Las Vegas, New Mexico Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 44°
  • Clear
  • Wind: South 13 mph
  • Humidity: 53%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 28°
  • Pressure: 30.27 in. +
  • Heat Index: 38

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Next 12 Hours

9  pm
12  am
3  am
6  am
9  am
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Rain Showers
Rain Showers
Rain Showers
Rain Showers
43°
41°
39°
37°
43°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Saturday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 64 °
  • Low: 41 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Sunday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 64 °
  • Low: 36 °
  • Chance of T-Storms
  • Monday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 57 °
  • Low: 30 °
  • Chance of Rain
  • Tuesday
  • Clear
  • High: 48 °
  • Low: 27 °
  • Clear
  • Wednesday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 59 °
  • Low: 36 °
  • Partly Cloudy

Forecast for Las Vegas, New Mexico

Updated: 9:00 PM MDT on October 31, 2014

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy. High of 59F. Breezy. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 37F. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy with rain showers in the morning, then overcast. High of 64F. Breezy. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 25 mph with gusts to 30 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy in the evening, then clear. Low of 41F. Breezy. Winds from the SSW at 15 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. High of 64F. Windy. Winds from the SW at 25 to 30 mph with gusts to 40 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Sunday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. Low of 36F. Windy. Winds from the SSW at 20 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Monday

    Partly cloudy with a chance of rain, then a chance of rain in the afternoon. High of 57F. Breezy. Winds from the WSW at 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Low of 30F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Clear. High of 48F. Winds from the ENE at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the South in the afternoon.

  • Tuesday Night

    Partly cloudy in the evening, then clear. Low of 27F with a windchill as low as 19F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Partly cloudy. High of 59F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the ESE in the afternoon.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear. Low of 36F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Thursday

    Clear. High of 61F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear. Low of 36F with a windchill as low as 28F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday

    Clear. High of 66F. Winds from the West at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Clear. Low of 36F. Winds from the NNW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 61F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 34F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday

    Clear. High of 59F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Low of 36F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday

    Clear. High of 57F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Low of 37F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Clear. High of 61F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: San Geronimo, Las Vegas, NM

Updated: 8:53 PM MDT

Temperature: 35.4 °F Dew Point: 28 °F Humidity: 73% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.09 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 35 °F Graphs

Location: Ilfeld, NM

Updated: 8:53 PM MDT

Temperature: 46.6 °F Dew Point: 30 °F Humidity: 53% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.76 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 47 °F Graphs

Location: Pendaries RV Resort, Rociada, NM

Updated: 8:53 PM MDT

Temperature: 39.4 °F Dew Point: 29 °F Humidity: 66% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.02 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 39 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion


afdabq 


Area forecast discussion...updated 
National Weather Service Albuquerque nm 
613 PM MDT Friday Oct 31 2014 


Aviation... 
00z taf cycle 
more active weather pattern on tap through the weekend. For the 
next 24 hours...the main focus areas will stretch from the Rio Grande 
Valley westward. Current rain showers/thunderstorms and rain over western nm will move quickly 
northeast and produce wind gusts to 35 kts and small hail. Another 
area of rain showers/-tsra is expected to develop over southern nm and 
spread north up the Rio Grande Valley to near kabq. Expect cloud 
decks to thicken and lower along the central Montana chain through 
midnight...then gradually lead to a few showers. Winds will remain 
elevated from the south overnight all areas. The coverage of rain showers/ 
thunderstorms and rain will taper off Saturday...however winds will increase and 
become windy at times. 


Guyer 


&& 


Previous discussion...321 PM MDT Friday Oct 31 2014... 
synopsis... 
unsettled weather will impact northern and central New Mexico 
through the weekend and into the earlier portion of next week. A 
vigorous Pacific trough will be the culprit for the changing 
weather. Wind speeds will increase ahead of the trough and provide 
breezy to windy conditions during the weekend. Showers and 
thunderstorms will initially start out on the drier side but trend 
wetter as the weekend progresses. Sunday looks to be the favored 
day for precipitation. Temperatures will eventually cool from west 
too east later Sunday into Monday as the main portion of the trough 
and corresponding cold front sweep over the area. This is when snow 
levels will gradually lower. Expect some higher mountain 
accumulations later Sunday into Monday. 


&& 


Discussion... 
current visible satellite imagery showing some convective/bubbling 
cumulus over the western quarter of the forecast area. Models seem 
to be in agreement with the best lift dynamics and corresponding 
upslope moisture development over the northwest third tonight. 
Increased probability of precipitation to reflect this tendency. Not a lot of precipitation 
but should wet the ground. Higher surface dewpoints are poised to 
infiltrate western/central areas from the south based on the 
latest analysis charts. Especially during the overnight once 
significant mixing ceases. Looking at gustier conditions with 
passing showers rest of today due to high dcape values and 
marginally low relative humidity values near the surface along and east of the 
Arizona state line. Temperatures should warm overall tonight 
thanks to increasing winds aloft...higher dewpoints and variable 
cloud cover. 


Models are consistent in showing the best chance of precipitation 
across the northwest third Saturday morning before lessening 
precipitation chances during the afternoon. This is due to the trend 
and movement of the first wave passage. 


