Chapel Hill, North Carolina Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 64°
  • Clear
  • Wind: NW 14 mph
  • Humidity: 25%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 27°
  • Pressure: 29.87 in. +

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Next 12 Hours

11  am
2  pm
5  pm
8  pm
11  pm
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
61°
66°
68°
59°
57°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Wednesday
  • Clear
  • High: 72 °
  • Low: 43 °
  • Clear
  • Thursday
  • Clear
  • High: 72 °
  • Low: 54 °
  • Clear
  • Friday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 77 °
  • Low: 52 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Saturday
  • Clear
  • High: 81 °
  • Low: 54 °
  • Clear
  • Sunday
  • Clear
  • High: 73 °
  • Low: 54 °
  • Clear

Forecast for Chapel Hill, North Carolina

Updated: 11:00 AM EDT on April 23, 2014

  • Wednesday

    Clear. High of 72F. Winds from the NW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear. Low of 43F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday

    Clear in the morning, then partly cloudy. High of 72F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the SW in the afternoon.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 54F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain, then a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain in the afternoon. High of 77F. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain in the evening, then clear. Low of 52F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 81F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Mostly cloudy in the evening, then clear. Low of 54F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the NE after midnight.

  • Sunday

    Clear. High of 73F. Winds from the ENE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 54F. Winds from the East at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday

    Partly cloudy. High of 70F. Winds from the East at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the SSE in the afternoon.

  • Monday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 55F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog early. High of 70F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Tuesday Night

    Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms. Fog overnight. Low of 54F. Winds from the South at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 1.1 in. possible.

  • Wednesday

    Clear with a chance of rain. Fog early. High of 75F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 54F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Thursday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 66F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Thursday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 52F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy. High of 66F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 50F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy. High of 70F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 50F. Winds less than 5 mph.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Special Statement  Statement as of 7:08 am EDT on April 23, 2014


... Increased fire danger across central North Carolina today...

Gusty winds from the northwest combined with a very dry air mass
will create conditions favorable for increased fire activity
today. Northwest winds around 10 to 15 mph will gust to around 25
mph... and minimum relative humidity of around 25 percent is
expected. The drying effects of the wind will make dead grasses
and leaves potentially combustible from any ignition source...
such as a spark or discarded smoking material.

Outdoor burning is strongly discouraged. Any unattended fire
should be reported immediately to the local Fire Department.


708 am EDT Wed Apr 23 2014

... Increased fire danger across central North Carolina today...

Gusty winds from the northwest combined with a very dry air mass
will create conditions favorable for increased fire activity
today. Northwest winds around 10 to 15 mph will gust to around 25
mph... and minimum relative humidity of around 25 percent is
expected. The drying effects of the wind will make dead grasses
and leaves potentially combustible from any ignition source...
such as a spark or discarded smoking material.

Outdoor burning is strongly discouraged. Any unattended fire
should be reported immediately to the local Fire Department.



415 am EDT Wed Apr 23 2014

... Increased fire danger across central North Carolina today...

Gusty winds from the northwest combined with a very dry air mass
will create conditions favorable for increased fire activity
today. Northwest winds around 10 to 15 mph will gust to around 25
mph... and minimum relative humidity of around 25 percent is
expected. The drying effects of the wind will make dead grasses
and leaves potentially combustible from any ignition source...
such as a spark or discarded smoking material.

Outdoor burning is strongly discouraged. Any unattended fire
should be reported immediately to the local Fire Department.



 Public Information Statement  Statement as of 6:24 am EDT on April 23, 2014


The warning alarm feature of the NOAA weather and all hazards
radio will be activated for test purposes this morning...
between 11 am and noon. This test is conducted every Wednesday
morning... unless there is is a threat of severe weather.



Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Cosgrove Hill, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 11:31 AM EDT

Temperature: 66.4 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 28% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Smith Middle School, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 11:31 AM EDT

Temperature: 64.5 °F Dew Point: 29 °F Humidity: 26% Wind: West at 6.0 mph Pressure: 29.50 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Carrboro Elementary, Carrboro, NC

Updated: 11:31 AM EDT

Temperature: 67.1 °F Dew Point: 31 °F Humidity: 26% Wind: NE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: RAWS DUKE FOREST NC US, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 10:16 AM EDT

Temperature: 63 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 32% Wind: NNW at 11 mph Pressure: 29.43 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Westglen, Durham, NC

Updated: 11:31 AM EDT

Temperature: 75.0 °F Dew Point: 26 °F Humidity: 16% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.85 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: Hope Valley, Durham, NC

Updated: 11:23 AM EDT

Temperature: 69.6 °F Dew Point: 30 °F Humidity: 23% Wind: WNW at 3.2 mph Pressure: 29.68 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Duke Forest, Durham, NC

Updated: 11:31 AM EDT

Temperature: 65.0 °F Dew Point: 31 °F Humidity: 27% Wind: SE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.51 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Edwards Pond, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 11:30 AM EDT

Temperature: 65.4 °F Dew Point: 38 °F Humidity: 37% Wind: NW at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Chancellors Ridge, Durham, NC

Updated: 11:31 AM EDT

Temperature: 66.4 °F Dew Point: 8 °F Humidity: 10% Wind: North at 2.2 mph Pressure: 29.81 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Stoneycreek Neighborhood, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 11:32 AM EDT

Temperature: 62.2 °F Dew Point: 30 °F Humidity: 29% Wind: West at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.84 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Lakewood, Durham, NC

Updated: 11:21 AM EDT

Temperature: 64.0 °F Dew Point: 36 °F Humidity: 36% Wind: NNE at 5.0 mph Pressure: 29.85 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Lystra Estates, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 11:30 AM EDT

Temperature: 68.3 °F Dew Point: 40 °F Humidity: 35% Wind: NNW at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.85 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: 510sRus@ Pinedale Dr, Durham, NC

Updated: 11:31 AM EDT

Temperature: 63.8 °F Dew Point: 35 °F Humidity: 34% Wind: NNW at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.85 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Trinity Park, Durham, NC

Updated: 11:31 AM EDT

Temperature: 68.0 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 28% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.84 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Briar Chapel, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 11:27 AM EDT

Temperature: 66.9 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 30% Wind: West at 3.0 mph Pressure: 29.82 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Cary Park, Cary, NC

Updated: 11:30 AM EDT

Temperature: 67.6 °F Dew Point: 23 °F Humidity: 18% Wind: NE at 3.8 mph Pressure: 30.35 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Cary Park, Cary, NC

Updated: 11:31 AM EDT

Temperature: 67.1 °F Dew Point: 29 °F Humidity: 24% Wind: North at 9.0 mph Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Heritage Heights, Durham, NC

Updated: 11:17 AM EDT

Temperature: 66.4 °F Dew Point: 35 °F Humidity: 31% Wind: WNW at 2.7 mph Pressure: 29.75 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Country Lane Estates, Durham, NC

Updated: 11:31 AM EDT

Temperature: 65.5 °F Dew Point: 36 °F Humidity: 33% Wind: NE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.17 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: River Road Pittsboro, Pittsboro, NC

Updated: 11:31 AM EDT

Temperature: 65.8 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 31% Wind: NNW at 4.0 mph Pressure: 29.83 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: NE Durham County, (DW), Durham, NC

Updated: 11:30 AM EDT

Temperature: 66.0 °F Dew Point: 31 °F Humidity: 27% Wind: WNW at 4.0 mph Pressure: 29.79 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 11:31 AM EDT

Temperature: 63.8 °F Dew Point: 28 °F Humidity: 26% Wind: NW at 8.0 mph Pressure: 29.85 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Twin Lakes, Cary, NC

Updated: 11:24 AM EDT

Temperature: 67.5 °F Dew Point: 25 °F Humidity: 20% Wind: SW at 6.8 mph Pressure: 29.70 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Swann's Mill, Durham, NC

Updated: 11:25 AM EDT

Temperature: 68.7 °F Dew Point: 41 °F Humidity: 37% Wind: NNW at 4.2 mph Pressure: 29.71 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Jordan Lake, Pittsboro, NC

