Montgomery, New York Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 37°
  • Clear
  • Wind: SW 6 mph
  • Humidity: 70%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 28°
  • Pressure: 30.11 in. +
  • Heat Index: 32

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Next 12 Hours

10  pm
1  am
4  am
7  am
10  am
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Overcast
Overcast
Snow
Snow
Snow
Snow
39°
36°
36°
36°
34°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Wednesday
  • Snow
  • High: 41 °
  • Low: 27 °
  • Snow
  • Thursday
  • Chance of Snow
  • High: 41 °
  • Low: 19 °
  • Chance of Snow
  • Friday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 37 °
  • Low: 5 °
  • Partly Cloudy
  • Saturday
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • High: 39 °
  • Low: 32 °
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • Sunday
  • Mostly Cloudy
  • High: 50 °
  • Low: 34 °
  • Mostly Cloudy

Forecast for Montgomery, New York

Updated: 10:00 PM EST on November 25, 2014

Winter Storm Warning in effect from 7 am Wednesday to 1 am EST Thursday...
  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy in the morning, then overcast. High of 59F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Partly cloudy in the evening, then overcast. Low of 34F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Overcast with snow and rain. High of 41F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of snow 100% with accumulations up to 3 in. possible.

  • Wednesday Night

    Overcast with snow, then a chance of snow after midnight. Low of 27F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 90% with accumulations up to 6 in. possible.

  • Thursday

    Overcast with a chance of snow in the morning, then mostly cloudy with a chance of snow and a chance of rain. High of 41F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of snow 20%.

  • Thursday Night

    Partly cloudy with a chance of snow. Low of 19F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday

    Partly cloudy. High of 37F with a windchill as low as 25F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 5F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the SSW after midnight.

  • Saturday

    Overcast in the morning, then mostly cloudy. Fog early. High of 39F with a windchill as low as 0F. Winds from the SSW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of 32F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday

    Overcast. Fog early. High of 50F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 34F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph shifting to the NW after midnight.

  • Monday

    Mostly cloudy. High of 45F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 23F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy. High of 43F. Winds from the ENE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Overcast with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 34F. Winds from the ESE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Wednesday

    Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 59F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 45F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Thursday

    Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 57F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Thursday Night

    Overcast with a chance of rain. Low of 41F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.

  • Friday

    Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 54F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Friday Night

    Mostly cloudy. Low of 36F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 50F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 36F. Winds less than 5 mph.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Winter Storm Warning  Statement as of 9:35 PM EST on November 25, 2014


... Winter Storm Warning remains in effect from 7 am Wednesday to
1 am EST Thursday...

* locations... interior portions of the lower Hudson Valley and
portions of northeast New Jersey.

* Hazard types... heavy snow.

* Accumulations... snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches.

* Visibilities... one quarter to one half mile at times.

* Timing... a mixture of rain and snow Wednesday morning will
change to all snow by late morning.

* Impacts... the snowfall will significantly impact Holiday
travel... making driving dangerous at times.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected or occurring. Significant amounts of snow
are forecast that will make travel dangerous. Only travel in an
emergency. If you must travel... keep an extra flashlight... food...
and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.






 Record Report  Statement as of 01:17 am EST on November 25, 2014


... Record high temperature set at Kennedy NY...

a record high temperature of 64 degrees was set at Kennedy NY
yesterday. This breaks the old record of 63 set in 2001.




Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Buffer Zone (Berea), Montgomery, NY

Updated: 10:53 PM EST

Temperature: 39.7 °F Dew Point: 29 °F Humidity: 65% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.15 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 40 °F Graphs

Location: Walden, NY

Updated: 10:54 PM EST

Temperature: 39.6 °F Dew Point: 20 °F Humidity: 46% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.12 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 40 °F Graphs

Location: rural retreat cnty 48, Thompson Ridge, NY

Updated: 9:40 PM EST

Temperature: 43.5 °F Dew Point: 31 °F Humidity: 62% Wind: SSE at 1.4 mph Pressure: 29.69 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 44 °F Graphs

Location: Goshen Turnpike, Circleville, NY

Updated: 10:50 PM EST

Temperature: 39.0 °F Dew Point: 28 °F Humidity: 63% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.17 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 39 °F Graphs

Location: East Main Street, Washingtonville, NY

Updated: 10:49 PM EST

Temperature: 38.7 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 81% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.08 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 39 °F Graphs

Location: MonkWeather, Pine Bush, NY

Updated: 10:34 PM EST

Temperature: 34.9 °F Dew Point: 30 °F Humidity: 82% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.09 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 35 °F Graphs

Location: N2KI - Skywarn Spotter ID 13-330NYC, Washingtonville, NY

Updated: 10:54 PM EST

Temperature: 38.9 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 79% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.15 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 39 °F Graphs

