Chapel Hill, North Carolina Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 73°
  • Scattered Clouds
  • Wind: Calm
  • Humidity: 90%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 70°
  • Pressure: 29.92 in. +

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Next 12 Hours

11  pm
2  am
5  am
8  am
11  am
Thunderstorm
T-storms
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
74°
71°
70°
72°
80°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Saturday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 86 °
  • Low: 68 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Sunday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 86 °
  • Low: 67 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Monday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 82 °
  • Low: 68 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Tuesday
  • Clear
  • High: 88 °
  • Low: 70 °
  • Clear
  • Wednesday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 90 °
  • Low: 70 °
  • Chance of T-Storms

Forecast for Chapel Hill, North Carolina

Updated: 10:49 PM EDT on July 3, 2015

  • Rest of Tonight

    Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms late this evening...then scattered showers. Near steady temperature in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.

  • Independence Day

    Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Warmer with highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

  • Saturday Night

    Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms...mainly in the evening. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in the evening. Chance of rain 40 percent.

  • Sunday

    Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely... mainly in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 80s. Light and variable winds. Chance of rain 60 percent.

  • Sunday Night

    Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely... mainly in the evening. Lows in the upper 60s. Light and variable winds. Chance of rain 60 percent.

  • Monday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of rain 50 percent.

  • Monday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening...then partly cloudy after midnight. Lows in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 40 percent.

  • Tuesday through Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Lows around 70. Chance of rain 30 percent.

  • Friday

    Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 80s. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Shady Lawn Road, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 11:15 PM EDT

Temperature: 73.4 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 100% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.96 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Cosgrove Hill, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 11:20 PM EDT

Temperature: 73.8 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.02 in Heat Index: 70 °F Graphs

Location: Lake Forest, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 11:11 PM EDT

Temperature: 72.9 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.81 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Bendenkamp, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 11:16 PM EDT

Temperature: 74.1 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.97 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 72 °F Graphs

Location: Burning Tree Drive, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 11:20 PM EDT

Temperature: 74.5 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

Location: Smith Middle School, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 11:20 PM EDT

Temperature: 72.9 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.53 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: NC Botanical Garden, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 11:20 PM EDT

Temperature: 72.1 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.02 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Carrboro Elementary, Carrboro, NC

Updated: 11:20 PM EDT

Temperature: 72.2 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Alta Springs, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 11:20 PM EDT

Temperature: 75.6 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.97 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 75 °F Graphs

Location: Everwood, Durham, NC

Updated: 11:11 PM EDT

Temperature: 73.4 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.66 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 70 °F Graphs

Location: North Garrett Road, Durham, NC

Updated: 9:31 PM EDT

Temperature: 76.3 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: North Garrett Road, Durham, NC

Updated: 11:15 PM EDT

Temperature: 72.7 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 100% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.77 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Westglen, Durham, NC

Updated: 11:20 PM EDT

Temperature: 73.4 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Duke Forest, Durham, NC

Updated: 10:59 PM EDT

Temperature: 73.0 °F Dew Point: -23 °F Humidity: - Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.54 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 71 °F Graphs

Location: Edwards Pond, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 11:20 PM EDT

Temperature: 72.0 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Windy Hill Neighborhood, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 11:20 PM EDT

Temperature: 72.5 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Amy Lane, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 11:19 PM EDT

Temperature: 72.0 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Stoneycreek Neighborhood, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 11:20 PM EDT

Temperature: 72.8 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Lakewood, Durham, NC

Updated: 11:16 PM EDT

Temperature: 73.9 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Heat Index: 70 °F Graphs

Location: Rockwood, Durham, NC

Updated: 11:20 PM EDT

Temperature: 73.9 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.77 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 70 °F Graphs

Location: Crooked Creek Lane, Durham, NC

Updated: 11:16 PM EDT

Temperature: 73.6 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Fairfield, Durham, NC

Updated: 11:06 PM EDT

Temperature: 73.9 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.69 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET, Durham, NC

Updated: 10:58 PM EDT

Temperature: 73 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Fairfield-Sturbridge, Durham, NC

Updated: 11:09 PM EDT

Temperature: 75.6 °F Dew Point: 75 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.59 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 10:56 PM EDT

Temperature: 72 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.83 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: 510sRus@ Pinedale Dr, Durham, NC

Updated: 11:20 PM EDT

Temperature: 73.5 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.04 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: WS1001BMC, Hillsborough, NC

Updated: 11:20 PM EDT

Temperature: 73.0 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.60 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Lake Park, Durham, NC

Updated: 11:19 PM EDT

Temperature: 74.1 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.60 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.07 in Heat Index: 70 °F Graphs

Location: Briar Chapel, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 11:15 PM EDT

Temperature: 73.7 °F Dew Point: 71 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: WNW at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.82 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 72 °F Graphs

Location: Rue du Lieutenant Chabal, Durham, NC

Updated: 11:16 PM EDT

Temperature: 73.6 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.48 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Cole Mill Road, Durham, NC

Updated: 11:20 PM EDT

Temperature: 73.8 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Trinity Park, Durham, NC

Updated: 11:20 PM EDT

Temperature: 73.6 °F Dew Point: 73 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Raleigh NC 
1000 PM EDT Friday Jul 3 2015 


Synopsis...a series of upper level disturbances will track across 
the region through the Holiday weekend...bringing periods of showers 
and thunderstorms to central North Carolina. 


