Chapel Hill, North Carolina Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 71°
  • Scattered Clouds
  • Wind: Calm
  • Humidity: 78%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 64°
  • Pressure: 30.25 in. +

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Next 12 Hours

9  am
12  pm
3  pm
6  pm
9  pm
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
Overcast
Overcast
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
74°
79°
82°
82°
74°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Wednesday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 84 °
  • Low: 67 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Thursday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 87 °
  • Low: 65 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Friday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 88 °
  • Low: 65 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Saturday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 88 °
  • Low: 67 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Sunday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 89 °
  • Low: 65 °
  • Chance of T-Storms

Forecast for Chapel Hill, North Carolina

Updated: 5:05 AM EDT on January 27, 2015

  • Wednesday

    Mixed clouds and sun with scattered thunderstorms. High 84F. Winds SSW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Mostly cloudy skies. Scattered thunderstorms this evening. Low 67F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Thursday

    Cloudy skies during the morning hours followed by scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 87F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy skies early. Scattered thunderstorms developing later at night. Low near 65F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy early. Scattered thunderstorms developing in the afternoon. High 88F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy skies. Low around 65F. Winds light and variable.

  • Saturday

    Sunshine and clouds mixed. High 88F. Winds S at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Mostly clear skies. Low 67F. Winds light and variable.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy early. Scattered thunderstorms developing in the afternoon. High 89F. Winds SW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Sunday Night

    Scattered thunderstorms during the evening, then partly cloudy overnight. Low near 65F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Monday

    Partly cloudy with afternoon showers or thunderstorms. High around 80F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Monday Night

    Partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms before midnight. Low 62F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Tuesday

    Overcast with rain showers at times. High 82F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Tuesday Night

    Variable clouds with showers and scattered thunderstorms. Storms more numerous during the evening. Low around 65F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Wednesday

    Partly cloudy in the morning followed by scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 84F. Winds ENE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Scattered thunderstorms during the evening, then partly cloudy overnight. Low 68F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Thursday

    Intervals of clouds and sunshine. High 88F. Winds ESE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low 69F. Winds light and variable.

  • Friday

    Considerable clouds early. Some decrease in clouds later in the day. High 89F. Winds E at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Considerable cloudiness with occasional rain showers. Low 69F. Winds E at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Saturday

    Rain showers in the morning with scattered thunderstorms arriving in the afternoon. High 89F. Winds E at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Saturday Night

    Variably cloudy with scattered thunderstorms. Low near 70F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 50%.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Public Information Statement  Statement as of 5:32 am EDT on May 27, 2015



The warning alarm feature of the NOAA weather and all hazards
radio will be activated for test purposes this morning...
between 11 am and noon. This test is conducted every Wednesday
morning... unless there is a threat of severe weather.



Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Shady Lawn Road, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 7:30 AM EDT

Temperature: 69.3 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.30 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Tenney Circle, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 7:30 AM EDT

Temperature: 69.4 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.24 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Cosgrove Hill, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 7:33 AM EDT

Temperature: 71.2 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.22 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Westminster Drive, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 7:30 AM EDT

Temperature: 67.3 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.29 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Bendenkamp, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 7:31 AM EDT

Temperature: 69.6 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 84% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.30 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Burning Tree Drive, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 7:30 AM EDT

Temperature: 71.8 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 75% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.26 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 73 °F Graphs

Location: Smith Middle School, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 7:33 AM EDT

Temperature: 68.6 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: SSW at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: NC Botanical Garden, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 7:33 AM EDT

Temperature: 66.7 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.22 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Alta Springs, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 7:30 AM EDT

Temperature: 72.7 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 80% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.31 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 73 °F Graphs

Location: Everwood, Durham, NC

Updated: 7:19 AM EDT

Temperature: 69.8 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: SSE at 2.2 mph Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Hunter's Ridge Road, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 7:30 AM EDT

Temperature: 70.7 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 85% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.25 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: North Garrett Road, Durham, NC

