Chapel Hill, North Carolina Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 39°
  • Scattered Clouds
  • Wind: West 9 mph
  • Humidity: 39%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 16°
  • Pressure: 29.82 in. -
  • Heat Index: 33

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Next 12 Hours

1  pm
4  pm
7  pm
10  pm
1  am
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
41°
43°
36°
34°
30°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Tuesday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 45 °
  • Low: 25 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Wednesday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 43 °
  • Low: 25 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Thursday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 48 °
  • Low: 36 °
  • Chance of Rain
  • Friday
  • Clear
  • High: 46 °
  • Low: 23 °
  • Clear
  • Saturday
  • Clear
  • High: 43 °
  • Low: 28 °
  • Clear

Forecast for Chapel Hill, North Carolina

Updated: 10:00 AM EST on January 27, 2015

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy. High of 45F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 25F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Clear in the morning, then partly cloudy. High of 43F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear in the evening, then partly cloudy. Low of 25F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday

    Partly cloudy. High of 48F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Thursday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain in the evening, then clear. Low of 36F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the West after midnight.

  • Friday

    Clear. High of 46F. Winds from the NW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Clear. Low of 23F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 43F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 28F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. High of 48F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Sunday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 36F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 0.5 in. possible.

  • Monday

    Clear. High of 61F. Breezy. Winds from the WNW at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Low of 21F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Clear. High of 36F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 21F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Clear. High of 43F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear. Low of 27F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday

    Clear. High of 43F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 27F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday

    Clear. Fog early. High of 39F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 27F. Winds less than 5 mph.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Shady Lawn Road, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 1:51 PM EST

Temperature: 41.5 °F Dew Point: 23 °F Humidity: 48% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 42 °F Graphs

Location: Tenney Circle, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 1:50 PM EST

Temperature: 41.4 °F Dew Point: 20 °F Humidity: 42% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.80 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 41 °F Graphs

Location: Cosgrove Hill, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 1:52 PM EST

Temperature: 43.2 °F Dew Point: 20 °F Humidity: 40% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.80 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 43 °F Graphs

Location: Burning Tree Drive, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 1:50 PM EST

Temperature: 47.1 °F Dew Point: 36 °F Humidity: 64% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.83 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 47 °F Graphs

Location: Smith Middle School, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 1:52 PM EST

Temperature: 42.2 °F Dew Point: 17 °F Humidity: 36% Wind: NNE at 5.0 mph Pressure: 29.42 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 39 °F Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET Chapel Hill NC US, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 1:17 PM EST

Temperature: 41 °F Dew Point: 20 °F Humidity: 43% Wind: WNW at 1 mph Pressure: 29.80 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 41 °F Graphs

Location: NC Botanical Garden, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 1:52 PM EST

Temperature: 42.4 °F Dew Point: 19 °F Humidity: 39% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.81 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 42 °F Graphs

Location: Carrboro Elementary, Carrboro, NC

Updated: 1:52 PM EST

Temperature: 43.8 °F Dew Point: 18 °F Humidity: 35% Wind: ESE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.81 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 44 °F Graphs

Location: Everwood, Durham, NC

Updated: 1:44 PM EST

Temperature: 44.8 °F Dew Point: 17 °F Humidity: 32% Wind: NW at 3.8 mph Pressure: 29.56 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 43 °F Graphs

Location: Hunter's Ridge Road, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 1:51 PM EST

Temperature: 42.3 °F Dew Point: 24 °F Humidity: 48% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.82 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 42 °F Graphs

Location: Westglen, Durham, NC

Updated: 1:51 PM EST

Temperature: 42.8 °F Dew Point: 14 °F Humidity: 30% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.81 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 43 °F Graphs

Location: Hope Valley, Durham, NC

Updated: 1:46 PM EST

Temperature: 46.9 °F Dew Point: 18 °F Humidity: 31% Wind: SW at 3.7 mph Pressure: 29.64 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 46 °F Graphs

Location: Duke Forest, Durham, NC

Updated: 1:51 PM EST

Temperature: 43.0 °F Dew Point: 21 °F Humidity: 38% Wind: SE at 3.0 mph Pressure: 29.48 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 43 °F Graphs

