Las Vegas, New Mexico Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 56°
  • Overcast
  • Wind: Calm
  • Humidity: 90%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 53°
  • Pressure: 30.20 in. -

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Next 12 Hours

9  am
12  pm
3  pm
6  pm
9  pm
Thunderstorm
T-storms
Thunderstorm
T-storms
Thunderstorm
T-storms
Thunderstorm
T-storms
Thunderstorm
T-storms
63°
73°
73°
70°
64°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Monday
  • Thunderstorm
  • High: 77 °
  • Low: 57 °
  • T-Storms
  • Tuesday
  • Thunderstorm
  • High: 77 °
  • Low: 55 °
  • T-Storms
  • Wednesday
  • Thunderstorm
  • High: 77 °
  • Low: 52 °
  • T-Storms
  • Thursday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 72 °
  • Low: 55 °
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • Friday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 77 °
  • Low: 54 °
  • Chance of T-Storms

Forecast for Las Vegas, New Mexico

Updated: 9:00 AM MDT on July 28, 2014

Flash Flood Watch in effect from noon MDT today through late tonight...
  • Monday

    Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms and rain showers. High of 77F. Winds from the ENE at 5 to 15 mph shifting to the South in the afternoon. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Monday Night

    Overcast with thunderstorms and rain showers. Low of 57F. Winds from the South at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 60% with rainfall amounts near 0.6 in. possible.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy with thunderstorms and rain showers. High of 77F. Breezy. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Tuesday Night

    Partly cloudy with thunderstorms and rain showers. Low of 55F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Wednesday

    Partly cloudy with thunderstorms and rain showers in the morning, then overcast with thunderstorms and rain showers. High of 77F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Overcast with thunderstorms and a chance of rain in the evening, then mostly cloudy. Low of 52F. Winds from the ENE at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Thursday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain in the afternoon. High of 72F. Winds from the SE at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain. Low of 55F. Winds from the SE at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain in the morning, then overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain. High of 77F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog overnight. Low of 54F. Winds from the SE at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 0.6 in. possible.

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 73F. Winds from the ESE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Fog overnight. Low of 54F. Winds from the ESE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 77F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Sunday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Low of 55F. Winds from the South at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Monday

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 81F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Monday Night

    Mostly cloudy. Low of 54F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 79F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Tuesday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Low of 55F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Wednesday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. High of 81F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Low of 54F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Thursday

    Partly cloudy. High of 81F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear. Low of 54F. Winds less than 5 mph.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Flash Flood Watch  Statement as of 7:38 am MDT on July 28, 2014


... Flash Flood Watch remains in effect from noon MDT today through
late tonight...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* a portion of north and central New Mexico... including the
following areas... east slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains...
eastern San Miguel County... far northeast Highlands... Harding
County... Jemez Mountains... northeast Highlands... northern Sangre
de Cristo Mountains above 9500 feet/Red River... Raton
ridge/Johnson Mesa... San Juan Mountains... south central
mountains... southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains above 9500 feet...
Southwest Mountains... Union County and west slopes Sangre de
Cristo Mountains.

* From noon MDT today through late tonight

* the combination of widespread... slow moving thunderstorms and
saturated ground will support the threat of flash flooding
across the northeast quarter of New Mexico and areas in and near
the high terrain of northern... western and south central New
Mexico.

* Much of the northeast plains received heavy rain on Sunday and
Sunday night and this area will see quick responses to any heavy
rain today. Additionally... steep terrain and especially burn
scars will be particularly susceptible to flash flooding. Areas
near arroyos... small streams and creeks are also favored for
flash flooding. Monitor the latest forecasts closely and be
prepared to take immediate action if a warning or advisory is
issued.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to
flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.
Monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should flash
flood warnings be issued.







Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: San Geronimo, Las Vegas, NM

Updated: 8:22 AM MDT

Temperature: 59.2 °F Dew Point: 58 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: NNW at 2.2 mph Pressure: 30.22 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Graphs

Location: Ilfeld, NM

Updated: 8:22 AM MDT

Temperature: 62.8 °F Dew Point: 59 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.54 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Pendaries RV Resort, Rociada, NM

Updated: 8:22 AM MDT

Temperature: 55.7 °F Dew Point: 55 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.87 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion...updated 
National Weather Service Albuquerque nm 
746 am MDT Monday Jul 28 2014 


Update... 
included the chuska mountain zone in previously issued Flash Flood 
Watch to highlight the assayii burn scar where the threat for 
flash flooding will be equally as high as other areas. The 
precipitable water value on the 12z kabq sounding was 1.13 inches 
or about 125 percent of normal. It is the highest value since July 
16th and is likely to continue trending upward as the day 
progresses. Quick check at the latest hrrr run shows the area of 
showers reaching the abq metropolitan between 8-9am. Extensive cloud 
cover and showers could delay strong heating /unlike yesterday/ 
for central areas and we will closely monitor trends. Kj 