Location: N2KLC / N2RJV Stone Schoolhouse Road (Town of Wallkill), Bloomingburg, NY

Updated: 10:54 PM EST

Temperature: 35.4 °F Dew Point: 14 °F Humidity: 40% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.53 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 35 °F Graphs

Location: Mt. Airy, New Windsor, NY

Updated: 10:50 PM EST

Temperature: 42.1 °F Dew Point: 34 °F Humidity: 72% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.09 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 42 °F Graphs

Location: T/Wallkill / Middletown, NY, Middletown, NY

Updated: 10:49 PM EST

Temperature: 42.3 °F Dew Point: 30 °F Humidity: 61% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.09 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 42 °F Graphs

Location: West Side, Cornwall, NY

Updated: 10:54 PM EST

Temperature: 44.1 °F Dew Point: 29 °F Humidity: 55% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.06 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 44 °F Graphs

Location: Newburgh, Newburgh, NY

Updated: 10:54 PM EST

Temperature: 38.3 °F Dew Point: 27 °F Humidity: 64% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.88 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 38 °F Graphs

Location: New Windsor, New Windsor, NY

Updated: 10:46 PM EST

Temperature: 39.7 °F Dew Point: 31 °F Humidity: 71% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.02 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 40 °F Graphs

Location: Chester, Chester, NY

Updated: 10:49 PM EST

Temperature: 37.0 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 83% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.12 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 37 °F Graphs

Location: Firthcliffe, Cornwall, NY

Updated: 10:54 PM EST

Temperature: 44.6 °F Dew Point: 30 °F Humidity: 57% Wind: SW at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.32 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 45 °F Graphs

Location: Cornwall on Hudson, Cornwall-on-Hudson, NY

Updated: 10:52 PM EST

Temperature: 45.5 °F Dew Point: 33 °F Humidity: 61% Wind: SSW at 2.2 mph Pressure: 30.02 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 46 °F Graphs

Location: Chester, NY, Chester, NY

Updated: 10:46 PM EST

Temperature: 41.6 °F Dew Point: 31 °F Humidity: 65% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.09 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 42 °F Graphs

Location: Woodbury, Woodbury, NY

Updated: 10:39 PM EST

Temperature: 39.7 °F Dew Point: 31 °F Humidity: 72% Wind: SE at 1.1 mph Pressure: 29.98 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 40 °F Graphs

Location: South Side, Cornwall, NY

Updated: 10:54 PM EST

Temperature: 44.8 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 62% Wind: South at 1.1 mph Pressure: 30.11 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 45 °F Graphs

Location: Mine Hill Road, Cornwall, NY

Updated: 10:53 PM EST

Temperature: 44.5 °F Dew Point: 29 °F Humidity: 55% Wind: North at 3.0 mph Pressure: 30.17 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 44 °F Graphs

Location: Monroe, Monroe, NY

Updated: 10:51 PM EST

Temperature: 41.4 °F Dew Point: 30 °F Humidity: 64% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.10 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 41 °F Graphs

Location: Beacon, Beacon, NY

Updated: 10:51 PM EST

Temperature: 45.0 °F Dew Point: 30 °F Humidity: 56% Wind: SW at 1.1 mph Pressure: 30.09 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 45 °F Graphs

Location: Mt. Beacon Park, Beacon, NY, Beacon, NY

Updated: 10:54 PM EST

Temperature: 43.7 °F Dew Point: 31 °F Humidity: 60% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.15 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 44 °F Graphs

Location: Sugar Loaf, Chester, NY

Updated: 10:54 PM EST

Temperature: 38.3 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 78% Wind: SW at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.16 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 38 °F Graphs

Location: MYC, Marlboro, NY

Updated: 10:49 PM EST

Temperature: 40.6 °F Dew Point: 40 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: Calm Pressure: 29.99 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 41 °F Graphs

Location: Ellenridge, Ellenville, NY

Updated: 10:54 PM EST

Temperature: 39.2 °F Dew Point: 30 °F Humidity: 69% Wind: WNW at 1.1 mph Pressure: 30.12 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 39 °F Graphs

Location: Cold Spring, NY, Cold Spring, NY

Updated: 10:51 PM EST

Temperature: 45.4 °F Dew Point: 29 °F Humidity: 54% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.34 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 45 °F Graphs

Location: Crown Heights, Poughkeepsie, NY

Updated: 10:54 PM EST

Temperature: 43.9 °F Dew Point: 29 °F Humidity: 56% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.15 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 44 °F Graphs

Location: Esselborne Road, Cold Spring, NY

Updated: 10:52 PM EST

Temperature: 43.9 °F Dew Point: 32 °F Humidity: 62% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.08 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 44 °F Graphs

