Chapel Hill, North Carolina Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 63°
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Wind: Calm
  • Humidity: 87%
  • Visibility: 8.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 59°
  • Pressure: 29.65 in. -

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Next 12 Hours

10  pm
1  am
4  am
7  am
10  am
Chance of a Thunderstorm
Chance of T-storms
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
65°
64°
60°
56°
60°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Tuesday
  • Clear
  • High: 71 °
  • Low: 48 °
  • Clear
  • Wednesday
  • Clear
  • High: 77 °
  • Low: 54 °
  • Clear
  • Thursday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 70 °
  • Low: 47 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Friday
  • Clear
  • High: 70 °
  • Low: 49 °
  • Clear
  • Saturday
  • Rain
  • High: 63 °
  • Low: 47 °
  • Rain

Forecast for Chapel Hill, North Carolina

Updated: 8:17 PM EDT on January 20, 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 89 in effect until 10 PM EDT this evening...
  • Monday

    Partly cloudy. Lows overnight in the mid 50s.

  • Monday Night

    Some clouds. Low 56F. Winds W at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday

    A mainly sunny sky. High 71F. Winds WNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear skies. Low 48F. Winds light and variable.

  • Wednesday

    Mostly sunny skies. High 77F. Winds WSW at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Generally fair. Low 54F. Winds WNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday

    Sunshine and clouds mixed. High around 70F. Winds NW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear skies. Low 47F. Winds light and variable.

  • Friday

    Except for a few afternoon clouds, mainly sunny. High near 70F. Winds NW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low 49F. Winds light and variable.

  • Saturday

    Rain showers in the morning will evolve into a more steady rain in the afternoon. High 63F. Winds NE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 80%. Rainfall around a quarter of an inch.

  • Saturday Night

    Cloudy with periods of rain. Low 47F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 60%. Rainfall near a quarter of an inch.

  • Sunday

    Cloudy with occasional rain showers. High 68F. Winds N at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear skies. Low 46F. Winds light and variable.

  • Monday

    Partly cloudy early followed by increasing clouds with showers developing later in the day. High 69F. Winds NW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Monday Night

    Showers in the evening with some clearing overnight. Low 51F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Tuesday

    Partly to mostly cloudy. High 68F. Winds NNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Partly cloudy skies. Low near 50F. Winds light and variable.

  • Wednesday

    Sunshine and clouds mixed. High 68F. Winds NW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    A few showers in the evening, then clear overnight. Low near 50F. Winds light and variable. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Thursday

    Rain showers early with mostly sunny conditions later in the day. High 73F. Winds WNW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Thursday Night

    A mostly clear sky. Low 54F. Winds light and variable.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Severe Thunderstorm Watch  Statement as of 9:03 PM EDT on April 20, 2015


Severe Thunderstorm Watch 89 remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT
for the following locations


NC
. North Carolina counties included are

Alamance Alleghany Anson
Ashe Bertie Caswell
Chatham Davidson Durham
Edgecombe Forsyth Franklin
gates Granville Guilford
Halifax Harnett Hertford
Johnston Lee Montgomery
Moore Nash Northampton
Orange person Randolph
Richmond Rockingham Stanly
Stokes Surry Vance
wake Warren Watauga
Wilkes Wilson Yadkin





Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Shady Lawn Road, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 9:22 PM EDT

Temperature: 63.7 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.71 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Tenney Circle, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 9:22 PM EDT

Temperature: 63.3 °F Dew Point: 61 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.65 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Cosgrove Hill, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 9:22 PM EDT

Temperature: 63.0 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.64 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Westminster Drive, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 9:22 PM EDT

Temperature: 62.1 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.70 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Bendenkamp, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 9:22 PM EDT

Temperature: 64.6 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 85% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.72 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Burning Tree Drive, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 9:22 PM EDT

Temperature: 62.6 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 86% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.69 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Smith Middle School, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 9:23 PM EDT

Temperature: 61.9 °F Dew Point: 61 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.28 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: NC Botanical Garden, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 9:22 PM EDT

Temperature: 61.9 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.64 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Carrboro Elementary, Carrboro, NC

Updated: 9:22 PM EDT

Temperature: 62.3 °F Dew Point: 61 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.64 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Alta Springs, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 9:22 PM EDT

Temperature: 66.6 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.73 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Everwood, Durham, NC

Updated: 9:16 PM EDT

Temperature: 62.2 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.42 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Hunter's Ridge Road, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 9:22 PM EDT

Temperature: 64.9 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.67 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Westglen, Durham, NC

Updated: 9:22 PM EDT

Temperature: 62.2 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.68 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Edwards Pond, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 9:20 PM EDT

Temperature: 61.1 °F Dew Point: 59 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.64 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Windy Hill Neighborhood, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 9:23 PM EDT

