Montgomery, New York Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • Clear
  • Wind: SW 4 mph
  • Humidity: 67%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: -1°
  • Pressure: 30.74 in. +
  • Heat Index: 1

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Next 12 Hours

10  pm
1  am
4  am
7  am
10  am
Clear
Clear
Fog
Fog
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Overcast
Overcast
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
18°
Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Sunday
  • Snow
  • High: 32 °
  • Low: 23 °
  • Snow
  • Monday
  • Chance of Snow
  • High: 41 °
  • Low: 7 °
  • Chance of Snow
  • Tuesday
  • Clear
  • High: 34 °
  • Low: 32 °
  • Clear
  • Wednesday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 48 °
  • Low: 28 °
  • Chance of Rain
  • Thursday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 37 °
  • Low: -6 °
  • Partly Cloudy

Forecast for Montgomery, New York

Updated:

Winter Weather Advisory in effect from 10 am Sunday to 7 am EST Monday...
  • Saturday

    Partly cloudy. Fog early. High of 27F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Partly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of -4F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday

    Overcast in the morning, then mostly cloudy with snow. High of 32F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of snow 80%.

  • Sunday Night

    Overcast with snow. Low of 23F. Winds less than 5 mph. Chance of snow 80% with accumulations up to 2 in. possible.

  • Monday

    Overcast with a chance of snow in the morning, then partly cloudy. High of 41F. Breezy. Winds from the WNW at 15 to 20 mph. Chance of snow 20%.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Low of 7F. Winds from the West at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Partly cloudy. High of 34F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow and rain showers in the evening, then overcast with a chance of snow and a chance of rain. Low of 32F with a windchill as low as 21F. Winds from the South at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow 70% with accumulations up to 3 in. possible.

  • Wednesday

    Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 48F. Winds from the West at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 28F. Winds from the NW at 10 to 15 mph.

  • Thursday

    Clear. High of 37F with a windchill as low as 21F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear. Low of -6F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Friday

    Clear. High of 32F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Clear. Low of 12F with a windchill as low as 3F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 36F with a windchill as low as 19F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Fog overnight. Low of 18F with a windchill as low as 7F. Winds from the SW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday

    Clear. High of 34F. Winds from the WNW at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Clear. Low of 19F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday

    Clear. High of 39F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Low of 25F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Clear. High of 43F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 27F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Clear. High of 39F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear. Low of 27F with a windchill as low as 3F. Winds from the NW at 5 to 10 mph.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Winter Weather Advisory  Statement as of 9:24 PM EST on February 28, 2015


... Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect from 10 am Sunday to
7 am EST Monday...

* locations... New York City... Long Island... northeast New
Jersey... the lower Hudson Valley and Fairfield County.

* Hazard types... snow... with freezing rain across New York
City... Long Island... most of northeast New Jersey... and
coastal portions of the lower Hudson Valley and Fairfield
County.

* Accumulations... snow accumulation of 2 to 6 inches... along
with up to around a tenth of an inch of ice.

* Visibilities... 1/4 to 1/2 miles at times.

* Timing... snow develops beginning late Sunday morning over
western portions of the tri-state... then expands over the
remainder of the advisory area Sunday afternoon. The snow will
mix with or change to freezing rain across New York City...
Long Island... most of northeast New Jersey... and coastal
portions of the lower Hudson Valley and Fairfield County
Sunday evening. The precipitation will taper off from west to
east after midnight Sunday night.

* Impacts... snow covered surfaces... coated with ice in areas...
will make traveling difficult at times.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow... sleet... or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for
slippery roads and limited visibilities... and use caution while
driving.






 Record Report  Statement as of 7:30 am EST on February 28, 2015


... Record low temperature set at Bridgeport CT...

A record low temperature of 8 degrees was set at Bridgeport CT this
morning. This breaks the old record of 9 set in 2014.




Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: NonFedAWOS ORANGECTY NY US SUPERAWOS, Montgomery, NY

Updated: 6:15 PM EST

Temperature: 21 °F Dew Point: 3 °F Humidity: 45% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.71 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 21 °F Graphs

Location: Buffer Zone (Berea), Montgomery, NY

Updated: 9:54 PM EST

Temperature: 8.4 °F Dew Point: -0 °F Humidity: 67% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.79 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 8 °F Graphs

Location: rural retreat cnty 48, Thompson Ridge, NY

Updated: 9:55 PM EST

Temperature: 17.6 °F Dew Point: 5 °F Humidity: 58% Wind: SE at 1.1 mph Pressure: 30.28 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 18 °F Graphs

Location: Goshen Turnpike, Circleville, NY

Updated: 9:52 PM EST

Temperature: 14.9 °F Dew Point: 2 °F Humidity: 57% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.76 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 15 °F Graphs

Location: East Main Street, Washingtonville, NY

Updated: 9:54 PM EST

Temperature: 10.0 °F Dew Point: -5 °F Humidity: 49% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.69 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 10 °F Graphs

Location: MonkWeather, Pine Bush, NY

Updated: 9:54 PM EST

Temperature: 7.6 °F Dew Point: 0 °F Humidity: 72% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.72 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 8 °F Graphs

Location: N2KI - Skywarn Spotter ID 13-330NYC, Washingtonville, NY

Updated: 9:55 PM EST

Temperature: 10.8 °F Dew Point: 4 °F Humidity: 73% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.72 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 11 °F Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET Newburgh NY US, Newburgh, NY

Updated: 9:26 PM EST

Temperature: 11 °F Dew Point: 3 °F Humidity: 71% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.75 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 11 °F Graphs

Location: T/Wallkill-Middletown, Middletown, NY

Updated: 9:52 PM EST

Temperature: 9.3 °F Dew Point: 2 °F Humidity: 73% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.39 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 9 °F Graphs

Location: N2KLC / N2RJV Stone Schoolhouse Road (Town of Wallkill), Bloomingburg, NY

Updated: 9:55 PM EST

Temperature: 11.1 °F Dew Point: -6 °F Humidity: 44% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.12 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 11 °F Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET Plattekill NY US, Plattekill, NY

Updated: 9:32 PM EST

Temperature: 12 °F Dew Point: -1 °F Humidity: 56% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.70 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 12 °F Graphs

Location: Mt. Airy, New Windsor, NY

Updated: 9:50 PM EST

Temperature: 11.7 °F Dew Point: 5 °F Humidity: 74% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.72 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 12 °F Graphs

Location: T/Wallkill / Middletown, NY, Middletown, NY

Updated: 9:51 PM EST

Temperature: 18.5 °F Dew Point: 5 °F Humidity: 56% Wind: SW at 2.0 mph Pressure: 30.73 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 18 °F Graphs

Location: Tillson Lake, Wallkill, NY

Updated: 9:54 PM EST

Temperature: 13.3 °F Dew Point: -3 °F Humidity: 47% Wind: NW at 1.6 mph Pressure: 30.17 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 13 °F Graphs

Location: West Side, Cornwall, NY

Updated: 9:55 PM EST

Temperature: 13.3 °F Dew Point: 1 °F Humidity: 56% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.68 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 13 °F Graphs

Location: New Windsor, New Windsor, NY

Updated: 9:51 PM EST

Temperature: 10.0 °F Dew Point: 3 °F Humidity: 73% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.59 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 10 °F Graphs

Location: South Road, Bloomingburg, NY

Updated: 9:53 PM EST

Temperature: 15.1 °F Dew Point: -2 °F Humidity: 47% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.69 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 15 °F Graphs

Location: Chester, Chester, NY

Updated: 9:49 PM EST

Temperature: 10.4 °F Dew Point: 4 °F Humidity: 73% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.75 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 10 °F Graphs

Location: Gibson Road, Goshen, NY

Updated: 9:53 PM EST

Temperature: 13.5 °F Dew Point: -2 °F Humidity: 49% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.79 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 14 °F Graphs

