Las Vegas, New Mexico Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 63°
  • Clear
  • Wind: South 12 mph
  • Humidity: 48%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 43°
  • Pressure: 29.85 in. 0

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Next 12 Hours

12  am
3  am
6  am
9  am
12  pm
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
Clear
61°
57°
55°
70°
81°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Wednesday
  • Clear
  • High: 88 °
  • Low: 54 °
  • Clear
  • Thursday
  • Thunderstorm
  • High: 82 °
  • Low: 57 °
  • Thunderstorm
  • Friday
  • Thunderstorm
  • High: 77 °
  • Low: 54 °
  • T-Storms
  • Saturday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 72 °
  • Low: 54 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Sunday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 70 °
  • Low: 54 °
  • Chance of T-Storms

Forecast for Las Vegas, New Mexico

Updated: 9:00 PM MDT on September 02, 2014

  • Tuesday

    Clear in the morning, then partly cloudy. High of 86F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 15 mph shifting to the SSE in the afternoon.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 54F. Winds from the South at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Clear. High of 88F. Breezy. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear. Low of 54F. Breezy. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Thursday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. High of 82F. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy with thunderstorms and rain showers. Low of 57F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 15 mph shifting to the WNW after midnight. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy with thunderstorms and rain showers. High of 77F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the South in the afternoon. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy with thunderstorms, then a chance of a thunderstorm and rain after midnight. Low of 54F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain. High of 72F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Saturday Night

    Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain. Low of 54F. Winds from the ESE at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 0.7 in. possible.

  • Sunday

    Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain. Fog early. High of 70F. Winds from the SE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.

  • Sunday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. Low of 54F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 60% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.

  • Monday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 81F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Monday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain. Low of 54F. Winds from the WSW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy. High of 79F. Breezy. Winds from the WNW at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 48F. Breezy. Winds from the WNW at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Clear. High of 77F. Winds from the West at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear. Low of 50F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday

    Clear. High of 75F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear. Low of 52F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday

    Clear. High of 75F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Clear. Low of 48F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 79F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 48F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 15 mph.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: San Geronimo, Las Vegas, NM

Updated: 10:36 PM MDT

Temperature: 57.7 °F Dew Point: 46 °F Humidity: 65% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Ilfeld, NM

Updated: 10:36 PM MDT

Temperature: 64.9 °F Dew Point: 37 °F Humidity: 36% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.17 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Pendaries RV Resort, Rociada, NM

Updated: 10:36 PM MDT

Temperature: 64.1 °F Dew Point: 42 °F Humidity: 45% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.48 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Albuquerque nm 
537 PM MDT Tuesday Sep 2 2014 


Update... 
sent out a quick update to the forecast to account for storm 
activity that has developed in the northeast Highlands. Better 
moisture rests even farther east of this initial area...extending 
toward OK/Texas borders. Thus...have included these lowland areas in 
low grade probability of precipitation as well through the evening. 


52 


&& 


Previous discussion...532 PM MDT Tuesday Sep 2 2014... 
aviation... 
00z taf cycle 
upper high pressure center will gradually shift over West Texas 
next 24 hours. Surface Lee trough May Draw higher dewpoints up the Pecos 
Valley to krow vicinity overnight but not anticipating low clouds at 
this time. The shift in the high pressure center will allow middle 
level moisture to move into the region...and may result in 
isolated convection from the Continental Divide to the Texas border after 
03/18z. Isolated cells over NE nm at 02/23z should dissipate by 
sunset. 


&& 


Previous discussion...320 PM MDT Tuesday Sep 2 2014... 
synopsis... 
big changes are on the way with the very warm and dry pattern giving 
way to a very moist atmosphere along with cooler temperatures. The 
first noticeable increase will be Thursday across the west and 
north. A back door cold front will bring increased moisture to the 
east this weekend. The final surge of moisture may occur early 
next week. The potential for heavy rain and flash flooding will 
increase from Thursday into early next week...especially over the 
burn scars. 


