Minot, North Dakota Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 39°
  • Clear
  • Wind: SW 12 mph
  • Humidity: 67%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 29°
  • Pressure: 29.32 in. -
  • Heat Index: 32

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Next 12 Hours

9  pm
12  am
3  am
6  am
9  am
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Snow
Chance of Snow
Chance of Snow
Chance of Snow
Chance of Snow
Chance of Snow
37°
39°
32°
36°
28°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Sunday
  • Snow
  • High: 30 °
  • Low: 10 °
  • Snow
  • Monday
  • Chance of Snow
  • High: 25 °
  • Low: 18 °
  • Chance of Snow
  • Tuesday
  • Chance of Snow
  • High: 36 °
  • Low: 7 °
  • Chance of Snow
  • Wednesday
  • Chance of Snow
  • High: 14 °
  • Low: -2 °
  • Chance of Snow
  • Thursday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 10 °
  • Low: 1 °
  • Partly Cloudy

Forecast for Minot, North Dakota

Updated: 9:00 PM CST on November 22, 2014

Wind Advisory in effect from 10 am Sunday to midnight CST Sunday night...
  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain in the afternoon. Fog early. High of 43F. Winds from the South at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Saturday Night

    Overcast with chance of snow in the evening, then partly cloudy with ice pellets and a chance of snow. Low of 27F with a windchill as low as 21F. Breezy. Winds from the SW at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation 30% .

  • Sunday

    Overcast with a chance of snow, then snow in the afternoon. High of 30F with a windchill as low as -2F. Windy. Winds from the WNW at 20 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph. Chance of snow 60%.

  • Sunday Night

    Overcast with a chance of snow. Low of 10F with a windchill as low as 0F. Windy. Winds from the NW at 15 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph. Chance of snow 20% with accumulations up to 1 in. possible.

  • Monday

    Overcast in the morning, then partly cloudy with a chance of snow. High of 25F with a windchill as low as -4F. Breezy. Winds from the NW at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of snow 20%.

  • Monday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow. Low of 18F with a windchill as low as 9F. Winds from the West at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 20%.

  • Tuesday

    Overcast with a chance of snow in the morning, then mostly cloudy with a chance of snow. High of 36F with a windchill as low as 16F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 30%.

  • Tuesday Night

    Overcast with a chance of snow in the evening, then mostly cloudy. Low of 7F. Winds from the North at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Overcast with a chance of snow in the afternoon. Fog early. High of 14F with a windchill as low as -6F. Winds from the ENE at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 20% with accumulations up to 1 in. possible.

  • Wednesday Night

    Overcast with a chance of snow. Low of -2F with a windchill as low as -11F. Winds from the NE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 20% with accumulations up to 1 in. possible.

  • Thursday

    Overcast in the morning, then mostly cloudy. High of 10F with a windchill as low as -13F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 1F with a windchill as low as -11F. Winds from the WNW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy. Fog early. High of 14F with a windchill as low as -13F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Clear. Low of -4F with a windchill as low as -11F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy. Fog early. High of 14F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow. Fog overnight. Low of -2F with a windchill as low as -13F. Winds from the ESE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 40% with accumulations up to 2 in. possible.

  • Sunday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow. Fog early. High of 12F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the WNW in the afternoon. Chance of snow 20%.

  • Sunday Night

    Mostly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 3F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday

    Overcast with a chance of snow. Fog early. High of 12F with a windchill as low as 1F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of snow 20% with accumulations up to 1 in. possible.

  • Monday Night

    Overcast. Fog overnight. Low of 1F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Overcast with a chance of snow. Fog early. High of 12F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of snow 20% with accumulations up to 1 in. possible.

  • Tuesday Night

    Mostly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of -4F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Clear. High of 14F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear. Low of -4F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Wind Advisory  Statement as of 9:42 PM CST on November 22, 2014


... Wind Advisory remains in effect from 10 am Sunday to midnight
CST Sunday night...

