Updated: 9:00 PM MDT on September 02, 2014
Clear in the morning, then partly cloudy. High of 86F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 15 mph shifting to the SSE in the afternoon.
Clear. Low of 54F. Winds from the South at 5 to 15 mph.
Clear. High of 88F. Breezy. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 20 mph.
Clear. Low of 54F. Breezy. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 20 mph.
Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. High of 82F. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
Partly cloudy with thunderstorms and rain showers. Low of 57F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 15 mph shifting to the WNW after midnight. Chance of rain 20%.
Partly cloudy with thunderstorms and rain showers. High of 77F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the South in the afternoon. Chance of rain 30%.
Partly cloudy with thunderstorms, then a chance of a thunderstorm and rain after midnight. Low of 54F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50%.
Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain. High of 72F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain. Low of 54F. Winds from the ESE at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 0.7 in. possible.
Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain. Fog early. High of 70F. Winds from the SE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.
Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. Low of 54F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 60% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.
Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 81F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. Low of 54F. Winds from the WSW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
Partly cloudy. High of 79F. Breezy. Winds from the WNW at 10 to 20 mph.
Clear. Low of 48F. Breezy. Winds from the WNW at 10 to 20 mph.
Clear. High of 77F. Winds from the West at 5 to 15 mph.
Clear. Low of 50F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. High of 75F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. Low of 52F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. High of 75F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. Low of 48F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. High of 79F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. Low of 48F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 15 mph.
Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]
Location: San Geronimo, Las Vegas, NM
Updated: 10:36 PM MDT
|Temperature: 57.7 °F||Dew Point: 46 °F||Humidity: 65%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 29.93 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Graphs|
Location: Ilfeld, NM
Updated: 10:36 PM MDT
|Temperature: 64.9 °F||Dew Point: 37 °F||Humidity: 36%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 30.17 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Graphs|
Location: Pendaries RV Resort, Rociada, NM
Updated: 10:36 PM MDT
|Temperature: 64.1 °F||Dew Point: 42 °F||Humidity: 45%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 29.48 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Graphs|
MSN Maps of:
|Temp:||Dew Point:||Humidity||Wind||Pressure||Hr Precip||-|
Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Albuquerque nm 537 PM MDT Tuesday Sep 2 2014 Update... sent out a quick update to the forecast to account for storm activity that has developed in the northeast Highlands. Better moisture rests even farther east of this initial area...extending toward OK/Texas borders. Thus...have included these lowland areas in low grade probability of precipitation as well through the evening. 52 && Previous discussion...532 PM MDT Tuesday Sep 2 2014... aviation... 00z taf cycle upper high pressure center will gradually shift over West Texas next 24 hours. Surface Lee trough May Draw higher dewpoints up the Pecos Valley to krow vicinity overnight but not anticipating low clouds at this time. The shift in the high pressure center will allow middle level moisture to move into the region...and may result in isolated convection from the Continental Divide to the Texas border after 03/18z. Isolated cells over NE nm at 02/23z should dissipate by sunset. && Previous discussion...320 PM MDT Tuesday Sep 2 2014... synopsis... big changes are on the way with the very warm and dry pattern giving way to a very moist atmosphere along with cooler temperatures. The first noticeable increase will be Thursday across the west and north. A back door cold front will bring increased moisture to the east this weekend. The final surge of moisture may occur early next week. The potential for heavy rain and flash flooding will increase from Thursday into early next week...especially over the burn scars. && Discussion... another dry and very warm day over northern and central New Mexico. We will need to keep an eye on the eastern plains later this afternoon and evening. Very moist low levels are making for a very unstable atmosphere. A stray shower or thunderstorm could develop. Otherwise tonight will be mainly clear and mild...aside from some cool readings in the deeper valleys. Some middle level moisture will begin to increase over southwest and south central areas Wednesday. Some virga showers or storms could form as a result...but measurable rain will be hard to come by for one more day. Highs will remain above normal...with a noticeable increase in high temperatures over the northeast. With the high shifting east Wednesday and Thursday we will get our first decent moisture surge on Thursday...mainly impacting the northwest half of the state. A weak subtropical disturbance aloft may aid in the moisture transport. We expect mostly isolated showers and storms Thursday...with scattered activity over the Gila region. Moisture will continue to increase on Friday with widespread showers and thunderstorms. Models diverge on the timing of a back door cold front. The European brings it in quickly Thursday night...while the GFS is much slower...waiting until Saturday. The increase in low level moisture and upslope flow behind the front will mean a sharp increase in convection for the east. This could be as early as Friday or as late as Saturday evening and Saturday night. This will be the second surge of moisture to impact nm. No area will be without a chance of rain over the upcoming weekend. Perhaps the best surge of moisture will come early next week. Models are supporting deep...tropical moisture coming into Arizona then nm Monday into Tuesday. And believe it or not...we may be saying hello to Dolly a second time in six years. Tropical Storm Dolly currently in the western Gulf may cross Mexico before turning north into Arizona Sunday then east into nm Monday. If this pans out...the potential for heavy rain and flash flooding will significantly increase... especially over burn scar areas. It must be pointed out that the remnants of Dolly in 2008 took a much more direct path into nm and was more organized than what we will experience this time around. Chj && Fire weather... a gradual influx of moisture from the south and southwest will begin Wednesday when spotty dry thunderstorms re-enter the forecast. The moisture advection will increase through the coming weekend and Monday with wetting precipitation likely across much of northern...central and western parts of the forecast area. A dry west flow aloft today will shift out of the southwest and south by Thursday as a longwave trough deepens on the West Coast...a low pressure system ejects from that trough eastward along the US/Canadian border...and an upper level high pressure system builds over the southeast states. This will cause monsoon moisture to surge northward with a monsoon moisture plume arcing over western... northern and central areas by Thursday. Elevated moisture may increase enough for a slight chance of mainly dry and gusty thunderstorms as early as Wednesday afternoon/evening in the sangre Delaware cristos and west Central Highlands. After pockets of critically low humidities across the central and western valleys Wednesday... the developing upper trough over the West Coast will draw moist low level air into nm Thursday through the weekend. By Thursday precipitable water values should climb to near 1 inch. According to the GFS precipitable waters may reach around 1.15 inches by Sunday...then around 1.3 inches across much of the western half of the forecast area on Monday. GFS and European model (ecmwf) suggest mondays spike in western precipitable waters may be due in large part to moisture spinning north and northeastward off Tropical Storm Norbert. However...the latest model runs of the GFS and European model (ecmwf) keep the tropical system centered well off the Baja California California coast. Models are still having difficulty resolving when a moist back door cold front will drop into eastern areas. The European model (ecmwf) flip flopped back to Thursday with this front. The current forecast package went with the more consistent GFS which continues to bring the front in on Saturday. High temperatures roughly 5 to 13 degrees above normal Wednesday will trend downward beginning Thursday due to the moisture influx. By the weekend readings should vary from near normal to potentially several degrees below normal areawide. Similarly...Haines indices in the 5 to 6 range will continue to plague most of the forecast area Wednesday...then linger over north central and NE areas Thursday...before readings moderate areawide Friday. 44 && Abq watches/warnings/advisories... none. && $$ 52