Location: Firthcliffe, Cornwall, NY

Updated: 9:55 PM EST

Temperature: 14.4 °F Dew Point: 6 °F Humidity: 68% Wind: WSW at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.97 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 14 °F Graphs

Location: Henry Avenue, Newburgh, NY

Updated: 9:52 PM EST

Temperature: 19.0 °F Dew Point: 8 °F Humidity: 62% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.66 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 19 °F Graphs

Location: Cornwall on Hudson, Cornwall-on-Hudson, NY

Updated: 9:43 PM EST

Temperature: 13.1 °F Dew Point: 5 °F Humidity: 69% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.65 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 13 °F Graphs

Location: Chester, NY, Chester, NY

Updated: 9:48 PM EST

Temperature: 14.7 °F Dew Point: 3 °F Humidity: 61% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.72 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 15 °F Graphs

Location: Woodbury, Woodbury, NY

Updated: 9:52 PM EST

Temperature: 9.9 °F Dew Point: 2 °F Humidity: 71% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.58 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 10 °F Graphs

Location: Windswept Lane, Newburgh, NY

Updated: 9:53 PM EST

Temperature: 17.8 °F Dew Point: 4 °F Humidity: 54% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.78 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 18 °F Graphs

Location: South Side, Cornwall, NY

Updated: 9:55 PM EST

Temperature: 17.2 °F Dew Point: 6 °F Humidity: 62% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.69 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Windchill: 17 °F Graphs

Location: Bannerman Island, Beacon, NY

Updated: 9:50 PM EST

Temperature: 18.3 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.67 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 18 °F Graphs

Location: Monroe, Monroe, NY

Updated: 9:43 PM EST

Temperature: 11.8 °F Dew Point: 3 °F Humidity: 66% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.66 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 12 °F Graphs

Location: east bank of the Hudson river, Wappingers Falls, NY

Updated: 9:49 PM EST

Temperature: 8.8 °F Dew Point: 0 °F Humidity: 68% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.58 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 9 °F Graphs

Location: Woodbury, Woodbury, NY

Updated: 9:46 PM EST

Temperature: 9.0 °F Dew Point: 3 °F Humidity: 77% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.61 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 9 °F Graphs

Location: Beacon, Beacon, NY

Updated: 9:51 PM EST

Temperature: 12.6 °F Dew Point: 6 °F Humidity: 73% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.72 in Hourly Precipitation: - Windchill: 13 °F Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service New York New York 
931 PM EST Sat Feb 28 2015 


Synopsis... 
high pressure over the area slides offshore into Sunday. A cold 
front approaches from the west late Sunday...then crosses the 
area Sunday night. High pressure builds in from the west on 
Monday and slides offshore on Tuesday. Low pressure will track well 
north of the area Tuesday night and Wednesday...with a warm front 
lifting into the area Tuesday night...followed by a cold front 
Wednesday and another surface trough late Wednesday night. High 
pressure then builds in for the remainder of the week. 


&& 


Near term /until 6 am Sunday morning/... 
850-500 hpa shortwave ridging crosses the area tonight...keeping 
things dry. It will also keep the area relatively cloud free until 
the ridge axis passes overnight. High clouds approaching from the 
west late this evening per infrared. 


Forecast is generally on track. Increased lows a few degrees 
tonight with middle and high clouds expected to move in during the 
latter part of the night. Winds are light and vrb to calm 
with clear skies promoting excellent radiational cooling conds. 
Temperatures have fallen due to these clear skies and light winds. 


Lows are forecast to be around 15-20 degrees below normal - 
mainly in the single digits...except 10-15 NYC and western Long 
Island. There could be a few areas in far north interior zones that 
dip just below zero. Winds will be light...so wind chills will be 
at if not slightly below the air temperature. 


&& 


Short term /6 am Sunday morning through Monday/... 
models are all in good agreement on the general pattern Sunday- 
Monday...but differ in details...particularly at the surface. 


