after midnight Tuesday night...with the exception being across 
the northwest Piedmont...where temperatures could hold nearly steady. Lows ranging 
from lower 40s northwest to middle 50s southeast. Warm sector should overspread much 
of the area by Wednesday afternoon...warming into the 60s across the 
Piedmont...and possibly lower 70s across the sandhills/southern 
coastal plain. Rapid clearing and cool air advection will commence 
Christmas evening evening/night with lows Christmas morning in the upper 
30s northwest to Lower/Middle 40s southeast. 


&& 


Long term /Thursday through Sunday/... 
as of 255 PM Sunday... 


Deepening surface low lifting northeastward into southeast Canada will result in 
breezy conditions on Christmas day. Otherwise dry with seasonably 
mild temperatures continuing into Friday as high pressure builds in 
from the northern Gulf. 


Model spread begins to increase dramatically late Friday through the 
weekend...with the ec much deeper with the next middle/upper level 
trough...resulting in yet another wet and unsettled period next 
weekend. Meanwhile...the less amplified GFS indicates quasi-zonal 
flow across southeast US with dry conditions through the weekend. 
Will indicate slight chance probability of precipitation until better agreement is reached. 


&& 


Aviation /18z Sunday through Friday/... 
as of 130 PM Sunday... 


Forecast is easier to manage today as the best conditions will be 
this afternoon and then followed by a high confidence forecast of 
conditions deteriorating after dark and into the overnight hours 
down to first MVFR and then IFR levels where they will remain for 
the remainder of the taf period. Adverse conditions are associated 
with a low pressure system developing off of the southeast coast 
that will bring an influx of moisture from the south. This will be 
in the form of rain as temperatures will remain above freezing 
throughout the event. While there may be pockets of some MVFR 
visibilities...IFR conditions will present in the form of low 
stratus. Precipitation will start just after 00z in the south and 
push northward until all sites are under the precipitation shield just 
after 4z give or take. The onset of precipitation should also mark 
the onset of MVFR conditions and then later on down to IFR near 
daybreak Monday. Winds will be 5-10 kts out of an east northeasterly 
direction for much of the taf period. Conditions are not expected to 
recover before 18z Monday. 


Long term: low ceilings are expected to remain well into midweek as 
continuous unsettled weather affects the area through Wednesday 
night. This will be characterized by periods of rain...fog and 
possibly a thunderstorm. Conditions should return to VFR for 
Christmas day with some afternoon gusty winds possible. 


&& 


Rah watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 


&& 


$$ 


Synopsis...Ellis 
near term...Ellis 
short term...cbl 
long term...cbl 
aviation...Ellis 






National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations

Non-Expanded Version (with abbreviations)

Powered by the Weather Underground, Inc.