* timing... Sunday and Sunday evening.

* Winds... northwest with gusts to 50 mph.

* Impacts... the wind will make travel hazardous especially for
high profile vehicles. The combination of strong winds and light
snow could create areas of reduced visibility in blowing snow.
Snow accumulations around an inch are possible.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds of 30 to 40 mph... and
or gusts under 58 mph... are expected. Winds this strong can make
driving difficult... especially for high profile vehicles. Use
extra caution.






Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Why Not Minot, Minot, ND

Updated: 10:14 PM CST

Temperature: 37.2 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 81% Wind: SW at 6.3 mph Pressure: 29.21 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 32 °F Graphs

Location: Edgeview Estates, Minot, ND

Updated: 10:17 PM CST

Temperature: 37.2 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 80% Wind: SW at 10.0 mph Pressure: 29.36 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 30 °F Graphs

Location: 27th Street Southeast, Minot, ND

Updated: 10:13 PM CST

Temperature: 39.4 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 74% Wind: North at - Pressure: 29.35 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 39 °F Graphs

Location: Dakota Park South Minot, Minot, ND

Updated: 10:17 PM CST

Temperature: 34.7 °F Dew Point: 31 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: SW at 6.0 mph Pressure: 29.29 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 29 °F Graphs

Location: Deering Mobile Home Estates, Deering, ND

Updated: 10:02 PM CST

Temperature: 37.2 °F Dew Point: 31 °F Humidity: 79% Wind: WSW at 6.8 mph Pressure: 29.30 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 32 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Bismarck ND 
956 PM CST Sat Nov 22 2014 


Update... 
issued at 956 PM CST Sat Nov 22 2014 


Light rain has moved into southwest North Dakota...while the rain 
in the central part of the state has moved east and out of the 
forecast area. Precipitation type remains a concern with surface 
temperatures at or just below freezing in parts of the south 
central and towards the James River Valley. This could bring a 
brief period of light freezing rain to some locations...but 
complicating the matter is that temperatures have tended to rise a 
few degrees in advance of the precipitation. A brief period of 
sleet also appears possible as colder air arrives behind a cold 
front later tonight. All the precipitation should change to snow from 
west to east once the colder air moves into the area. Overall...it 
appears precipitation amounts should remain fairly light tonight 
with model quantitative precipitation forecast remaining low from the 00z runs of the NAM and GFS. 
Did not make any large scale changes with most adjustments to 
capture the latest trends. 


Update issued at 607 PM CST Sat Nov 22 2014 


An area of light rain continues to move across central North 
Dakota at this hour...with other light echoes shown by area radars 
in eastern Montana. Short term models solutions including the 
hrrr...support a general decline in the precipitation this 
evening in central North Dakota...while the precipitation in 
eastern Montana eventually arrives in the western part of the 
state. Have generally deceased probability of precipitation in the very near term in parts 
of the northwest...and tried to surround the ongoing precipitation 
in the central with slightly higher probability of precipitation. Precipitation amounts 
have generally been a trace to 0... do not expect much 
accumulation with this initial round. 


Precipitation type remains a bit challenging...with surface 
temperatures slowly falling this evening which could lead to a 
period of freezing rain. The good news is model solutions suggest 
a slow temperature decline...so current thinking is any freezing 
rain should be very light and brief. There could also be a brief 
period of sleet as colder air arrives behind a cold front later 
this evening / tonight. Model quantitative precipitation forecast is light...so again thinking is 
amounts should be very light. 