Location: Kelder's Farm, Accord, NY

Updated: 10:53 PM EST

Temperature: 32.5 °F Dew Point: 30 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: NW at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.10 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 32 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service New York New York 
1002 PM EST Tuesday Nov 25 2014 


Synopsis... 
weak high pressure briefly builds across the area tonight...while 
low pressure develops along the southeast coast. The low will 
deepen and track northeast on Wednesday...passing just east of 
the southern New England coast in the evening. The low then tracks 
through the Canadian maritime Thursday. High pressure then builds 
in behind the departing low Friday and Saturday. Low pressure 
moves well to the north and west Sunday and Monday...bringing a 
warm front through Sunday...followed by a cold front Monday. High 
pressure builds in Tuesday. 


&& 


Near term /until 6 am Wednesday morning/... 
clouds increase throughout the night as low pressure develops and 
strengthens off the southeast U.S. Coast. Surface dew points are slowly 
creeping up...but it still remains quite dry locally...and there 
is little...if any...rain along the eastern Seaboard. Nearest rain 
is over the Carolinas. Therefore...it will take some time for 
measurable rainfall to reach NYC and Long Island...so will push 
off chance probability of precipitation until just prior to daybreak. 


Temperatures across the interior have dropped into the lower 30s...but 
temperatures there should rebound by a few degrees or so as clouds 
spread north. Otherwise...lows will drop into the middle to upper 
30s. 


&& 


Short term /6 am Wednesday morning through Wednesday night/... 
significant winter storm will track northeast just off the 
eastern Seaboard on Wednesday. There is good model agreement on 
taking the low just inside the benchmark Wednesday night...40n...70w. 
The real difficult part of the forecast is resolving Thermo 
profiles with no real source of low-level cold air. Event will be 
heavily dependent on dynamical cooling and where banding sets up. 
In addition...any deviation right or left of the low track could 
alter Thermo profiles by just a degree or two...all that will be 
needed for a significant change to the forecast. Highest 
confidence of reaching warning level snows is across the interior 
of southern CT...the lower Hudson Valley...and portions of NE New Jersey. 
New York metropolitan and much of coastal CT have been placed into an advisory 
due to a longer transition time to snow and frequent mixing with 
rain. This will be a heavy wet snow...potentially causing power 
outages and downed tree limbs. 


As previously mentioned...models have come into consensus with a 
low track just inside the benchmark Wednesday evening. There is no polar air 
in place for low-level cold air with the models varying with an 
elevated warm layer in the middle levels. The 18z NAM WRF is the most 
aggressive with this warming with 3 degree c at 700 mb across the NYC 
metropolitan. Ironically...the NAM about 24 hours ago was the coldest 
solution with a track a bit farther east. It still remains the 
coldest in the boundary layer...which for the most part is the 
hang up for the NYC metropolitan...coastal CT...and western Li...which 
are generally below freezing above 1500 feet. The boundary layer 
will be critical here. As for the elevated warm layer from the 
latest NAM...will have to see if this shows up in the 00z 
cycle...particularly the GFS and European model (ecmwf). The NAM is clearly more 
robust with an 85 to 90 knots jet at 650 mb. The European model (ecmwf) is about 10 to 
15 knots weaker and farther offshore...and the GFS is even farther 
east. This could be huge play maker. In addition...with a 
marginally cold air mass in place...850-500 mb frontogenesis could 
overwhelm the column with significant snows even into the NYC 
metropolitan. For now will keep advisory level snows at the coast and 
warning level across inland areas. Eastern Li and southeast CT will 
see the least amount of snowfall unless a significant track 
change ensues in subsequent cycles...which is not likely. 


Precipitation will break out by daybreak and be heaviest during the morning 
and afternoon hours. 


Highest snowfall totals will range from 6 to 10 inches in the 
lower Hudson Valley...to 2 to 5 inches in the advisory area. 


Stayed away from MOS temperatures in this situation and used the NAM 2 
meter temperatures for boundary layer and a blend of the GFS/European model (ecmwf) for 
Thermo profiles and ptype. Temperatures will slowly fall into the lower 
and middle 30s by middle after Wednesday. 


Expect a transition to all snow on the backside Wednesday night with 
minor additional accumulations possible. Lows will range from the 
middle 20s to lower 30s. 


&& 


Long term /Thursday through Tuesday/... 
an upper trough will still be crossing the northeast Thursday into 
Thursday evening with the surface low departing to the northeast. 
There will be some weak instability along with weak lift with the 
upper trough and a weak surface trough in the vicinity behind the 
low. Both the GFS and European model (ecmwf) have light quantitative precipitation forecast...and some flurries will 
be possible into Thursday evening. 


