Montgomery, New York Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 45°
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • Wind: Calm
  • Humidity: 80%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 39°
  • Pressure: 29.96 in. -

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Next 12 Hours

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2  am
5  am
8  am
11  am
Overcast
Overcast
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
Chance of Rain
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45°
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Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Tuesday
  • Rain Showers
  • High: 63 °
  • Low: 45 °
  • Rain Showers
  • Wednesday
  • Rain
  • High: 57 °
  • Low: 45 °
  • Rain
  • Thursday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 57 °
  • Low: 46 °
  • Chance of Rain
  • Friday
  • Overcast
  • High: 61 °
  • Low: 41 °
  • Overcast
  • Saturday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 61 °
  • Low: 45 °
  • Partly Cloudy

Forecast for Montgomery, New York

Updated: 5:00 PM EDT on October 20, 2014

  • Monday

    Partly cloudy. High of 61F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Overcast with a chance of rain after midnight. Low of 43F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Tuesday

    Overcast with rain showers. High of 63F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 60%.

  • Tuesday Night

    Overcast with rain. Fog overnight. Low of 45F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 0.4 in. possible.

  • Wednesday

    Overcast with rain. High of 57F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 70%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Overcast with rain, then a chance of rain after midnight. Fog overnight. Low of 45F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Thursday

    Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 57F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Thursday Night

    Overcast. Low of 46F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday

    Overcast. High of 61F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 41F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy. High of 61F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 45F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday

    Partly cloudy. High of 68F. Winds from the WNW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Low of 39F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday

    Mostly cloudy. High of 70F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 46F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Mostly cloudy. High of 75F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 45F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Partly cloudy. High of 48F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear. Low of 34F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday

    Clear. High of 37F with a windchill as low as 28F. Winds from the NNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear. Low of 32F. Winds from the North at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday

    Clear. High of 37F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Clear. Low of 32F. Winds less than 5 mph.

Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Buffer Zone (Berea), Montgomery, NY

Updated: 10:06 PM EDT

Temperature: 44.8 °F Dew Point: 38 °F Humidity: 78% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 45 °F Graphs

Location: Ridge Road, Campbell Hall, NY

Updated: 10:06 PM EDT

Temperature: 54.7 °F Dew Point: 38 °F Humidity: 53% Wind: ESE at 3.5 mph Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Stone Ridge, Washingtonville, NY

Updated: 10:06 PM EDT

Temperature: 52.0 °F Dew Point: 44 °F Humidity: 75% Wind: West at 3.8 mph Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET New Windsor NY US, New Windsor, NY

Updated: 9:23 PM EDT

Temperature: 48 °F Dew Point: 37 °F Humidity: 66% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: East Main Street, Washingtonville, NY

Updated: 10:04 PM EDT

Temperature: 51.6 °F Dew Point: 43 °F Humidity: 72% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.92 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: MonkWeather, Pine Bush, NY

Updated: 10:04 PM EDT

Temperature: 42.8 °F Dew Point: 39 °F Humidity: 87% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.94 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 43 °F Graphs

Location: N2KI - Skywarn Spotter ID 13-330NYC, Washingtonville, NY

Updated: 10:06 PM EDT

Temperature: 52.4 °F Dew Point: 41 °F Humidity: 66% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.97 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: N2KLC / N2RJV Stone Schoolhouse Road (Town of Wallkill), Bloomingburg, NY

Updated: 10:06 PM EDT

Temperature: 45.7 °F Dew Point: 22 °F Humidity: 38% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.38 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 46 °F Graphs

Location: Mt. Airy, New Windsor, NY

Updated: 10:05 PM EDT

Temperature: 51.7 °F Dew Point: 43 °F Humidity: 73% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: T/Wallkill / Middletown, NY, Middletown, NY

Updated: 10:02 PM EDT

Temperature: 48.2 °F Dew Point: 41 °F Humidity: 75% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: Tillson Lake, Wallkill, NY

Updated: 10:06 PM EDT

Temperature: 47.8 °F Dew Point: 40 °F Humidity: 74% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.78 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: West Side, Cornwall, NY