Temperature: 61.5 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.66 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Chancellors Ridge, Durham, NC

Updated: 9:22 PM EDT

Temperature: 63.9 °F Dew Point: 57 °F Humidity: 79% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.59 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Stoneycreek Neighborhood, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 9:22 PM EDT

Temperature: 62.0 °F Dew Point: 59 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.61 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Lakewood, Durham, NC

Updated: 9:10 PM EDT

Temperature: 63.3 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.64 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Tuscaloosa -Lakewood, Durham, NC

Updated: 9:19 PM EDT

Temperature: 65.1 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.70 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Rockwood, Durham, NC

Updated: 9:22 PM EDT

Temperature: 64.6 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.52 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Crooked Creek Lane, Durham, NC

Updated: 9:22 PM EDT

Temperature: 64.4 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.63 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET, Durham, NC

Updated: 8:59 PM EDT

Temperature: 63 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.64 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Fairfield, Durham, NC

Updated: 9:08 PM EDT

Temperature: 65.5 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.35 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: 510sRus@ Pinedale Dr, Durham, NC

Updated: 9:22 PM EDT

Temperature: 62.9 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.64 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: WS1001BMC, Hillsborough, NC

Updated: 9:22 PM EDT

Temperature: 63.1 °F Dew Point: 60 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.34 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Lake Park, Durham, NC

Updated: 9:22 PM EDT

Temperature: 63.5 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.37 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET, Hillsborough, NC

Updated: 8:32 PM EDT

Temperature: 62 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 86% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.69 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET, Bynum, NC

Updated: 8:32 PM EDT

Temperature: 64 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.58 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Trinity Park, Durham, NC

Updated: 9:22 PM EDT

Temperature: 63.2 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 96% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.63 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Lawrence Road, Hillsborough, NC

Updated: 9:22 PM EDT

Temperature: 65.1 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 78% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.48 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Cedar Grove, Pittsboro, NC

Updated: 9:21 PM EDT

Temperature: 62.6 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: SSE at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.62 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Carolina Preserve, Cary, NC

Updated: 9:16 PM EDT

Temperature: 65.4 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.68 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Briar Chapel, Chapel Hill, NC

Updated: 9:17 PM EDT

Temperature: 64.3 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.60 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Fearrington Post, Pittsboro, NC

Updated: 9:22 PM EDT

Temperature: 66.9 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Raleigh NC 
735 PM EDT Monday Apr 20 2015 


Synopsis...a cold front will track east across the region tonight. 
High pressure will build in from the southwest late tonight through 
Tuesday... then shift off the coast Tuesday night into Wednesday. 
A cold front will approach from the north Wednesday night. 


&& 


Near term /through tonight/... 
as of 735 PM Monday... 


Update: modest precipitable water has kept coverage from getting out of hand so far. 
We're seeing plenty of high reflectivities in the lowest 15-20 
kft... however cores above 25 kft have been fairly muted... and tops 
have struggled to reach 30-35 kft. This may be a result of weak 
instability above 25 kft... noted in the latest rap soundings. 
Nevertheless... we've still managed to get vigorous enough 
convection with persistent cells possessing long-lived mesocyclonic 
characteristics to generate several reports of dime to quarter size 
hail. Storm Prediction Center mesoanalyses still have effective deep layer shear in 
excess of 45 kts with modest MLCAPE near 1000 j/kg... still 
indicative of potential for a few severe cells. Will retain the 
Severe Thunderstorm Watch for much of the Piedmont... and based on 
the this favorable air mass extending into the NE County Warning Area and on 
extrapolation of existing severe and near-severe storms... have 
added areas to the watch... mainly along/north of a line from 
Lillington to Smithfield to Wilson. Coverage so far has been limited 
to areas from Raleigh to the north and west. The latest convection 
allowing models show little to no activity over the southeast corner of the 
County Warning Area. Have reduced probability of precipitation in the southeast for the remainder of the 
night. -Gih 


Now through this evening: numerous signals continue to support an 
enhanced risk of severe storms in central NC. Heating/mixing 
dissipated the weak cap over the region nearly 2 hours ago... 
yielding explosive convection to our SW over NE Georgia and upstate SC. 
See no reason why this won't continue to expand northeastward toward 
central NC over the next few hours. Kinematics remain robust with 
effective deep layer shear over 40 kts (according to Storm Prediction Center 
mesoanalyses) and rap analyses revealing a long straight line 
hodograph supportive of splitting supercells. MLCAPE and MUCAPE 
values are rapidly growing and now sit near 1000 j/kg and 1500-2000 
j/kg respectively... and low level lapse rates have reached near 8 
c/km. These factors along with derived parameters including the 
Craven sigsvr and supercell composite parameter support sustained 
supercells. Precipitable water values are above normal but not incredibly high... 
and this may limit coverage somewhat initially... but all 
indications are that convection will grow and congeal into a linear 
mesoscale convective system or or multicell clusters affecting a larger area. Damaging 
straight line winds and large hail still look to be the primary 
threats... given the long straight hodograph and fat cape in the 0c 
to -30c layer with convection allowing models indicating strong 
updrafts. Intense tornadoes look to be less likely with local heights 
up to 1000 M currently and somewhat marginal storm relative helicity 
values... but a few tornadoes remain possible in this environment. 
Storm motion is expected to be 40-50 miles per hour from the west-southwest... and these 
translational speeds will exacerbate the effects of any strong winds 
associated with individual storms. Strong to severe convection now 
over the gsp County Warning Area will continue to expand to the NE... so expect the 
greatest severe risk over central NC to be between 4 PM and 8 PM... 
gradually tapering down afterward... with little more than isolated 
trailing showers after 11 PM. 