Updated: 7:31 AM EDT

Temperature: 72.0 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 78% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.34 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 73 °F Graphs

Location: North Garrett Road, Durham, NC

Updated: 7:30 AM EDT

Temperature: 68.2 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.11 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Westglen, Durham, NC

Updated: 7:33 AM EDT

Temperature: 70.2 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.28 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Duke Forest, Durham, NC

Updated: 7:33 AM EDT

Temperature: 70.0 °F Dew Point: -23 °F Humidity: - Wind: North at 6.0 mph Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Edwards Pond, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 7:30 AM EDT

Temperature: 66.0 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.23 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Windy Hill Neighborhood, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 7:33 AM EDT

Temperature: 67.1 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.24 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Chancellors Ridge, Durham, NC

Updated: 7:33 AM EDT

Temperature: 72.1 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 73% Wind: NW at 1.6 mph Pressure: 30.18 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: 74 °F Graphs

Location: Amy Lane, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 7:32 AM EDT

Temperature: 69.8 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: ENE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.22 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Lakewood, Durham, NC

Updated: 7:18 AM EDT

Temperature: 71.0 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: SSW at 3.0 mph Pressure: 30.21 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Tuscaloosa -Lakewood, Durham, NC

Updated: 7:31 AM EDT

Temperature: 74.8 °F Dew Point: 74 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.32 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 72 °F Graphs

Location: Rockwood, Durham, NC

Updated: 7:30 AM EDT

Temperature: 70.7 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.10 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Crooked Creek Lane, Durham, NC

Updated: 7:31 AM EDT

Temperature: 69.8 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.20 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Fairfield, Durham, NC

Updated: 7:27 AM EDT

Temperature: 76.3 °F Dew Point: 70 °F Humidity: 82% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: 77 °F Graphs

Location: Fairfield-Sturbridge, Durham, NC

Updated: 7:28 AM EDT

Temperature: 72.1 °F Dew Point: 72 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 6:39 AM EDT

Temperature: 66 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.14 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: 510sRus@ Pinedale Dr, Durham, NC

Updated: 7:33 AM EDT

Temperature: 70.2 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.20 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: WS1001BMC, Hillsborough, NC

Updated: 7:33 AM EDT

Temperature: 68.4 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Lake Park, Durham, NC

Updated: 7:33 AM EDT

Temperature: 69.4 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.94 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Rue du Lieutenant Chabal, Durham, NC

Updated: 7:31 AM EDT

Temperature: 67.6 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.80 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET, Bynum, NC

Updated: 7:02 AM EDT

Temperature: 66 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.17 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Cole Mill Road, Durham, NC

Updated: 7:33 AM EDT

Temperature: 70.3 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.23 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Trinity Park, Durham, NC

Updated: 7:33 AM EDT

Temperature: 71.6 °F Dew Point: 69 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: North at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.20 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Lawrence Road, Hillsborough, NC

Updated: 7:30 AM EDT

Temperature: 68.7 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 83% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.07 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Cedar Grove, Pittsboro, NC

Updated: 7:30 AM EDT

Temperature: 69.3 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: WSW at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.20 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Heat Index: - Graphs

Location: Burdens Creek, Morrisville, NC

Updated: 7:30 AM EDT

Temperature: 70.2 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: 93% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.83 in Hourly Precipitation: - Heat Index: - Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Raleigh NC 
658 am EDT Wednesday may 27 2015 


Synopsis...Bermuda high pressure centered over the western Atlantic 
will prevail through the weekend. 


&& 


Near term /through tonight/... 
as of 300 am Wednesday... 


Strong middle/upper level ridge off the eastern Seaboard may weaken a 
bit while drifting ever so slightly eastward. Meanwhile...Bermuda 
high pressure over the western Atlantic will keep a warm humid 
airmass in place. 