Updated: 11:29 AM EDT

Temperature: 65.0 °F Dew Point: 35 °F Humidity: 33% Wind: NE at 4.0 mph Pressure: 29.84 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Cascades, Hillsborough, NC

Updated: 11:30 AM EDT

Temperature: 64.5 °F Dew Point: 37 °F Humidity: 36% Wind: WSW at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.79 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Overlook, Cary, NC

Updated: 11:17 AM EDT

Temperature: 69.4 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 25% Wind: NNW at 3.0 mph Pressure: 29.92 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Calander Estates, Durham, NC

Updated: 11:31 AM EDT

Temperature: 62.2 °F Dew Point: 35 °F Humidity: 36% Wind: NW at 7.0 mph Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Brier Creek Country Club, Raleigh, NC

Updated: 11:29 AM EDT

Temperature: 66.9 °F Dew Point: 23 °F Humidity: 19% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.62 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Crosswinds Boating Center Break Water, Apex, NC

Updated: 11:18 AM EDT

Temperature: 64.2 °F Dew Point: 36 °F Humidity: 35% Wind: NNW at 15.0 mph Pressure: 29.84 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: North Durham, Durham, NC

Updated: 10:43 AM EDT

Temperature: 67.3 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: West at 3.0 mph Pressure: 29.80 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Raleigh NC 
951 am EDT Wednesday Apr 23 2014 


Synopsis...high pressure will build in from the northwest through 
Thursday. A cold front will approach from the west on Friday. 


&& 


Near term /through Thursday night/... 
as of 950 am Wednesday... 


Through tonight: the cold front has pushed through central NC and 
over the next few hours will see decreasing dewpoints and increasing 
winds and wind gusts. With relative humidity values in the 20-30 percent range... 
and northwest winds sustained at 10-15 kts...gusting to 20-25 kts this 
afternoon...will result in increased fire danger. Still expect highs 
today in the upper 60s across the north...to middle 70s south. 
Tonight...high pressure will build into the area. Winds will 
decrease and shift to north and northeast...with continued clear 
skies. Lows will range from the middle to upper 30s along the Virginia 
border...to low to middle 40s across the south. The temperature 
criteria for a frost advisory is currently lower than the forecast 
lows...thus will not issue one at this point...however the chance 
for some very isolated patches of frost cannot be ruled out 
completely. -Kc 


For Thursday/Thursday night: another generally clear day expected... with 
another reinforcing front dropping through from the north to knock 
thicknesses back down to readings nearly 30 M below normal. Despite 
plenty of sunshine with a surface ridge nosing in from the north and 
weak middle level ridging building in from the west... we should see 
below-normal highs of 67-73. A warm frontal zone will approach 
central NC from the SW late Thursday night... resulting in a 
strengthening flow from the SW and quickly increasing low level 
moisture from SW to NE. Moist isentropic upglide ramps up around 
295k especially in the SW half of the County Warning Area... so will trend toward 
increasing cloudiness areawide and mention patchy drizzle over the 
far SW County Warning Area (including Winston-Salem / Asheboro / Albemarle / 
Wadesboro / laurinburg) late Thursday night. Milder lows of 46-53. -Gih 


&& 


Short term /Friday through Saturday night/... 
as of 325 am Wednesday... 


A progressive shortwave and associated surface frontal zone will 
move into the Tennessee and Ohio valleys Friday morning...then 
across the mountains during the day on Friday. Model solutions have 
actually diverged a bit regarding the timing of the best forcing and 
subsequent quantitative precipitation forecast. The GFS continues to be the faster solution...with 
the upper trough and lobe of vorticity moving across central NC by 
midday...while the trailing frontal zone crosses the area during the 
afternoon and evening. This seems to suggest possible showers 
earlier in the day less potential for heating and destabilization 
ahead of the front. The ecwmf has trended sharper and a bit deeper 
with the trough...which leads to a slower solution but better 
heating...particularly over the coastal plain. Low-level moisture 
return ahead of the front is weak but should allow dewpoints to rise 
into the upper 50s and lower 60s...which combined with forecast 
highs in the 75-81 range but weak middle-level lapse rates...should 
yield weak instability...maybe 500-1000 j/kg mainly across the south 
and east. Deep layer is forecast to be on the order of 25- 
35kt...though strongest to the north away from better instability. 
Potential for severe seems limited given the marginal 
shear/instability...but the slower trend with the European model (ecmwf) and stronger 
DCVA would support a little better chance. Given that the middle-level 
flow will be westerly and drying...will keep probability of precipitation in the chance 
range with highs in the middle 70s west to lower 80s east. 