After midnight: the cold front will move east-southeast through central NC 
between midnight and 6 am... and expect clearing skies with the 
onset of downslope low level flow and a drying column. Still expect 
lows from around 50 in the northwest to around 60 southeast as cooler air rushes 
in late. -Gih 


&& 


Short term /Tuesday and Tuesday night/... 
as of 330 PM Monday... 


The cold front will have pushed just southeast of the forecast area by 
daybreak Tuesday... with high pressure building in from the Gulf 
states... then drifting across Georgia/Southern SC. Forecast soundings show a 
stable and dry column with just a few flat cumulus near the top of the 
mixed layer in the afternoon. A passing weak vorticity maximum could 
also bring a stream of middle/high clouds in the evening. Highs below 
normal at 68-74 with partly to mostly sunny skies. Mostly clear Tuesday 
night with the high shifting off the coast. Lows 44-50. -Gih 


&& 


Long term /Wednesday through Monday/... 
as of 300 PM Monday... 


Wednesday through Thursday night...dry conditions will persist on 
Wednesday as high pressure across the southeast US gradually slips 
offshore Wednesday morning/early afternoon. Another cold front will 
approach the area late Wednesday into Thursday. However...limited 
moisture return ahead of this system will keep precipitation chances 
minimal. Nevertheless...will keep a slight chance pop in the 
forecast for Wednesday night/early Thursday...but most places will 
likely stay dry and those that see precipitation will have meager amounts. 
Highs on Wednesday will rise into the middle/upper 70s...while on 
Thursday highs will range from the upper 60s across the north 
(earlier frontal passage) to the middle 70s further south. Overnight 
lows will generally be in the middle/upper 40s to lower 50s (coolest 
Thursday night behind the front). 


Friday through Monday...uncertainty remains fairly high with respect 
to the end of the week and especially into the weekend. The overall 
pattern indicates the aforementioned cold front will stall just 
south of the region for the end of the week. Then...as a southern 
stream system approaches...multiple waves of low pressure will ride 
along this boundary...spreading precipitation back into the area. 
However...as can be expected this far out...details have yet to be 
worked out. Regardless...will show probability of precipitation early in the weekend with... 
as of now at least...drier conditions by Sunday. Monday also looks 
to be dry...but another system is prognosticated to be on our doorstep by 
late Monday/Monday night. Temperatures will generally be near to slightly 
below normal through the time frame. 


&& 


Aviation /00z Tuesday through Saturday/... 
as of 735 PM Monday... 


Scattered storms will continue to affect portions of central NC with 
brief periods of sub-VFR conditions. One band of scattered storms 
will affect rdu through 03z... and will potentially reach rwi 
affecting that site 02z-05z. At this time... it appears that the 
storms will hold largely to the northeast of Fay. A second band of 
storms over the northern foothills and northern mountains of NC may skirt near 
int but is also expected to stay mainly northwest of The Triad. Brief MVFR 
to IFR conditions are possible in and near storms... as well as pea 
to quarter size hail. Otherwise... VFR conditions will dominate 
through tonight. Winds from the SW at 10-15 kts gusting to 20-25 kts 
will persist... veering around to westerly with diminishing gusts 
after passage of a cold front after 04z. A short period of MVFR ceilings 
are possible with frontal passage... but generally we expect VFR 
conditions late tonight through the end of the taf valid period with 
mostly clear skies. 


Looking beyond 00z Wednesday... VFR conditions should hold through Wednesday as 
high pressure builds over the region. A few hours of sub-VFR 
ceilings/visibilities with a few showers are possible Wednesday evening/night into 
early Thursday as a disturbance moves quickly across the deep south and 
southeast states. VFR conditions and cooler weather will follow for 
late Thursday into Sat. -Gih 


&& 


Rah watches/warnings/advisories... none. 


&& 


$$ 


Synopsis...Hartfield 
near term...Hartfield 
short term...Hartfield 
long term...krd 
aviation...Hartfield 



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