Updated: 9:00 PM MDT on October 31, 2014
Partly cloudy. High of 59F. Breezy. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph.
Partly cloudy. Low of 37F. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 15 mph.
Partly cloudy with rain showers in the morning, then overcast. High of 64F. Breezy. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 25 mph with gusts to 30 mph.
Partly cloudy in the evening, then clear. Low of 41F. Breezy. Winds from the SSW at 15 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph.
Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. High of 64F. Windy. Winds from the SW at 25 to 30 mph with gusts to 40 mph. Chance of rain 50%.
Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. Low of 36F. Windy. Winds from the SSW at 20 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph. Chance of rain 50%.
Partly cloudy with a chance of rain, then a chance of rain in the afternoon. High of 57F. Breezy. Winds from the WSW at 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
Clear. Low of 30F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 15 mph.
Clear. High of 48F. Winds from the ENE at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the South in the afternoon.
Partly cloudy in the evening, then clear. Low of 27F with a windchill as low as 19F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 10 mph.
Partly cloudy. High of 59F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the ESE in the afternoon.
Clear. Low of 36F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. High of 61F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 15 mph.
Clear. Low of 36F with a windchill as low as 28F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. High of 66F. Winds from the West at 10 to 15 mph.
Clear. Low of 36F. Winds from the NNW at 10 to 15 mph.
Clear. High of 61F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. Low of 34F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. High of 59F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. Low of 36F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. High of 57F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. Low of 37F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. High of 61F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.
Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]
Location: San Geronimo, Las Vegas, NM
Updated: 8:53 PM MDT
|Temperature: 35.4 °F||Dew Point: 28 °F||Humidity: 73%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 30.09 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 35 °F||Graphs|
Location: Ilfeld, NM
Updated: 8:53 PM MDT
|Temperature: 46.6 °F||Dew Point: 30 °F||Humidity: 53%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 30.76 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 47 °F||Graphs|
Location: Pendaries RV Resort, Rociada, NM
Updated: 8:53 PM MDT
|Temperature: 39.4 °F||Dew Point: 29 °F||Humidity: 66%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 30.02 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Windchill: 39 °F||Graphs|
MSN Maps of:
|Temp:||Dew Point:||Humidity||Wind||Pressure||Hr Precip||-|
afdabq Area forecast discussion...updated National Weather Service Albuquerque nm 613 PM MDT Friday Oct 31 2014 Aviation... 00z taf cycle more active weather pattern on tap through the weekend. For the next 24 hours...the main focus areas will stretch from the Rio Grande Valley westward. Current rain showers/thunderstorms and rain over western nm will move quickly northeast and produce wind gusts to 35 kts and small hail. Another area of rain showers/-tsra is expected to develop over southern nm and spread north up the Rio Grande Valley to near kabq. Expect cloud decks to thicken and lower along the central Montana chain through midnight...then gradually lead to a few showers. Winds will remain elevated from the south overnight all areas. The coverage of rain showers/ thunderstorms and rain will taper off Saturday...however winds will increase and become windy at times. Guyer && Previous discussion...321 PM MDT Friday Oct 31 2014... synopsis... unsettled weather will impact northern and central New Mexico through the weekend and into the earlier portion of next week. A vigorous Pacific trough will be the culprit for the changing weather. Wind speeds will increase ahead of the trough and provide breezy to windy conditions during the weekend. Showers and thunderstorms will initially start out on the drier side but trend wetter as the weekend progresses. Sunday looks to be the favored day for precipitation. Temperatures will eventually cool from west too east later Sunday into Monday as the main portion of the trough and corresponding cold front sweep over the area. This is when snow levels will gradually lower. Expect some higher mountain accumulations later Sunday into Monday. && Discussion... current visible satellite imagery showing some convective/bubbling cumulus over the western quarter of the forecast area. Models seem to be in agreement with the best lift dynamics and corresponding upslope moisture development over the northwest third tonight. Increased probability of precipitation to reflect this tendency. Not a lot of precipitation but should wet the ground. Higher surface dewpoints are poised to infiltrate western/central areas from the south based on the latest analysis charts. Especially during the overnight once significant mixing ceases. Looking at gustier conditions with passing showers rest of today due to high dcape values and marginally low relative humidity values near the surface along and east of the Arizona state line. Temperatures should warm overall tonight thanks to increasing winds aloft...higher dewpoints and variable cloud cover. Models are consistent in showing the best chance of precipitation across the northwest third Saturday morning before lessening precipitation chances during the afternoon. This is