Given westerly flow and warm advection pattern on Sunday...expect 
precipitation to develop as fast if not faster than the fastest 
model...which is the GFS. Have increased probability of precipitation to categorical by 
late afternoon as a result. Regardless of model of choice...only 
see snow as the p-type during the day on Sunday. 


Have sided with higher resolution...especially in the 
vertical...ECMWF/NAM/CMC-reg and to a lesser extent the sref with 
the idea of a coastal front developing to the S of Long Island 
Sunday night...with a weak low of pressure riding along it and 
passing to the S of Long Island. This is a feature that has been 
observed in multiple other storms with a similar pattern this 
winter...and have no reason to believe that this time will be any 
different. 


The impact of this coastal front with the wave of low pressure 
going along it...will be to help keep the low level cold air in 
place through most of Sunday night over the County Warning Area. As a result do 
not have any area mixing with or changing to rain...however still 
expect NYC/Long Island/most of NE New Jersey/S Westchester and Fairfield 
to mix with/change to freezing rain late Sunday evening. 


With the faster onset...also have a faster end time...with 
precipitation coming to an end from west to east after midnight Sunday 
night. 


Based on this...expect 2-5 inches of snow with up to a tenth of 
an inch of ice across NYC/Long Island/NE New Jersey/coastal Westchester 
and Fairfield. Expect 3-6 inches of snow elsewhere...except for 
possibly 4-7/maybe 8 inches across New Haven/Middlesex/New London 
counties. Therefore have issued a Winter Storm Watch from New 
Haven County on east in S CT...and a Winter Weather Advisory 
elsewhere in the County Warning Area. 


Still some uncertainty on quantitative precipitation forecast - with NAM/sref wettest and GFS 
generally the driest...with the CMC and European model (ecmwf) in between...and 
timing. Also still some uncertainty on timing of any mix/change 
over to freezing rain...and if coastal front will indeed stay S of Long 
Island as currently forecast. 


Temperatures Sunday/Sunday night a blend of mav/met/ecs guidance 
and NAM 2-meter temperatures...with an adjustment for wet-bulbing 
based on a mav/met blended dew point while precipitating. 
Temperatures generally reach middle 20s-lower 30s before the onset 
of precipitation...then cool to the lower 20s-around 30 during the 
event Sunday evening. Could see a slight rise in temperatures late 
Sunday night after the precipitation comes to an end. 


Monday should be dry with down sloping boundary layer 
flow...despite passage of 500 hpa trough axis. Highs Monday 
should be around 5-10 degrees below normal...with all but 
possibly higher elevations breaking the freezing mark. Gusty northwest 
winds Monday with gusts by afternoon up to 25-35 miles per hour with some 
isolated gusts to 40 miles per hour possible. 


&& 


Long term /Monday night through Saturday/... 
models are in decent agreement at 500 mb through the week...although 
slight differences in heights begin to take shape during the latter 
half from a digging trough in the middle of the country. 


Ridging at the surface and aloft tracks towards the East Coast Monday night 
with the upper ridge axis sliding east Tuesday afternoon. Precipitation will overspread 
the area by Tuesday evening as snow...but with increasing S-SW winds and 
strong warm air advection temperatures will warm Tuesday night with snow changing over to rain 
from S to north. Warm front lifting towards the area Tuesday night...but 
there is some uncertainty if the low level jet will be strong enough to push 
it through at the surface. Climatology says no with the low so far to 
the northwest...so temperatures in the middle to upper 40s may be too high. 
However...do think temperatures should be above freezing but how much 
will depend on the amount of melting of the snowpack. This...in 
addition to rainfall could lead to minor flooding issues. Cold 
front moves across Wednesday followed by another boundary late Wednesday 
night. The northern edge of the precipitation shield of a southern stream 
system riding along this secondary boundary could keep precipitation 
lingering into Thursday...although the trend has been S over the last 
12 hours. Have kept chance probability of precipitation for now. Cold weather also returns in 
the wake of this second boundary. 