Updated: 10:06 PM EDT

Temperature: 49.1 °F Dew Point: 41 °F Humidity: 73% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.89 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 49 °F Graphs

Location: Newburgh, Newburgh, NY

Updated: 10:06 PM EDT

Temperature: 48.2 °F Dew Point: 39 °F Humidity: 70% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.71 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: Chester, Chester, NY

Updated: 9:59 PM EDT

Temperature: 49.4 °F Dew Point: 42 °F Humidity: 75% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.96 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 49 °F Graphs

Location: Firthcliffe, Cornwall, NY

Updated: 9:08 PM EDT

Temperature: 47.6 °F Dew Point: 41 °F Humidity: 79% Wind: NW at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.16 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: Cornwall on Hudson, Cornwall-on-Hudson, NY

Updated: 10:02 PM EDT

Temperature: 51.1 °F Dew Point: 44 °F Humidity: 75% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.86 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Chester, NY, Chester, NY

Updated: 9:57 PM EDT

Temperature: 52.3 °F Dew Point: 40 °F Humidity: 64% Wind: SSW at 2.0 mph Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Woodbury, Woodbury, NY

Updated: 9:57 PM EDT

Temperature: 47.3 °F Dew Point: 40 °F Humidity: 76% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.84 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 47 °F Graphs

Location: South Side, Cornwall, NY

Updated: 10:06 PM EDT

Temperature: 50.5 °F Dew Point: 43 °F Humidity: 75% Wind: WNW at 1.1 mph Pressure: 29.94 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Mine Hill Road, Cornwall, NY

Updated: 10:05 PM EDT

Temperature: 51.2 °F Dew Point: 39 °F Humidity: 64% Wind: SE at 3.0 mph Pressure: 30.02 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Monroe, Monroe, NY

Updated: 9:52 PM EDT

Temperature: 46.2 °F Dew Point: 39 °F Humidity: 75% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.93 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 46 °F Graphs

Location: Beacon, Beacon, NY

Updated: 10:00 PM EDT

Temperature: 55.9 °F Dew Point: 40 °F Humidity: 56% Wind: WSW at 3.7 mph Pressure: 29.91 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Mt. Beacon Park, Beacon, NY, Beacon, NY

Updated: 10:06 PM EDT

Temperature: 55.9 °F Dew Point: 40 °F Humidity: 54% Wind: SE at 3.8 mph Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: - Graphs

Location: Sugar Loaf, Chester, NY

Updated: 10:06 PM EDT

Temperature: 49.5 °F Dew Point: 41 °F Humidity: 73% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 50 °F Graphs

Location: MYC, Marlboro, NY

Updated: 9:54 PM EDT

Temperature: 48.0 °F Dew Point: 48 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.81 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: Ellenridge, Ellenville, NY

Updated: 10:06 PM EDT

Temperature: 45.8 °F Dew Point: 40 °F Humidity: 79% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.01 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 46 °F Graphs

Location: Cold Spring, NY, Cold Spring, NY

Updated: 10:02 PM EDT

Temperature: 47.5 °F Dew Point: 41 °F Humidity: 77% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.20 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 48 °F Graphs

Location: Crown Heights, Poughkeepsie, NY

Updated: 10:06 PM EDT

Temperature: 49.3 °F Dew Point: 38 °F Humidity: 66% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 49 °F Graphs

Location: Kelder's Farm, Accord, NY

Updated: 10:06 PM EDT

Temperature: 43.5 °F Dew Point: 40 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.96 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 44 °F Graphs

Location: Town of Lloyd, Highland, NY

Updated: 10:06 PM EDT

Temperature: 46.0 °F Dew Point: 43 °F Humidity: 88% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.69 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 46 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service New York New York 
939 PM EDT Monday Oct 20 2014 


Synopsis... 
low pressure moves in from the west tonight and remains in the 
vicinity through the middle to late week period before moving into 
the Canadian maritime provinces by Saturday morning. A cold front 
approaches from the northwest Saturday...then crosses the tri- 
state Saturday night. High pressure then builds into the Middle 
Atlantic States early next week. 


&& 


Near term /until 6 am Tuesday morning/... 
minor update to adjust the diurnal curve. Cloud cover has slowed 
the cooling in outlying areas. No other major changes made. 