Shortwave energy embedded in the southwest flow aloft and seasonably 
moist precipitable waters  of 1.5-1.6"(~80th percentile) will support scattered 
convection as heating will steepen low-level lapse rates during the 
day. Additionally...left-over outflow boundary from weakening 
convection currently over the western Piedmont may also serve as a 
focus for convective initiation later today. As such...probability of precipitation will be 
marginally higher than the past few days... and perhaps more 
equitable rain chances for the central Piedmont...with nearby upper 
ridge limiting rain/convective chances in the east. 


Weak/marginal ml cape between 500-800j/kg coupled with deep layer 
shear of 10-15kts will favor disorganized convection with little to 
no severe threat. 


Temperatures...with precipitable waters  creeping up today...expected increase in 
cloud cover and slightly better rain chances may knock a degree or 
two off of yesterdays readings. Highs in the lower to middle 80s 
northwest to middle/upper 80s southeast. Lows in the middle to upper 60s. 


&& 


Short term /Thursday and Thursday night/... 
as of 300 am Wednesday... 


Middle and upper-level flow becomes increasingly more westerly on 
Thursday as the shortwave trough over the lower Great Lakes 
progresses eastward into southern New England throughout the day. In 
response...models hint at weak Lee-side troughiness development 
across the western Piedmont...while drifting the lingering vorticity 
shear axis eastward into the coastal plain. 


With continued seasonably moist air in place...these two features 
along with diurnal destabilization will serve as a focus for 
scattered convection Thursday afternoon/early evening. 


Persistence temperature forecast will be followed. Highs 83 to 88. 
Lows in the middle to upper 60s. 


&& 


Long term /Friday through Tuesday/... 
as of 315 am Wednesday... 


The upper level ridge axis along the East Coast will retrograde 
westward on Friday as surface high pressure also edges back across 
the area. Drier air within the ridge should lead to a significant 
reduction in instability across the east...with only the western 
Piedmont forecast to see any cape values approaching 1000 j/kg. 
With moisture and instability confined to the west...much of the County Warning Area 
will be free of convection and just isolated to widely scattered 
storms over the western Piedmont. Coverage will be even less on 
Saturday with the upper ridge axis overhead...though models hint at 
some activity along the seabreeze as it makes a modest push inland. 
Little change in the airmass and even a little warming aloft 
suggests highs continuing in the middle and upper 80s for the most 
part. Lows in the middle 60s. 


From Sunday Onward...precipitation chances are expected to increase rather 
dramatically from north to south as the upper ridge again shows 
signs of weakening in response to a northern stream shortwave 
crossing the northern tier of the US and a cold front moves into the 
Ohio Valley/mid-Atlantic region. However...the deterministic GFS and 
European model (ecmwf) runs differ in the southward push of the front...with the GFS 
indicating the front will settle south over NC by Monday and the 
European model (ecmwf) suggesting the front will stall to our north as another couple 
shortwaves ride along the frontal zone...only to then be followed by 
a bagging cutoff low somewhere over the Gulf Coast stated by 
midweek. Not a lot of confidence in the details...but will tend to 
favor the European model (ecmwf)...which is the somewhat less active solution with 
the front stalling to our north. In either scenario... Monday 
through Wednesday could be an active period with above normal probability of precipitation 
and temperatures a bit closer to normal. 


&& 


Aviation /12z Wednesday through Sunday/... 
as of 658 am Wednesday... 


Areas of IFR and MVFR ceilings should lift to VFR by 15-16z. Mainly 
diurnal isolated to scattered showers and storms are expected this 
afternoon. But this probability appears too low to mention in the 
terminal forecast at this time. 


Beyond the 00z valid taf period...the threat for restrictions in 
early morning fog/stratus will continue the weekend as Bermuda high 
pressure holds over the area. Isolated to scattered mainly afternoon 
and evening thunderstorms are expected again on Thursday. Rain 
chances will begin to into the weekend as upper level ridge 
retrogrades west over the area. 




&& 


Rah watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 


&& 


$$ 


Synopsis...cbl 
near term...cbl 
short term...cbl 
long term...bls 
aviation...cbl 



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