The upper trough axis moves off the coast Thursday night with the 
flow becoming zonal into early next week. Some weak ridging builds 
Tuesday as a deepening trough moves into the Pacific northwest and 
Rocky Mountain range. A very weak shortwave move quickly through the 
zonal flow...north of the area...Saturday night into Sunday. A the 
surface a warm front crosses the region Sunday followed by a cold 
front late Sunday night into Monday morning. There will be a slight 
chance of rain showers Sunday into Monday. 


For temperatures Thursday through Friday undercut guidance by a few 
degrees inland with the potential of snow cover and light northwest 
flow. Otherwise followed wpc guidance Friday night through 
Tuesday. 


&& 


Aviation /03z Wednesday through Sunday/... 
***high impact winter weather event wednesday*** 


Low pressure will track from near Hatteras Wednesday morning...to near 
Cape Cod Wednesday night. 


VFR most of tonight...falling to MVFR as precipitation starts around 12z...to 
IFR or lower thereafter until after 00z when precipitation tapers off and ceilings 
improve to MVFR. 


For the city into khpn and kbdr...precipitation starts mainly as rain then 
transitions to snow by around 15z. Sleet and rain may then mix in 
during the afternoon before ending as all snow late in the afternoon and 
into the evening. 


For kswf...all snow. 


For kisp and kgon...transition to snow later than the city...with 
more potential sleet and rain mix in the afternoon. Potential for 
periods of heavy rain. 


Most likely runway accumulations 3-6 inches NYC metropolitan terminals... 
8-11 inches kswf/khpn...3-6 inches kbdr...1-2 inches kisp/kgon. 


Outlook for 00z Thursday through Sat... 


Wednesday night...improverment to MVFR after about 2z. Winds becoming northwest 
then diminishing after midnight. 


Thursday-Thursday night...lingering snow showers possible in the morning 
with MVFR conds...then VFR. 


Fri-Sunday...VFR. 


&& 


Marine... 
a coastal low brings gale conditions to the coastal ocean waters 
Wednesday afternoon and Wednesday night. The Gale Warning remains 
unchanged. For the remaining waters...a Small Craft Advisory will be in effect for 
roughly the same period. 


A northwest flow behind departing low pressure Thursday will be 
below small craft levels...however seas on the ocean will still be 
at small craft levels and slowly subsiding...falling below by 
Friday morning as high pressure builds in. 


Then wind and seas will remain below small craft the remainder of 
Friday into Saturday. A return flow develops Saturday as the high 
moves off the coast. A southwest flow increases as low pressure 
moves through the Great Lakes region Saturday into Sunday. Some 
gusts on the ocean waters may be near small craft later Saturday 
into Sunday...and seas will be building to small craft late Saturday 
and remain into Sunday. 


&& 


Hydrology... 
for Wednesday and Wednesday night...expecting a liquid equivalent 
precipitation amounts averaging around 1.0 to 1.5. The highest quantitative precipitation forecast 
amounts area currently expected over eastern CT/Long Island and 
the lowest over far western portions of the tri-state. 


Over the interior most of this will fall in the form of snow...so 
little if any immediate hydrologic impact is expected there. Farther 
to the S/E...basically along and east of I-95...there will be a a mix 
of rain and snow. This could cause minor flooding of urban/poor 
drainage areas. 


Thursday through Sunday...very light quantitative precipitation forecast amounts are 
possible...Thursday...Saturday and Sunday. 


&& 


Okx watches/warnings/advisories... 
CT...Winter Storm Warning from 7 am Wednesday to 1 am EST Thursday 
for ctz005>007. 
Winter Weather Advisory from 7 am Wednesday to 1 am EST 
Thursday for ctz008>011. 
New York...Winter Storm Warning from 7 am Wednesday to 1 am EST Thursday 
for nyz067>070. 
Winter Weather Advisory from 7 am Wednesday to 1 am EST 
Thursday for nyz071>075-176>178. 
New Jersey...Winter Storm Warning from 7 am Wednesday to 1 am EST Thursday 
for njz002-004-103-105-107. 
Winter Weather Advisory from 7 am Wednesday to 1 am EST 
Thursday for njz006-104-106-108. 
Marine...Small Craft Advisory from 10 am Wednesday to 1 am EST Thursday 
for anz330-335-338-340-345. 
Small Craft Advisory until 11 am EST Wednesday for anz350-353- 
355. 
Gale Warning from 11 am Wednesday to midnight EST Wednesday 
night for anz350-353-355. 


&& 


$$ 
Synopsis...met/dw 
near term...mps 
short term...mps 
long term...met 
aviation...jmc/Goodman 
marine...met/dw 
hydrology...met/dw 



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