&& 


Short term...(this evening through sunday) 


Issued at 342 PM CST Sat Nov 22 2014 


Short term challenge involves winter weather and winds. Surface 
low across Alberta will track east tonight through Sunday. 
Currently a warm front across southeast Montana is the focus for 
rain for southwest North Dakota as temperatures remain in the 
upper 30s to middle 40s this afternoon. By this evening as 
temperatures cool but boundary layer temperatures remain above 
freezing will some some potential for a brief period of freezing 
rain across the west. Tonight the rain chances will change to snow 
chances with a brief period of freezing rain potential mainly 
north. By Sunday morning the cold front will approach and all 
snow is expected with increasing winds. Debated the merits of a 
Snow and Blowing Snow Advisory across the north central where 1 or 
2 inches of snow is possible however decided for a Wind Advisory 
as sufficient snow potential is low. Will break off the northern 
portion...along Highway 2 and north and mention some snow and 
blowing snow in the Wind Advisory for Sunday. Otherwise Sunday will 
be blustery with snow likely north and chance for snow south. 
Temperatures will fall during the day Sunday and winds will be 25 
to 45 miles per hour. Was concerned about a 9-11 mb pressure rise Sunday 
afternoon north as the colder air arrives. Could get some gusty 
winds Sunday afternoon from Crosby to Minot to Rolla. Sunday night 
winds will diminish west central and may still be a bit gusty James 
River Valley. 


Long term...(sunday night through saturday) 


Issued at 342 PM CST Sat Nov 22 2014 


Medium range models have again shifted for middle-late next 
week...now trending back colder as both the 12z GFS/European model (ecmwf) depict 
a northwest flow aloft versus previous runs which showed a building 
upper level ridge into the region. This will have a dramatic 
impact on forecast temperatures Wednesday-Saturday along with snow 
chances. 


Removed snow mention for Monday morning with wrap around moisture 
more over the eastern Dakotas and upper Midwest. Some very light 
snow/flurries will be possible Monday afternoon-evening when 
models depict a subtle embedded shortwave moving through the flow 
aloft. This repeats on Tuesday with another area of light snow 
moving from northwest to southeast across the northern plains 
associated with an area of weak low pressure. Temperatures do 
rebound Tuesday as some weak warm air advection moves into the western half of 
the state ahead of the surface low. 


Trended the Thanksgiving Holiday colder with the pattern shift to 
more northwest versus zonal. 


Of main interest and a recent development will be the possibility 
of accumulating snowfall from Montana through southwest North 
Dakota (possibly over the entire southwestern half of the 
state)...which would create impacts to Holiday travel. Both the 
12z GFS/European model (ecmwf) are now showing a quasi-stationary frontal boundary 
draped northwest to southeast from northern Montana through 
southwest ND/western South Dakota. Aloft a strong jet streak will 
interact with the surface boundary to produce a swath of accumulating 
snowfall under strong thermal lift along to east of the front. 
The main differences between the GFS and ec are placement...with 
the GFS farther north and east giving a good shot of snowfall to 
western and south central parts of the state. The European model (ecmwf) is more 
south and west and keeps most of the snow confined to the 
southwest corner. Confidence low at this point considering the 
rather significant model flip flops over the past 48 hours. 
Should also note the 12z Gem is very similar to the European model (ecmwf). Will 
continue to monitor...and will not highlight in any products at 
this time. 


&& 


Aviation...(for the 00z tafs through 00z Sunday evening) 
issued at 607 PM CST Sat Nov 22 2014 


Very light rain is possible this evening from kmot and kbis to 
perhaps kjms. VFR conditions will prevail initially...however MVFR 
level clouds will move in behind a cold front. Light snow and 
blowing snow are possible Sunday. There is a small chance of mixed 
precipitation this evening...but for now kept that out of the tafs 
since the chances appear relatively small. Winds will turn west / 
northwest behind the cold front and become gusty. 




&& 


Bis watches/warnings/advisories... 
Wind Advisory from 10 am CST /9 am MST/ Sunday to midnight CST 
/11 PM MST/ Sunday night for ndz001>005-009>013-017>023-031>035- 
040>045. 


&& 


$$ 


Update...ck 
short term...warm air advection 
long term...New Hampshire 
aviation...ck 



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