Showers and a couple of thunderstorms will continue to increase in coverage through the afternoon over eastern New Mexico. Expect light to moderate rain with amounts around one quarter inch and locally up to one half inch through 4 PM. Locations impacted include Mesa... Elkins...Yeso...Fort Sumner...Santa Rosa...Tucumcari...Ragland and house.
Updated: 3:00 PM MDT on October 21, 2014
Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms and rain showers. High of 64F. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 30%.
Mostly cloudy with rain showers. Fog overnight. Low of 43F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 30%.
Partly cloudy with thunderstorms and rain showers. High of 68F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
Partly cloudy with rain showers. Low of 39F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the NW after midnight.
Clear. High of 66F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. Low of 43F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. High of 72F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the SSW in the afternoon.
Clear. Low of 41F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear in the morning, then partly cloudy. High of 73F. Winds from the West at 10 to 15 mph.
Clear. Low of 45F. Winds from the West at 10 to 15 mph.
Clear. High of 72F. Breezy. Winds from the West at 15 to 25 mph.
Clear. Low of 43F. Winds from the West at 10 to 15 mph.
Clear. High of 61F. Breezy. Winds from the WNW at 10 to 20 mph.
Partly cloudy. Low of 32F. Winds less than 5 mph.
Clear. High of 57F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 20 mph.
Clear. Low of 32F. Winds from the West at 10 to 15 mph.
Clear. High of 59F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 15 mph.
Clear. Low of 36F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. High of 70F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. Low of 37F. Winds from the West at 5 to 15 mph.
Clear. High of 68F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. Low of 39F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. High of 57F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Clear. Low of 39F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.
Preliminary rainfall reports across north and central New Mexico
for the last 25 hours.
... County... storm total time/date of
location /inches/ measurement
... Bernalillo County...
Cedro 8 SW 0.47 915 am 10/21
Albuquerque 5 S 0.46 1025 PM 10/20
- kabq ASOS.
Carnuel 3 NW 0.38 330 PM 10/20
Albuquerque 4 se 0.33 915 am 10/21
- Gibson and Carlisle.
Albuquerque 5 WSW 0.32 915 am 10/21
- central and coors.
Albuquerque 4 SSE 0.29 915 am 10/21
- Zuni and San Mateo.
Albuquerque 8 E 0.25 915 am 10/21
- Candelaria and Camino de La Sierra.
Albuquerque 2 se 0.24 915 am 10/21
- constitution and Carlisle.
Albuquerque 5 E 0.24 915 am 10/21
- menaul and moon.
Albuquerque 5 ESE 0.24 800 am 10/21
- Indian school and Wyoming.
Albuquerque 3 SSE 0.23 915 am 10/21
- Coal and Girard.
Albuquerque 4 W 0.22 915 am 10/21
- Redlands Road and Alamogordo drive.
Sedillo 2 E 0.22 915 am 10/21
Albuquerque 8 ENE 0.22 915 am 10/21
- Academy and imperata.
Albuquerque 2 SSE 0.21 915 am 10/21
- constitution and Girard.
Sedillo 1 ESE 0.20 915 am 10/21
Albuquerque 3 W 0.20 915 am 10/21
- Matthew and Rio Grande.
Albuquerque 4 E 0.20 915 am 10/21
- Candelaria and Wyoming.
Albuquerque 2 E 0.17 915 am 10/21
- Aztec and San Mateo.
Tijeras 5 E 0.17 915 am 10/21
Albuquerque 8 SW 0.16 915 am 10/21
- Sage and 98th street.
Tijeras 1 SSW 0.14 915 am 10/21
Albuquerque 3 WNW 0.13 915 am 10/21
- Rio Grande and griegos.
Albuquerque 3 WNW 0.13 915 am 10/21
- Rio Grande and griegos.
Albuquerque 4 NW 0.12 915 am 10/21
- montano and coors.
Albuquerque 8 ENE 0.12 915 am 10/21
- Spain and imperata.
Albuquerque 4 WNW 0.11 1025 PM 10/20
- montano RAWS.
... Catron County...
Glenwood 0.97 430 PM 10/20
Quemado 0.48 400 PM 10/20
Reserve 1 WNW 0.44 545 PM 10/20
- Reserve RAWS.