Upper trough shifts towards US tonight along with a broad area of 
low pressure at the surface. Clouds will continue to lower through 
the night. Models agree that there will be some isentropic lift 
and moisture increasing over the easternmost portion of the tri 
state area late at night but with some differences in placement. 
There will also be increasing positive vorticity advection...especially west of the Hudson 
as the upper trough axis approaches. Will continue with overall 
slight chance to chance probability of precipitation focused mainly after midnight 
tonight...but will go with the highest chances for the far eastern 
and far western areas. 


&& 


Short term /6 am Tuesday morning through Tuesday night/... 
the system shifts east during Tuesday...with a surface low center 
starting to develop near the northern middle-Atlantic coast by the end 
of the day. Overall lift is not impressive...however with continued 
positive vorticity advection and steepening lapse rates in the middle levels...thinking is that 
there will be at least scattered showers around. For the 
afternoon...there will also be a slight chance of a thunderstorm 
with better the steeper lapse rates and elevated cape. 


The high temperature forecast is tricky for Tuesday as extended 
breaks of partly to mostly sunny conditions could develop. Have gone 
with a mav/NAM MOS blend for highs...which were similar. 


The low strengthens to our south Tuesday night...with overall better 
lift favoring the southwest half of the tri state area. Have gone 
with likely probability of precipitation late at night here...with chance probability of precipitation elsewhere. 
Elevated cape remains with isolated thunderstorms...generally shifting east as 
the night progresses. 


&& 


Long term /Wednesday through Monday/... 
confidence is high that a cutoff low will track from near the middle 
Atlantic coast Wednesday morning to somewhere near Nova Scotia by 
Saturday morning. As a result have gone with a model blend through 
then. 


It also appears there will be sufficient middle level instability over 
the entire County Warning Area...and to some extent low level instability mainly 
over southern and far eastern zones...to warrant a slight chance of 
thunder Wednesday and Wednesday night...in addition to likely probability of precipitation 
for rain. Appears all ingredients come together isentropically to 
warrant forecasting moderate rainfall from Wednesday afternoon 
through Wednesday night...with the moderate rainfall potential 
retreating to the northeast during the day on Thursday. As the 
cutoff low pulls away there will be a chance of showers Thursday 
night...tapering off to a slight chance of showers by Friday 
afternoon. For now it appears Friday night should be dry due to 
subsiding northwest boundary layer flow. Refer to the hydrology section of 
the afd for storm total quantitative precipitation forecast and any potential impacts. 


The GFS and European model (ecmwf) agree on the general features to impact the area 
Saturday through Monday...but differ on timing...and southern push 
of a surface cold front Saturday night. Noting the GFS seems to be 
living up to its progressive bias...and the consistency of the European model (ecmwf) 
and noting that the CMC supports the European model (ecmwf)...leaned towards the 
European model (ecmwf) in this time frame. 


Saturday should be dry with a shortwave Ridge Crossing the area. 
700-500 hpa trough then crosses the area Saturday night and 
Sunday...but with limited low level moisture to work with...it 
should pass by dry. A deep layered ridge then builds in then begins 
to build into the region into Monday. 


For temperatures in the long term: 


A blend of mav/met/ecs guidance...with NAM 2-meter temperatures and 
a mix down from 975-950 hpa per BUFKIT soundings was used for highs 
on Wednesday...with values forecast to be around 5 degrees below 
normal. For lows Wednesday night a blend of mav/met guidance with 
NAM 2-meter temperatures was used - with readings forecast to be 
near normal in NYC and around 5 degrees above normal elsewhere. For 
highs on Thursday a blend of mex/men/ekd/ece/ecm/wpc guidance was 
used with NAM 2-meter temperatures and a mix down from 950-925 hpa 
per BUFKIT soundings - with values expected to be around 5 degrees 
below normal. 