due to the trend and movement of the first wave passage. Decided to increase probability of precipitation for Sunday. Models have jumped around a little bit in terms of highest quantitative precipitation forecast/pop areas past few runs. However...decided that confidence was increasing to put out some likely probability of precipitation for Sunday/Sunday night. It appears that two bands of precipitation would develop over portions of the forecast area. One band associated with the main trough dynamics would favor the northwest third to half. Another band associated with a rich subtropical moisture fetch would favor south central and southeast areas. The 12z GFS has backed off on its quantitative precipitation forecast for this period but decided that the more aggressive NAM looks to be a little more reasonable based tpw satellite imagery over the Baja California. Think the NAM has a better handle on the subtropical moisture advection ahead of the Pacific trough. So trended quantitative precipitation forecast/probability of precipitation toward the NAM but not all the way. Snow levels would gradually lower later Sunday into Sunday night based on 0 degree c isotherm forecast at 10000 feet mean sea level. Looking at the possibility of 3 to 6 inches above 8500 feet across the northern mountains so mainly high country impacts. Hunters should be aware of this. Models consistent with dragging the main Pacific trough over the state on Monday/Monday night. Temperatures would cool considerably. Looking at another round of widespread freezing Monday night. Unsure wildcard would be residual cloud cover/low level higher dewpoints across east central/southeast areas so unsure about freezing temperatures there. Drier air would decrease precipitation chances and amounts during this period. Models differ slightly on the exit of the subtropical fetch across the southeast during Monday. European model (ecmwf) remains the outlier in terms of breaking off a piece of the Pacific trough Tuesday through Thursday and impacting the state. GFS/dgex remain aggressive with the next drier and warmer ridge. Canadian model hints at the European model (ecmwf) solution but breaks off the piece of energy further west than the European model (ecmwf). Still way to early to say which solution group will win out. Thus low confidence for Tuesday and beyond. 50 && Fire weather... forecast models have lacked continuity over the past several runs...and some members continue to hold differing solutions regarding the medium range. Upper level ridge has quickly begun to break down as a Pacific trough makes landfall on the West Coast. Southwesterly breezes aloft will continue to increase into the weekend as disturbances associated with the greater trough approach. Some middle level moisture will continue to be transported toward nm while a weak tap into some better subtropical moisture also becomes drawn into parts of the state...although the latter tap should be mostly south and east of the fire weather forecast area. Light to moderate south southwest breezes late this afternoon will back at times...becoming southeasterly in some valleys and central upslope areas. Better boundary layer to middle level moisture will also ignite a few high-based showers and storms in western nm that will produce very little if any rainfall but some erratic downburst winds. These may survive into central areas tonight...but the north central to northwestern high terrain zones appear to be the most favorable for receiving any virga or showers overnight. Into Saturday the south southwest flow aloft will be quite strong with winds at 10kft showing speeds of 25 to 40 miles per hour...but variable cloudiness and middle level inversions could hamper mixing. Also...there will not be a favorable Lee side surface cyclone...and this will keep the surface gradient relatively weak. Thus wind speeds at surface/20ft are not expected to meet their full potential. So the Saturday forecast has been left with light to moderate breezes with some locally windy spots in the higher terrain where easier mixing can be attained. This will keep ventilation elevated in most areas. Increasing dewpoints will continue to take a roundabout path into nm...leading to much higher minimum humidity in the afternoon. A few showers and storms will be possible as well...mostly in the northern mountains. The southwesterly flow aloft will increase a bit more into Sunday as the Pacific trough breaks into two distinct pieces of energy...the southernmost trough working eastward over Arizona. The winds at 10kft approach 45 to 50 miles per hour briefly around noon Sunday...and a weak Lee side surface low will help strengthen winds at surface/20ft level. The strongest speeds are expected in the northeast Highlands near Las Vegas/Roy/Raton. Better coverage of wetting rain with showers and a few thunderstorms is expected Sunday due to better lift from the approaching trough. The remnants of the aforementioned Arizona trough will rapidly lift northeastward across nm on Monday with precipitation also shifting eastward along with the speed maximum aloft. Breezy conditions have been left in the Monday forecast with speeds tapering off from west to east throughout the day. The colder air will then arrive Monday night into Tuesday morning with some freezing temperatures likely invading some spots that have not yet froze this season. Forecast confidence drops off from this point on...as models continue to be at odds on evolution of additional pressure falls upstream to the west. The European model continues to create a Deep Cut-off low pressure system that spins west southwest of nm...gaining subtropical moisture before tracking up into the state and releasing copious precipitation. This seems to be an outlier and a least likely scenario...but it has advertised this for back-to-back model runs now. && Abq watches/warnings/advisories... none. && $$