Location: Edwards Pond, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 1:50 PM EST

Temperature: 41.4 °F Dew Point: 22 °F Humidity: 45% Wind: NNE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.82 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 41 °F Graphs

Location: Windy Hill Neighborhood, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 1:52 PM EST

Temperature: 41.4 °F Dew Point: 7 °F Humidity: 24% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.77 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 41 °F Graphs

Location: Chancellors Ridge, Durham, NC

Updated: 1:52 PM EST

Temperature: 43.9 °F Dew Point: -1 °F Humidity: 15% Wind: South at 1.6 mph Pressure: 29.76 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 44 °F Graphs

Location: Stoneycreek Neighborhood, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 1:52 PM EST

Temperature: 40.5 °F Dew Point: 15 °F Humidity: 35% Wind: North at 13.0 mph Pressure: 29.78 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 33 °F Graphs

Location: Lakewood, Durham, NC

Updated: 1:52 PM EST

Temperature: 40.5 °F Dew Point: 20 °F Humidity: 44% Wind: NNW at 3.0 mph Pressure: 29.80 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 40 °F Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET Durham NC US, Durham, NC

Updated: 1:07 PM EST

Temperature: 37 °F Dew Point: 20 °F Humidity: 50% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.82 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 37 °F Graphs

Location: Rockwood, Durham, NC

Updated: 1:50 PM EST

Temperature: 42.8 °F Dew Point: 21 °F Humidity: 42% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.68 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 43 °F Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET Durham NC US, Durham, NC

Updated: 1:19 PM EST

Temperature: 39 °F Dew Point: 23 °F Humidity: 52% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.82 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 39 °F Graphs

Location: Fairfield, Durham, NC

Updated: 1:51 PM EST

Temperature: 48.2 °F Dew Point: 24 °F Humidity: 38% Wind: North at 1.7 mph Pressure: 29.54 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: 510sRus@ Pinedale Dr, Durham, NC

Updated: 1:52 PM EST

Temperature: 40.6 °F Dew Point: 19 °F Humidity: 41% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.80 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 41 °F Graphs

Location: WS1001BMC, Hillsborough, NC

Updated: 1:52 PM EST

Temperature: 42.4 °F Dew Point: 12 °F Humidity: 28% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.46 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 42 °F Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET Hillsborough NC US, Hillsborough, NC

Updated: 1:16 PM EST

Temperature: 40 °F Dew Point: 20 °F Humidity: 44% Wind: NNW at 1 mph Pressure: 29.78 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 40 °F Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET Chapel Hill NC US, Bynum, NC

Updated: 1:15 PM EST

Temperature: 41 °F Dew Point: 19 °F Humidity: 40% Wind: SW at 2 mph Pressure: 29.78 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 41 °F Graphs

Location: Huckleberry Heights, Durham, NC

Updated: 1:52 PM EST

Temperature: 45.7 °F Dew Point: 5 °F Humidity: 21% Wind: WSW at 4.7 mph Pressure: 30.20 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 43 °F Graphs

Location: Trinity Park, Durham, NC

Updated: 1:52 PM EST

Temperature: 42.1 °F Dew Point: 21 °F Humidity: 43% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.79 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 42 °F Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET Durham NC US, Durham, NC

Updated: 1:16 PM EST

Temperature: 41 °F Dew Point: 21 °F Humidity: 45% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.80 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 41 °F Graphs

Location: Cedar Grove, Pittsboro, NC

Updated: 1:50 PM EST

Temperature: 42.7 °F Dew Point: 18 °F Humidity: 36% Wind: East at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.79 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 43 °F Graphs

Location: Burdens Creek, Morrisville, NC

Updated: 1:50 PM EST

Temperature: 36.9 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: 41% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.44 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 37 °F Graphs

Location: Carolina Preserve, Cary, NC

Updated: 1:45 PM EST

Temperature: 47.2 °F Dew Point: 20 °F Humidity: 34% Wind: NNE at 1.7 mph Pressure: 29.85 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 47 °F Graphs

Location: Briar Chapel, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 1:45 PM EST