&& 


Near term /through tonight/... 
as of 1000 PM Friday... 


Afternoon/evening convection has been rather benign as extensive 
cloud cover earlier today kept temperatures down...thus limiting the 
amount of instability. A short wave lifting northeast towards the 
middle Atlantic coast is largely responsible for the area of convection 
currently exiting northeastern NC. Otherwise...any remaining 
convection over our forecast area will continue to weaken as 
instability wanes even more. However...weak disturbances aloft 
coupled with the moisture rich air mass may support a few showers 
through the overnight hours. Overnight lows will be similar to 
previous nights...generally upper 60s to lower 70s. 


&& 


Short term /Saturday and Saturday night/... 
as of 340 PM Friday... 


Positively tilted middle-upper level trough will remain in place to our 
west-northwest with minor perturbations lifting northeastward in the SW flow aloft. 
Bulk of this energy will pass to our west-NW. With afternoon 
heating...low level atmosphere should become moderately 
unstable...and with available moisture... generate scattered 
thunderstorms...mainly across the northern Piedmont...between 22z- 
03z. Low-middle level wind strength of 30-40kts will create decent 
shear with straight-line hodographs highly probable. This suggest 
broken bands of convection rather than supercellular structure. 
Still could see a strong/locally damaging winds and marginally large 
hail (size of a quarter or less) with the stronger storms. 


Partial-mostly sunny skies through middle afternoon should warm temperatures 
well into the 80s to around 90. The exception will be the northwest 
Piedmont where clouds may be prominent...holding maximum temperatures in the 
middle 80s. 


Similar to tonight...expect majority of the showers/storms to 
dissipate around midnight with a few showers probable well into the 
night. Min temperatures 68-73. 


&& 


Long term /Sunday through Friday/... 
as of 225 PM Friday... 


A closed middle-level low will drift north-northeast across the southern and 
central Appalachians on Sunday...while a surface boundary remains along 
the NC/Virginia border. As the closed low lifts to the north...so will the 
surface boundary...moving north into Virginia Sunday night. As such...the best 
chance for rain and greatest coverage of showers/thunderstorms during the 
day Sunday will be in vicinity of of the boundary...basically areas north of Highway 
64. Forecast soundings show modest cape and shear...with instability 
limited by extensive cloud coverage. But with high precipitable water (>1.75") and 
relatively slow storm motion...will have to keep a close watch on 
localized flood potential. 


On Monday...the surface boundary will be well to our north. Models show 
that a middle level disturbance rotating around the aforementioned 
closed low will move up from the south and cross the eastern half of 
the state during the afternoon. With this being the primary feature 
of the day...the best chance for rain is expected across locations 
from the coastal plain and eastward...with perhaps most of our County Warning Area 
west of I-95 remaining dry. 


For Tuesday through Friday...all indications at this point suggest 
the sub-tropical ridge will become established over the Carolinas 
and southeast in the wake of the aforementioned closed low getting 
absorbed into the westerly flow to our north. This pattern should 
keep the deepest moisture...best synoptic scale forcing...and best 
chance for rain mainly to our north. But this time of year... 
isolated showers/thunderstorms can never be ruled out...especially in vicinity of of the 
Piedmont trough and to our east in vicinity of the sea breeze...so will 
maintain near-climatology probability of precipitation for widely scattered mainly-diurnal 
showers/thunderstorms across our area each day. 


As for temperatures during the long term...near-normal temperatures Sunday and 
Monday will gradually warm to a degree or so above normal by middle- 
week as the subtropical ridge sets up over the Carolinas. Normal 
highs are upper 80s to around 90...and normal lows in the upper 60s. 


&& 


Aviation /00z Saturday through Wednesday/... 
as of 735 PM Friday... 


24 hour taf period: convection moving into The Triad this hour will 
last for the next hour or two before waning. A weaker area of 
showers and thunderstorms is approaching krdu from the southwest and 
probably wont reach the vicinity for another hour or two. At the 
moment kfay and krwi are in the relative clear with no upstream 
development. Triad sites will likely experience at least MVFR 
conditions for the next couple of hours and then models indicating 
another round of MVFR visibilities near daybreak. All other sites 
expected to remain VFR outside of convection. Winds be predominately 
southwesterly through the end of the taf period with isolated to 
scattered showers and thunderstorms again possible tomorrow. Gusty 
winds late Saturday afternoon may only reach 15 kts in The Triad and 
krdu but kfay and krwi could see gusts of 20 kts up until sunset. 


Long term: long term models show the unsettled pattern holding over 
central NC...indicating a chance for showers and thunderstorms as 
well as adverse aviation conditions at least through midweek. 


&& 


.Rah watches/warnings/advisories... 
None. 


&& 


$$ 


Synopsis...krd 
near term...krd 
short term...wss 
long term...rah 
aviation...Ellis 



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