&& 


Discussion... 
another dry and very warm day over northern and central New Mexico. 
We will need to keep an eye on the eastern plains later this 
afternoon and evening. Very moist low levels are making for a very 
unstable atmosphere. A stray shower or thunderstorm could develop. 
Otherwise tonight will be mainly clear and mild...aside from some 
cool readings in the deeper valleys. 


Some middle level moisture will begin to increase over southwest and 
south central areas Wednesday. Some virga showers or storms could 
form as a result...but measurable rain will be hard to come by for 
one more day. Highs will remain above normal...with a noticeable 
increase in high temperatures over the northeast. 


With the high shifting east Wednesday and Thursday we will get our 
first decent moisture surge on Thursday...mainly impacting the 
northwest half of the state. A weak subtropical disturbance aloft may 
aid in the moisture transport. We expect mostly isolated showers and 
storms Thursday...with scattered activity over the Gila region. 


Moisture will continue to increase on Friday with widespread showers 
and thunderstorms. Models diverge on the timing of a back door cold 
front. The European brings it in quickly Thursday night...while the 
GFS is much slower...waiting until Saturday. The increase in low 
level moisture and upslope flow behind the front will mean a sharp 
increase in convection for the east. This could be as early as Friday 
or as late as Saturday evening and Saturday night. This will be the 
second surge of moisture to impact nm. No area will be without a 
chance of rain over the upcoming weekend. 


Perhaps the best surge of moisture will come early next week. Models 
are supporting deep...tropical moisture coming into Arizona then nm 
Monday into Tuesday. And believe it or not...we may be saying hello 
to Dolly a second time in six years. Tropical Storm Dolly currently 
in the western Gulf may cross Mexico before turning north into Arizona 
Sunday then east into nm Monday. If this pans out...the potential 
for heavy rain and flash flooding will significantly increase... 
especially over burn scar areas. It must be pointed out that the 
remnants of Dolly in 2008 took a much more direct path into nm and 
was more organized than what we will experience this time around. Chj 


&& 


Fire weather... 
a gradual influx of moisture from the south and southwest will begin 
Wednesday when spotty dry thunderstorms re-enter the forecast. The 
moisture advection will increase through the coming weekend and 
Monday with wetting precipitation likely across much of 
northern...central and western parts of the forecast area. 


A dry west flow aloft today will shift out of the southwest and 
south by Thursday as a longwave trough deepens on the West Coast...a 
low pressure system ejects from that trough eastward along the 
US/Canadian border...and an upper level high pressure system builds 
over the southeast states. This will cause monsoon moisture to surge 
northward with a monsoon moisture plume arcing over western... 
northern and central areas by Thursday. Elevated moisture may 
increase enough for a slight chance of mainly dry and gusty 
thunderstorms as early as Wednesday afternoon/evening in the sangre 
Delaware cristos and west Central Highlands. After pockets of critically 
low humidities across the central and western valleys Wednesday... 
the developing upper trough over the West Coast will draw moist low 
level air into nm Thursday through the weekend. By Thursday precipitable water 
values should climb to near 1 inch. According to the GFS precipitable waters  may 
reach around 1.15 inches by Sunday...then around 1.3 inches across 
much of the western half of the forecast area on Monday. GFS and 
European model (ecmwf) suggest mondays spike in western precipitable waters  may be due in large 
part to moisture spinning north and northeastward off Tropical Storm 
Norbert. However...the latest model runs of the GFS and European model (ecmwf) keep 
the tropical system centered well off the Baja California California coast. 


Models are still having difficulty resolving when a moist back door 
cold front will drop into eastern areas. The European model (ecmwf) flip flopped 
back to Thursday with this front. The current forecast package 
went with the more consistent GFS which continues to bring the front 
in on Saturday. 


High temperatures roughly 5 to 13 degrees above normal Wednesday 
will trend downward beginning Thursday due to the moisture influx. 
By the weekend readings should vary from near normal to potentially 
several degrees below normal areawide. Similarly...Haines indices in 
the 5 to 6 range will continue to plague most of the forecast area 
Wednesday...then linger over north central and NE areas Thursday...before 
readings moderate areawide Friday. 44 


&& 


Abq watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 


&& 


$$ 


52 










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