Temperature: 42.9 °F Dew Point: 18 °F Humidity: 37% Wind: NNW at 1.0 mph Pressure: 29.77 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 43 °F Graphs

Location: Fearrington Post, Pittsboro, NC

Updated: 1:50 PM EST

Temperature: 48.4 °F Dew Point: 28 °F Humidity: 45% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.00 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Raleigh NC 
1245 PM EST Tuesday Jan 27 2015 


Synopsis...strong low pressure off New England will move northeast 
away from our area this afternoon and evening. Cold high pressure 
will build in from the northwest through early Thursday. A clipper 
low pressure system will swing by just to our north late Thursday 
through Thursday night... then high pressure will again build into 
our area from the northwest on Friday. 


&& 


Near term /through this afternoon/... 
as of 1047 am Tuesday... 


Radar...surface observations... and reports from around the northern 
coastal plain into the NE Piedmont... (from Tarboro and Halifax to 
near rdu)... indicate some very light snow and/or flurries continue 
from time to time. Other than the dusting up to nearly an inch 
reports from around Henderson and Warrenton to a dusting at 
Louisburg and Rocky Mount around sunrise... there have been no 
additional accumulations reported. The ground is warm enough to 
allow melting of much of what snow earlier fell in the NE. Roads and 
streets were just wet or drying now. 


A couple of northwest to southeast oriented bands of light snow flurries continue 
to affect areas from Lake Gaston and Roanoke Rapids to near Tarboro 
(10-20 dbz returns)... and even lighter reflectively returns (5-10 
dbz) indicate a few flurries from Henderson to near Goldsboro. It is 
in the 10-20dbz returns in which we have reports of 3-6 mile 
visibilities with the light snow and flurries... especially in the 
band now positioned northwest to southeast along the Roanoke River. The other band 
with weaker returns from Louisburg to Wilson and Goldsboro is where 
there are a few flurries noted. 


Drier air continued to work in from western Virginia into north central NC 
late morning. Areas from Roanoke south and east through The Triad to 
Danville were mostly sunny. It will continue to be a slow process 
this afternoon... but the drying will eventually win out. Expect the 
aforementioned bands of light snow/flurries to persist a few more 
hours before the support finally allows dissipation and movement 
east with time. 


This will lead to skies becoming partly to mostly sunny by late 
afternoon in all but the far NE where clearing should ensue this 
evening. Otherwise... we dropped highs back a few degrees due to the 
cold air advection... and the lingering clouds in some areas. Highs 38 north and 
northeast to 45 around Laurinburg and Fayetteville. 


&& 


Short term /tonight through Thursday night/... 
as of 200 am Tuesday... 


Expect drying to continue into tonight with clearing skies but winds 
remaining 5-10 kts so not exactly great for radiational cooling but 
temperatures will still manage to drop into the middle 20s with the change 
in airmass. 


Wednesday and Wednesday night: a dry day expected for Wednesday as 
central NC is sandwiched between the exiting blizzard to the 
northeast and incoming high pressure to the northwest. Surface 
pressure gradient will relax a little but still a good cold air 
advection regime both at the surface and aloft on the back side of 
the upper level trough. This will keep temperatures down in the low to middle 
40s...about 10 degrees below normal for this time of year. Winds 5- 
10 kts out of the north veering to northeasterly later in the day. 
Clouds will gradually increase in the northwest on Wednesday night 
as the next low pressure system moves into the Ohio Valley. This 
will help to keep low temperatures up in The Triad. Generally middle 
20s but possibly some lower 20s in our eastern normally cold 
zones.Thu/Thu night: the Great Lakes shortwave trough will track east-southeast 
then eastward across the northeast/midatlantic states... tracking 
through the base of the polar low over Hudson Bay... while its 
corresponding surface low crosses the Ohio Valley and midatlantic 
coast. After a chilly morning with the surface ridge overhead... 
increasing southerly low level flow as the high shifts south-southeast will 
allow for a modest recovery in thicknesses... but still below 
normal... and the temperature rise will be hindered by thickening and 
lowering clouds with approaching weak middle level DPVA and low level 
frontal zone. But models still show precipitable water values just barely reaching 
above normal... and GFS/NAM bufr forecast soundings show a dry 
subcloud layer below 850 mb through Thursday. Model quantitative precipitation forecast is also scant 
with the GFS/NAM/sref mean staying dry over central NC through Thursday 
night. After 00z the column starts to dry out aloft behind the 700 
mb trough... and just ahead of the surface front which is expected 
to sweep east through central NC after midnight. Will trim back 
existing slight chance probability of precipitation a bit... focusing them late Thursday 
afternoon until shortly after midnight... however am reluctant to 
remove them entirely as the European model (ecmwf) continues to generate light precipitation 
late Thursday afternoon and Thursday evening. Expect highs Thursday in the middle 40s 
to around 50. Lows Thursday night 32-38. 