Decided to increase probability of precipitation for Sunday. Models have jumped around a 
little bit in terms of highest quantitative precipitation forecast/pop areas past few runs. 
However...decided that confidence was increasing to put out some 
likely probability of precipitation for Sunday/Sunday night. It appears that two bands of 
precipitation would develop over portions of the forecast area. 
One band associated with the main trough dynamics would favor the 
northwest third to half. Another band associated with a rich 
subtropical moisture fetch would favor south central and 
southeast areas. The 12z GFS has backed off on its quantitative precipitation forecast for this 
period but decided that the more aggressive NAM looks to be a 
little more reasonable based tpw satellite imagery over the Baja California. 
Think the NAM has a better handle on the subtropical moisture 
advection ahead of the Pacific trough. So trended quantitative precipitation forecast/probability of precipitation toward 
the NAM but not all the way. Snow levels would gradually lower 
later Sunday into Sunday night based on 0 degree c isotherm 
forecast at 10000 feet mean sea level. Looking at the possibility of 3 to 6 
inches above 8500 feet across the northern mountains so mainly high 
country impacts. Hunters should be aware of this. 


Models consistent with dragging the main Pacific trough over the state 
on Monday/Monday night. Temperatures would cool considerably. 
Looking at another round of widespread freezing Monday night. 
Unsure wildcard would be residual cloud cover/low level higher dewpoints 
across east central/southeast areas so unsure about freezing temperatures 
there. Drier air would decrease precipitation chances and amounts during 
this period. Models differ slightly on the exit of the subtropical 
fetch across the southeast during Monday. 


European model (ecmwf) remains the outlier in terms of breaking off a piece of the 
Pacific trough Tuesday through Thursday and impacting the state. 
GFS/dgex remain aggressive with the next drier and warmer ridge. 
Canadian model hints at the European model (ecmwf) solution but breaks off the 
piece of energy further west than the European model (ecmwf). Still way to early to 
say which solution group will win out. Thus low confidence for 
Tuesday and beyond. 


50 


&& 


Fire weather... 
forecast models have lacked continuity over the past several 
runs...and some members continue to hold differing solutions 
regarding the medium range. 


Upper level ridge has quickly begun to break down as a Pacific 
trough makes landfall on the West Coast. Southwesterly breezes aloft 
will continue to increase into the weekend as disturbances 
associated with the greater trough approach. Some middle level moisture 
will continue to be transported toward nm while a weak tap into some 
better subtropical moisture also becomes drawn into parts of the 
state...although the latter tap should be mostly south and east of 
the fire weather forecast area. Light to moderate south southwest 
breezes late this afternoon will back at times...becoming 
southeasterly in some valleys and central upslope areas. Better 
boundary layer to middle level moisture will also ignite a few 
high-based showers and storms in western nm that will produce very 
little if any rainfall but some erratic downburst winds. These may 
survive into central areas tonight...but the north central to 
northwestern high terrain zones appear to be the most favorable for 
receiving any virga or showers overnight. 


Into Saturday the south southwest flow aloft will be quite strong 
with winds at 10kft showing speeds of 25 to 40 miles per hour...but variable 
cloudiness and middle level inversions could hamper mixing. 
Also...there will not be a favorable Lee side surface cyclone...and 
this will keep the surface gradient relatively weak. Thus wind 
speeds at surface/20ft are not expected to meet their full 
potential. So the Saturday forecast has been left with light to 
moderate breezes with some locally windy spots in the higher terrain 
where easier mixing can be attained. This will keep ventilation 
elevated in most areas. Increasing dewpoints will continue to take a 
roundabout path into nm...leading to much higher minimum humidity in 
the afternoon. A few showers and storms will be possible as 
well...mostly in the northern mountains. 


The southwesterly flow aloft will increase a bit more into Sunday as 
the Pacific trough breaks into two distinct pieces of energy...the 
southernmost trough working eastward over Arizona. The winds at 10kft 
approach 45 to 50 miles per hour briefly around noon Sunday...and a weak Lee 
side surface low will help strengthen winds at surface/20ft level. 
The strongest speeds are expected in the northeast Highlands near 
Las Vegas/Roy/Raton. Better coverage of wetting rain with showers 
and a few thunderstorms is expected Sunday due to better lift from 
the approaching trough. 


The remnants of the aforementioned Arizona trough will rapidly lift 
northeastward across nm on Monday with precipitation also shifting 
eastward along with the speed maximum aloft. Breezy conditions have 
been left in the Monday forecast with speeds tapering off from west 
to east throughout the day. The colder air will then arrive Monday 
night into Tuesday morning with some freezing temperatures likely 
invading some spots that have not yet froze this season. 


Forecast confidence drops off from this point on...as models 
continue to be at odds on evolution of additional pressure falls 
upstream to the west. The European model continues to create a Deep 
Cut-off low pressure system that spins west southwest of 
nm...gaining subtropical moisture before tracking up into the state 
and releasing copious precipitation. This seems to be an outlier and 
a least likely scenario...but it has advertised this for 
back-to-back model runs now. 


&& 


Abq watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 


&& 


$$ 



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