From Thursday night-Monday a blend of mex/men/ekd/ece/ecm/wpc 
guidance was used...with European model (ecmwf) 2-meter temperatures blended in 
Sunday and Sunday night...and the blend adjusted upward 1-2 
categories to counter bias towards climatology in the guidance that 
far out in time - noting forecast 850 temperatures of at least 10c 
in all models on Monday. Lows are forecast to run above normal 
Thursday night-Sunday night...while highs are forecast to be above 
normal...except slightly below normal on Sunday. Highs on Monday 
could very well end up 5+ degrees warmer than forecast if current 
trends hold. 


&& 


Aviation /02z Tuesday through Saturday/... 
low pressure approaches from the northwest through tonight...then 
becomes nearly stationary across New York...Pennsylvania...and into 
Virginia Tuesday as another low develops off the coast. 


VFR with a chance of light rain late tonight...toward Tuesday 
morning. Light rain becomes more widespread and likely Tuesday with 
conditions mainly VFR. There is a chance of MVFR ceilings by the 
afternoon. 


Low confidence in the wind forecast. Tonight light south to 
southwest wind becomes variable outside the New York terminals. The wind 
backs to the southeast to east Tuesday morning and remains light. 
There is a chance of light and variable wind through most of the day 
Tuesday. 


New York metropolitan enhanced aviation weather support... 


Detailed information...including hourly taf wind component forecasts can 
be found at: http:/www.Erh.NOAA.Gov/zny/n90 (lower case) 


Kjfk fcster comments: amendments for MVFR ceilings Tuesday afternoon 
and for light wind. 


Klga fcster comments: amendments for MVFR ceilings Tuesday afternoon 
and for light wind. 


Kewr fcster comments: amendments for MVFR ceilings Tuesday afternoon 
and for light wind. 


Kteb fcster comments: amendments for MVFR ceilings Tuesday afternoon 
and for light wind. 


Khpn fcster comments: amendments for MVFR ceilings Tuesday afternoon 
and for light wind. 


Kisp fcster comments: amendments for MVFR ceilings Tuesday afternoon 
and for light wind. 




Outlook for 00z Wednesday through Saturday... 
Tuesday night...occasional MVFR ceilings and visibilities in light rain. 
Wednesday through Thursday...MVFR or lower conds in rain. Northerly 
flow 10 to 15 knots g20-25kt. 
Friday...improving conds. Northwest winds 15-20 knots with 20-25 knots gusts. 
Saturday..VFR. Northwest g20kt. 


&& 


Marine... 
SW winds expected to subside tonight with a somewhat weaker pressure 
gradient developing over the waters. Winds gradually back towards 
the east by late in the day Tuesday...then as a low center develops 
to the south Tuesday night...winds back farther towards the NE and 
pick up as the low becomes stronger. Winds and seas should however 
remain below advisory levels through this period. 


Due to uncertainty in the exact track and strength of a coastal low 
Wednesday through Friday...there is a degree of uncertainty in the 
forecast in that time frame that is greater than normal. For now it 
appears there is a high chance of Small Craft Advisory conditions on 
the coastal ocean waters from Wednesday through Thursday 
night...with a chance of small craft conditions on the remainder of 
the waters during this time frame. 


Sub-small craft conditions are forecast on all waters 
Friday-Saturday - however there is a small chance that small craft 
conditions could linger into Friday on the eastern waters. 


&& 


Hydrology... 
dry today...with spotty light rainfall amounts possible tonight. 


There is the potential for around an inch of rain from Tuesday 
night into Thursday night over the western 1/3 of the 
County Warning Area...including NYC...and up to 1 1/3 inches of rain over the 
eastern 2/3 of the County Warning Area...with the best potential for the highest 
amounts over eastern CT and Long Island. 


There is the potential for locally higher amounts in any area 
experiencing stronger convection...which is locally possible 
Tuesday night through Wednesday night. If this occurs...then there 
is the potential for localized minor urban/poor drainage 
flooding. Otherwise...with the precipitation falling over 48+ 
hours...little or no significant hydrologic impact is expected. 


&& 


Okx watches/warnings/advisories... 
CT...none. 
New York...none. 
New Jersey...none. 
Marine...none. 


&& 


$$ 
Synopsis...jc/maloit 
near term...jmc/jc 
short term...jc 
long term...maloit 
aviation...met/dw 
marine...jc/maloit 
hydrology...jc/maloit 












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