The cold front should push east of the County Warning Area by midnight Friday night 
and bring precipitation chances to an end. A secondary frontal zone is 
forecast to approach but remain north of the area. Thus the main 
sensible impact will be lower humidity on Saturday...with forecast 
highs in the upper 70s and lower 80s. 


&& 


Long term /Sunday through Tuesday/... 
as of 325 am Wednesday... 


The progressive flow over the Continental U.S. This week is forecast transition 
to a more amplified and even blocked flow next week...though the GFS 
and European model (ecmwf) dont yet agree on the degree of blocking in the flow. 
In general...a strong trough will eject out of the Southern Plains 
this weekend and then likely close off into an upper low over the 
Midwest states by Monday.....With another low over the northern 
Atlantic and a shortwave ridge in between. The big question will 
be where a frontal zone to our north ends up on Sunday and then how 
quickly precipitation spreads east along the front Monday and Tuesday as 
the upper low moves slowly to the east. The GFS suggest the front 
will undercut the upper ridge and slip backdoor into the area by 
Sunday...while the European model (ecmwf) keep the front well north of NC. Precipitation 
chances should increase dramatically by Tuesday as the upper low 
finally moves east of the Mississippi River. Temperatures during the time 
frame will be mostly around normal...though uncertainty grows into 
Monday and Tuesday as the potential for cloud cover and precipitation grow. 


&& 


Aviation /12z Wednesday through Sunday/... 
as of 715 am Wednesday... 


A cold front will sweep east-southeast through central NC this morning. High 
confidence in VFR conditions today through tonight... with few to no 
clouds and no further restrictions to visibilities as high pressure builds 
in from the northwest. Of some concern however is the shift of winds with 
frontal passage to northwesterly. Sustained winds of 12-16 kts may 
gust up to 20-25 kts from daybreak through late afternoon. This may 
cause crosswind problems at gso/rdu/rwi/Fay today. Winds will 
diminish soon after 22z. 


Looking beyond 12z Thursday morning: continued VFR through Thursday evening 
with a high pressure ridge in place across central NC. A warm front 
will approach from the SW Thursday night... bringing winds from the SW 
and a good chance of IFR conditions... which should gradually 
improve to MVFR Friday morning with scattered showers and storm from 
Friday morning into the afternoon. A cold front will then move through 
by Friday evening... with high pressure to follow... bringing light 
winds and VFR conditions over the weekend. -Gih 


&& 


Fire weather /today through early this evening/... 
as of 330 am Wednesday... 


..increased fire danger today due to gusty winds and low humidity... 


A cold front will push southeast of the area this morning. 
Increasing winds from the northwest sustained at 12-18 miles per hour will 
gusts occasionally to as high as 22-29 miles per hour. These winds... combined 
with minimum relative humidity values of 21-27 percent... and 
somewhat low fine fuel moisture in the 7-8% range... will pose a 
threat for adverse fire behavior today. Will reissue a Special 
Weather Statement addressing the increased fire danger... and will 
continue the headline in pre-suppression fire weather products. 


The relative humidity will be a bit higher on Thursday... with lighter winds... however 
the fine fuels are likely to be even drier. Therefore... those 
involved in outdoor burning should continue to use extra caution. 


&& 


Rah watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 


&& 


$$ 


Synopsis...Hartfield 
near term...kc/Hartfield 
short term...Smith 
long term... Smith 
aviation...Hartfield 
fire weather...Hartfield 






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