&& 


Previous discussion...602 am MDT Monday Jul 28 2014... 
aviation... 
12z taf cycle 
a very moist airmass in place will result in areas of 
showers...isolated thunderstorms and some low clouds this morning 
with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms this afternoon 
and evening. Expecting ceiling of bkn030 along the east slopes of the 
central mountains and LIFR to IFR conditions extreme northeast 
including kcao through 14z or 15z. Showers and thunderstorms across 
the western and southcentral zones are expected to remain active as 
they drift slowly to the north. Lingering cloud cover could delay 
afternoon convection...however...after some brief middle day clearing 
thunderstorms are expected to develop over the northern and western 
high terrain then become more numerous across the west...Central 
High terrain and adjacent East Highlands and northeast plains. Local 
MVFR/IFR ceilings and visibilities in moderate to heavy and mountain 
obscurations are expected. East Central Plains to become active 
later in the afternoon or early evening...with widespread showers 
possible overnight. 


05 


&& 


Previous discussion...410 am MDT Monday Jul 28 2014... 
synopsis... 
a very active monsoon pattern will continue to impact much of the 
area through the end of the week. The most widespread heavy 
thunderstorm rains in the near term are expected over western and 
northern sections of the state...with enhanced coverage over the 
Gila region as well as the northern mountains and areas along and 
just east of the Central Mountain chain. Yet another southward- 
moving frontal boundary is expected to boost thunderstorm 
potential initially across the northeast late Tuesday...then much 
of the area Wednesday into Wednesday night. A little drier air 
should limit storm coverage across the northwest Thursday and 
Friday. Otherwise...an active pattern will persist into the 
weekend. 


&& 


Discussion... 
inverted trough that approached the region from the southeast on 
Sunday appears to have made the pivot north...and is bringing a 
significant surge of deep layered moisture into SC/SW zones early 
this morning on its favored east flank. Organized band of showers 
and thunderstorms stretching from near Fence Lake/Quemado southeastward to 
Dunken is slowly filling in and lifting northward to the south of 
a large-scale ridge axis that is loosely aligned from northwest to southeast 
over east-central nm. Large mesoscale convective complex slowly 
beginning to weaken over the northeast plains with coldest cloud 
tops now displaced well east of our area. 


Among challenges next 24 hours will be gauging how quickly air 
mass recovery takes place across central/northern areas especially 
the northeast quarter...and how many western and northern zones to 
place under a Flash Flood Watch. Focus later today/this evening will 
be on the remnant circulation that models generally drift northward 
near the nm/Arizona border though looking at an extended water vapor loop 
this feature may be tracking a bit farther east than what models 
suggest. Additionally... low level east or southeast boundary layer 
flow will continue to feed rich low level moisture westward in a 
broad upslope pattern that will especially favor the Central 
Mountain chain and the adjacent High Plains. Overall...the ridge 
aloft should deflate slightly today with the northwest-Southeast Ridge axis 
becoming more north-S oriented over eastern New Mexico. Steering flow 
will be far more erratic but do not see as much of a westerly 
component with influence of the upper wave near the Arizona line. 


Decided to re-Post a Flash Flood Watch for the northeast...though 
air mass recovery may delay things there till late. Will include 
most of the burn scars in the watch as well...and let the day 
shift reevaluate trends with possible expansion for some areas 
along the Central Mountain chain and adjacent High Plains. Areas 
from Clines Corners and Encino to Corona look primed...as does 
the upper Gila and wc mountains. 


Another backdoor cold front will push southward Tuesday PM into Wednesday 
PM... recharging moisture and instability fields for middle to late 
week. T-storm coverage will continue to ramp up...with late night and 
early morning activity likely. Extended range forecasts support a 
very active pattern...despite a westward shift of the upper high 
that becomes centered more over Arizona and Great Basin. Kj 


&& 


Fire weather... 
few significant changes made to the gridded forecast. Wetting rains 
to continue through the work week and into the weekend. Burn scar 
flooding is possible. 


Upper level ridge still positioned over the western states and 
centered over east central New Mexico allowing the monsoon plume to 
nudge to the east over eastern Arizona and western New Mexico. For 
today...another round of wetting rain will result in some locally 
heavy downpours and some relatively large footprints. Favored areas 
including the western and northern high terrain...the northeast 
plains and east Central Highlands. Relative humidity recoveries to be good to 
excellent. 


The ridge flattens a bit on Tuesday as the center moves to southern 
New Mexico. An upper level disturbance rotating around the high will 
shift the focus of rain to the northern high terrain and northeast... 
though all zones will see chances for wetting rain. 


Next back door front is still scheduled for Wednesday...and models 
are even more aggressive with this front and grids were modified to 
reflect this. The central mountains and adjacent Highlands look to 
be favored for wetting rain on Wednesday. 


The upper high moves west of the state by Thursday and extended 
models keep it there though the weekend. Still...moist east to 
southeast flow persists with another reinforcing front on Saturday. 
Thus... cooler than normal temperatures with good chances for 
wetting rain will be the rule through the weekend. 


05 


&& 


Abq watches/warnings/advisories... 
Flash Flood Watch from noon MDT today through late tonight for the 
following zones...nmz502-508-510>515-526>532. 


&& 


$$ 


41 










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