&& 


Long term /Friday through Monday/... 
as of 200 am Tuesday... 


Friday-Sat: the middle level trough axis will be swinging to our east Friday 
morning with the surface cold front pushing off the NC coast. Northwest low 
level flow will bring in cooler air as high pressure initially 
centered over northern minn drifts southeast... building into and over 
the midatlantic through Virginia/eastern NC through Sat. Should see mostly 
clear skies Friday/Friday night... followed by increasing high thin clouds 
Sat as we start to see initial energy ejecting from the desert SW 
low track eastward within confluent northwest middle level flow. With falling 
thicknesses Friday... expect below-normal highs in the middle 40s to lower 
50s. Lows Friday night in the middle 20s... then with such a chilly start 
and the Canadian-source air mass building in yielding thicknesses at 
least 30 M below normal... highs Sat should only be in the 40-45 
range. 


Sat night-Mon: a lot of uncertainty in the details persists this 
morning... however it's looking more likely that we're entering into 
a period of more active weather dominated by southern stream energy 
but with potential injections of cooler air from the northern 
stream. A northern stream wave dropping southeast from Montana through the 
Central Plains will merge with southern stream energy emanating from 
the low over northern mex Sat night/sun... bringing middle level DPVA into 
NC sun/Sun night. The shifting of the surface high east-southeast off the coast 
will allow a moist return flow off the Gulf into the Gulf/midsouth 
and southeast states... as surface low pressure develops along the 
baroclinic zone near the northwest Gulf Coast and tracks northeast toward 
NC. The GFS/European model (ecmwf) bring precipitation into western NC by midday sun... then 
spread it eastward through central NC Sun night into early Monday 
morning. Both the GFS/European model (ecmwf) show a Miller type-b cyclogenesis 
pattern but with varied low placement... with the European model (ecmwf) depicting a 
further-south triple point low track versus the GFS. The latest runs 
shows sufficiently warm low- and middle-level thicknesses to support an 
all-rain event... but given this pattern... will need to watch model 
trends carefully in the coming days. With otherwise good model 
agreement on timing and the middle-level pattern... will bump up 
probability of precipitation... focusing the higher chances Sun afternoon through Sun 
night... tapering down west-to-east Monday morning as the dampening middle 
level shortwave trough shifts east over the midatlantic/ northeast 
with surface frontal passage through NC. Expect improving weather 
late Monday with another Canadian high centered over the Midwest 
building into our area. Expect below normal temperatures through Sun 
night... with more uncertainty for highs on Monday as much will depend 
on whether or not we get into the warm sector before frontal 
passage. Will keep temperatures below normal for now but if model warming 
trends hold... may need to bump up Monday highs quite a bit in later 
forecasts. -Gih 


&& 


Aviation /18z Tuesday through Saturday/... 
as of 1245 PM Tuesday... 


24 hour taf period: MVFR ceilings will gradually give way to VFR ceilings... 
then clear skies over the NE zones (krdu-krwi) this evening. 
Otherwise... VFR conditions expected all areas tonight and 
Wednesday. 


Long term: generally VFR conditions are expected even with the the 
next cold front crosses the area late Thursday night or Friday. 
There may be a light shower or MVFR ceilings at that time. 


&& 


Rah watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 


&& 


$$ 


Synopsis...Badgett 
near term...Badgett 
short term...Hartfield 
long term...Hartfield 
aviation...Badgett 






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