Strong Canadian high pressure then builds towards the area into the 
weekend with dry weather but the well below normal temperatures 
continuing. 


&& 


Aviation /03z Sunday through Thursday/... 
high pressure tonight will weaken Sunday morning as a warm front 
approaches. 


Expect VFR conditions through early Sunday morning...then visibility 
rapidly lowers to IFR during middle to late morning as light snow 
develops. The snow picks up in intensity after 20z from west to 
east...with LIFR possible. 


Winds have become light/variable or calm late this evening as the 
high passes overhead...then light southerly winds are forecast by 
late Sunday morning or early Sunday afternoon. 


Outlook for 00z Monday through Wednesday... 


Sunday night...MVFR/IFR conditions expected. Snow...changing to a 
wintry mix at kjfk/kewr during the evening...then at the rest of the 
NYC metropolitan terminals after midnight. Most likely total runway 
accumulations... 
kgon...5-7 inches. 
Kswf/khpn/kbdr...4-6 inches. 
Kewr/kteb/klga...2-4 inches. 
Kjfk/kisp...2-3 inches. 


Monday-Monday night...becoming VFR early. Northwest winds 15-20 knots with gusts 
25-35 knots from late morning until around sunset. 


Tuesday...chance of snow with MVFR or IFR conditions in the 
afternoon at the NYC metropolitan and lower Hudson Valley terminals. VFR 
farther east. 


Tuesday night...IFR conditions likely. Snow...changing to a wintry 
mix after midnight...and then rain late at all terminals except 
kswf. Low level wind shear possible after midnight. 


Wednesday...IFR conditions possible in rain...with freezing rain 
changing to rain at kswf...and plain rain elsewhere. Low level wind shear 
possible in the morning. 


Wednesday night...MVFR conditions likely...IFR conditions possible. 
Rain...mixing with or changing to snow after midnight. 


Thursday...chance of snow and rain with MVFR conditions 
possible...ending by nightfall. 


&& 


Marine... 
a relaxed pressure gradient will keep conditions below small 
craft levels through Sunday night with winds 10 knots or less on all 
waters through then. 


Winds increase rapidly out of the northwest Monday as low pressure 
deepens to the northeast. All waters will see at least gusts to 
Small Craft Advisory levels with a small chance to chance of gale gusts as well. 
Will highlight this potential in the severe weather potential statement. 


Sub-advsy conds return late Monday night and continue through Tuesday. 
Small Craft Advisory conds then return Tuesday night due to an increasing southerly flow 
ahead of a warm front and then behind a cold frontal passage on Wednesday. Gusts 
diminish Wednesday night...but seas on the ocean waters will linger into 
Thursday. 


&& 


Hydrology... 
there is the potential for around 4-6 tenths of an inch of liquid 
equivalent to fall Sunday and Sunday night. With all of this 
expected to be either frozen or freezing precipitation...no 
immediate hydrologic impact is expected. 


Between 1/2 to 1 inch of liquid equivalent precipitation is possible late 
Tuesday through Wednesday. Most of this will fall as rain...therefore the 
combination of this and a melting snowpack could cause minor 
flooding issues. 


Ice will continue to develop on local area rivers and streams as 
temperatures remain well below average. 


&& 


Okx watches/warnings/advisories... 
CT...Winter Weather Advisory from 10 am Sunday to 7 am EST Monday 
for ctz005-009. 
Winter Storm Watch from Sunday morning through Monday morning 
for ctz006>008-010>012. 
New York...Winter Weather Advisory from 10 am Sunday to 7 am EST Monday 
for nyz067>075-078>081-176>179. 
New Jersey...Winter Weather Advisory from 10 am Sunday to 7 am EST Monday 
for njz002-004-006-103>108. 
Marine...none. 


&& 


$$ 
Synopsis...maloit 
near term...maloit/pw 
short term...maloit 
long term...24 
aviation...precipitable water 
marine...24/maloit/pw 
hydrology...24/maloit 














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