Quemado Lake 6 SSE 0.44 1025 PM 10/20
- Slaughter RAWS.
Luna 1 ENE 0.33 543 PM 10/20
- Luna RAWS.
Mogollon 10 ESE 0.13 543 PM 10/20
... Chaves County...
Roswell 4 NNE 0.61 915 am 10/21
Dunken 2 NE 0.22 1034 PM 10/20
- Dunken RAWS.
Roswell 4 WNW 0.14 915 am 10/21
Bitter Lake wildlife ref 14 NNE 0.12 552 PM 10/20
- Eight Mile draw RAWS.
... Curry County...
Melrose 0.63 700 am 10/21
... Lincoln County...
Bonito Lake 4 W 0.54 1038 PM 10/20
Bonito Lake 5 SW 0.52 645 am 10/21
Bonito Lake 2 S 0.38 1039 PM 10/20
oscuro 7 W 0.35 1033 PM 10/20
Bonito Lake 6 WSW 0.31 1037 PM 10/20
Ruidoso 1 NNW 0.30 1039 PM 10/20
- smokey bear RAWS.
Alto 2 SSE 0.25 915 am 10/21
Bonito Lake 5 WNW 0.21 1038 PM 10/20
Bonito Lake 0.16 1037 PM 10/20
oscuro 18 WSW 0.10 549 PM 10/20
Bonito Lake 3 NE 0.10 915 am 10/21
... Quay County...
house 0.41 915 am 10/21
... Roosevelt County...
Tolar 13 se 0.78 1033 PM 10/20
- Melrose range RAWS.
... Sandoval County...
Ponderosa 3 ENE 0.39 915 am 10/21
Jemez Springs 11 NE 0.21 545 PM 10/20
Ponderosa 2 WNW 0.20 915 am 10/21
Placitas 1 NNW 0.11 915 am 10/21
... Santa Fe County...
Edgewood 2 NW 0.18 915 am 10/21
Santa Fe 4 NW 0.13 915 am 10/21
Santa Fe 6 se 0.11 915 am 10/21
... Socorro County...
Bosque del Apache Refuge 21 se 0.47 734 PM 10/20
Bosque del Apache Refuge 11 se 0.37 1030 PM 10/20
Bosque del Apache Refuge 22 se 0.29 1025 PM 10/20
Bosque del Apache Refuge 1 NNE 0.21 1025 PM 10/20
- Bosque RAWS.
Contreras 1 ESE 0.18 547 PM 10/20
- Sevilleta RAWS.
Bingham 10 S 0.15 1032 PM 10/20
Gran Quivira 20 WNW 0.13 915 am 10/21
La Joya 2 WNW 0.12 548 PM 10/20
Chamizal 1 SSW 0.10 915 am 10/21
... Torrance County...
Mountainair 1 S 0.25 915 am 10/21
Moriarty 3 ESE 0.12 1030 PM 10/20
- k0e0 AWOS.
Mountainair 1 W 0.12 1030 PM 10/20
- Mountainair RAWS.
Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]
Location: San Geronimo, Las Vegas, NM
Updated: 1:54 PM MDT
|Temperature: 58.5 °F||Dew Point: 48 °F||Humidity: 67%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 29.92 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in||Graphs|
Location: Ilfeld, NM
Updated: 1:54 PM MDT
|Temperature: 60.1 °F||Dew Point: 49 °F||Humidity: 66%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 30.35 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in||Graphs|
Location: Pendaries RV Resort, Rociada, NM
Updated: 1:54 PM MDT
|Temperature: 60.4 °F||Dew Point: 45 °F||Humidity: 56%||Wind: Calm||Pressure: 29.68 in||Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in||Graphs|
MSN Maps of:
|Temp:||Dew Point:||Humidity||Wind||Pressure||Hr Precip||-|
Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Albuquerque nm 1202 PM MDT Tuesday Oct 21 2014 Aviation... 18z taf cycle patchy MVFR ceilings across the east slopes of central Montana chain and adjacent Highlands to the east as well as the southeast plains as of midday should at least become more localized or even rise to VFR levels all areas after 19z or 20z. Exceptions will be associated with isolated to scattered rain showers and thunderstorms and rain where MVFR and very isolated brief IFR ceilings can be expected. Aforementioned conditions will be most likely at row and to lesser degree lvs...tcc...and saf. Across west half of nm VFR by far will be the rule with isolated MVFR ceilings associated with isolated to scattered rain showers and -tsra. MVFR ceilings will likely redevelop at row overnight and potentially impact tcc as well. In addition to mountain obscurations today...other impacts include potential for isolated instances of small hail. 43 && Previous discussion...312 am MDT Tuesday Oct 21 2014... synopsis... a weak upper low centered near El Paso this morning will continue to provide the necessary ingredients to generate scattered showers and thunderstorms today and tonight. As the low weakens and lifts northeastward Wednesday...strengthening high pressure will begin to limit shower chances over western New Mexico Wednesday and area-wide Thursday. The warming and drying trend will continue Friday and through the weekend. && Discussion... weak upper low continuing to generate a line of showers and isolated thunderstorms from south-central Chaves County northeastward to eastern Lincoln County. Infrared and water vapor satellite imagery indicating that the low is weakening and becoming an open wave. Still plenty of difluence aloft and low and middle level moisture to generate another round of scattered showers and thunderstorms today into tonight. Increasing SW winds aloft associated with the subtropical jet stream will likely combine with steep 700-500mb lapse rates...cold (-13c) 500mb temperatures to generate isolated strong storms with large hail being the primary threat. Models in good agreement that the trough axis will slide through central nm Wednesday morning and points east during the afternoon. Even with plenty of low level residual moisture to work with...subsidence on the backside of the trough will limit shower chances west of the middle rgv Wednesday. Subsidence will increase further Thursday as an anomalously strong upper level high builds up from southern Arizona. GFS and European model (ecmwf) remain in good agreement that upper high center/axis translates through central New Mexico around midday Friday. Increasing SW flow aloft Friday night and Saturday will result in Lee surface trough and increasing SW winds east of the Central Mountain chain. GFS and European model (ecmwf) solutions continue add odds with one another for Sunday into early next week. GFS remains the much more progressive model with just a glancing blow from an upper level Pacific trough and the associated surface cold front. Interestingly...European model (ecmwf) sticks to its GUNS with a much more split upper level trough moving onto the West Coast Friday night. The southern portion of this trough lifts rapidly northeastward while the slower northern portion digs southward through the eastern Great Basin and toward New Mexico. This scenario would result in quite the easterly upslope snow event for northern and central New Mexico. GFS scenario would equate to a Ho-hum mainly dry cold frontal passage. 33 && Fire weather... an anomalously moist atmosphere continues across the area with more wetting rain expected today into Wednesday prior to a warming/drying trend beginning as a ridge of high pressure builds over the region. The upper low near the bootheel is forecast to open up and drift northeast today thanks to the progressive trough moving east across the Great Basin and inland northwest. High humidity and another round of showers and thunderstorms is expected today with decent wetting potential. The warming/drying kicks-in Wednesday with the focus for wetting rain shifting east a bit. High forecast confidence on a ridge of high pressure building over the Desert Southwest Wednesday into Wednesday night...then shifting east over New Mexico on Thursday into Friday. Minimum humidity will trend down as high temperatures trend up to above normal Thursday and Friday with a 590-592dam 500mb high over southern New Mexico. This pattern will also create poor ventilation across much of the area late in the week...especially in valleys where temperature inversions will be stubborn or slow to break. Look for improving vent rates and increasing winds over the weekend as the ridge shifts east and is replaced with moderate westerlies and a deepening Lee side trough. The 00z European model (ecmwf) is more bullish than the GFS with an upper level trough moving into the central/southern rockies late Sunday. Our wind forecast for Sunday afternoon/evening will be a blend of the GFS and European model (ecmwf) solutions for now...which represents an increase over the previous forecast cycle. Minimum humidity looks to stay above critical threshold...but Worth watching trends closely for Sunday with some potential for an hour or two of critical fire weather conditions across the northeast quarter. 11 && Abq watches/warnings/advisories... none. && $$